NASDAQ$KALU

Kaiser Aluminum Corporation · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported third quarter earnings, with results impacted by the pandemic and rebound in automotive demand.

Kaiser Aluminum Corporation reported a net income of $0.4 million and adjusted earnings per diluted share of $0.33 for the third quarter of 2020. The results were driven by a rebound in automotive demand and continued strength in demand for defense and general engineering applications, but were impacted by the ongoing pandemic, particularly in the commercial aerospace sector.

  • Net sales were $256 million, and value added revenue was $154 million, a decrease of 28% year-over-year.
  • Net income was $0.4 million, with net income per diluted share at $0.02.
  • Adjusted net income was $5 million, with adjusted earnings per diluted share at $0.33.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $30 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 19.6%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$256M

Previous: $375M-31.8%
EPS (adj)

$0.33

Previous: $1.82-81.9%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

19.6%

Previous: 26.4%-25.8%
Free Cash Flow

$400K

Previous: $25.4M-98.4%
Net Income

$400K

Previous: $25.4M-98.4%
Operating Income

$12.3M

Previous: $40.7M-69.8%
Gross Profit

$47.3M

Previous: $76.3M-38.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$750M

Previous: $172M+335.9%
Total Assets

$1.85B

Previous: $1.43B+29.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.7M

Previous: $2.3M+17.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Kaiser Aluminum · Revenue · Quarterly

$256M

Q3 2020-31.8%vs Q3 2019
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Kaiser Aluminum · $24M total across 1 segment · Q3 2020

  • Automotive Extrusions
    $24M

Forward guidance

The Company anticipates total capital spending for the full year 2020 to be approximately $50 million to $60 million.

Tailwinds

  • Continued strength in demand for defense applications expected in 2021, driven by growth in the F-35 joint strike fighter and other legacy and rotary military aircraft programs.
  • Strong demand for automotive extrusions is expected to continue to be driven by growth in aluminum content and North American vehicle build rates, currently projected to increase from 12.9 million vehicles in 2020 to over 15.2 million vehicles in 2021.
  • Well positioned to continue to navigate challenging market conditions and capitalize on opportunities to further strengthen prospects for long-term profitable growth.
  • Total liquidity remains strong at $1 billion
  • Expect to emerge from the current environment stronger and better positioned to compete over the longer-term.

Headwinds

  • Anticipate total value added revenue to be down 10%-15% compared to the second quarter pace driven by lower commercial aerospace and business jet sales.
  • EBITDA margin in the mid-teens.
  • Anticipates a slow recovery for large commercial aerospace applications driven by longer than expected recertification of the 737 MAX, slower recovery in domestic and international air travel and destocking in the supply chain.
  • Value added revenue for commercial aerospace applications to be down approximately 30%-35% from its record 2019 results.
  • It could be two to four years before large commercial aerospace demand returns to levels similar to 2019.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020

Historical avgQ3 2020

-0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.2%

Avg return

30 days after

46%

32 / 69 earnings

Positive

+19.4%

Q3 2025

Best reaction

-19.7%

Q2 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.1%+6.0%+7.6%
Q4 2025-9.0%-7.8%-23.2%
Q3 2025+19.4%+20.1%+17.8%
Q2 2025-0.3%-1.2%+1.3%
Q1 2025+5.9%+9.7%+18.6%
Q4 2024+4.9%-0.7%-7.1%
Q3 2024-5.9%+6.3%+14.1%
Q2 2024-19.7%-21.3%-23.6%
Q1 2024-1.3%+6.2%+6.8%
Q4 2023+7.4%+9.6%+23.4%
Q3 2023-10.0%-12.1%-7.2%
Q2 2023+5.2%-0.2%-8.4%
Q1 2023+12.1%+10.9%+10.6%
Q4 2022-7.4%-10.3%-17.3%
Q3 2022+10.2%+11.8%+28.8%
Q2 2022+2.9%+6.0%+8.7%
Q1 2022-1.7%-8.8%-5.5%
Q4 2021-7.2%-5.7%-5.8%
Q3 2021-9.1%-13.0%-10.3%
Q2 2021-2.4%+6.2%+6.7%
Q1 2021+0.5%+5.3%+8.1%
Q4 2020-1.3%+1.5%-5.0%
Q3 2020-0.1%-2.7%+16.7%
Q2 2020-4.4%-5.7%-9.9%
Q1 2020-3.4%-5.2%-11.9%
Q4 2019+3.2%+0.2%-46.7%
Q3 2019+2.2%+10.2%+8.8%
Q2 2019+0.2%+1.2%-9.6%
Q1 2019-6.0%-7.2%-13.6%
Q4 2018+2.6%+4.6%-3.5%
Q3 2018-9.6%-7.1%-9.5%
Q2 2018+3.6%+2.6%+0.2%
Q1 2018+0.4%-1.4%+8.7%
Q4 2017-2.0%-0.5%-5.6%
Q3 2017-3.3%-3.9%-8.0%
Q2 2017+3.2%+5.1%+1.8%
Q1 2017+5.9%+6.1%+2.2%
Q4 2016+0.3%-6.4%-1.3%
Q3 2016-12.5%-12.2%+0.7%
Q2 2016-5.8%-7.3%-5.7%
Q1 2016+0.8%
Q4 2015+0.1%
Q3 2015-0.1%
Q2 2015+4.8%
Q1 2015-0.4%
Q4 2014-0.7%
Q3 2014-4.8%
Q2 2014+2.0%
Q1 2014-3.1%
Q4 2013-0.7%
Q3 2013-7.3%
Q2 2013+0.5%
Q1 2013+7.0%
Q4 2012-4.6%
Q3 2012+3.1%
Q2 2012+9.1%
Q1 2012+6.2%
Q4 2008-1.9%
Q4 2011-1.9%
Q3 2011+9.0%
Q2 2011-0.6%
Q1 2010-0.1%
Q1 2011-0.3%
Q4 2010-9.4%
Q3 2010-2.2%
Q3 2009-2.2%
Q2 2010+0.5%
Q2 2009+0.5%
Q4 2009+0.5%

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