NASDAQ$KALU

Kaiser Aluminum Corporation · Q4 2021 earnings

Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Kaiser Aluminum reported mixed fourth quarter results due to complex integration of the Warrick acquisition, but was optimistic about the future.

Kaiser Aluminum Corporation reported an increase in net sales for the fourth quarter of 2021, driven by a significant rise in shipments and a modest increase in average selling price per pound. Value added revenue also saw substantial growth, primarily due to the company's packaging business. However, the adjusted EBITDA margin decreased compared to the prior year period due to higher costs related to magnesium and metal supply chain issues.

  • Net sales increased due to higher shipments and average selling price.
  • Value added revenue grew, mainly from the packaging business.
  • Aerospace/high strength revenue increased due to strength in defense and business jet applications.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased, but the margin decreased due to higher costs.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$806M

Previous: $272M+196.3%
EPS (adj)

$0.20

Previous: $0.35-42.9%
Adjusted EBITDA

$46M

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

14.5%

Previous: 18.8%-22.9%
Net Income

$2M

Previous: $6M-66.7%
Operating Income

$17M

Previous: $19M-10.5%
Gross Profit

$44.6M

Previous: $37.1M+20.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$303M

Previous: $780M-61.1%
Total Assets

$2.42B

Previous: $1.86B+29.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.4M

Previous: $2.6M-7.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Kaiser Aluminum · Revenue · Quarterly

$806M

Q4 2021+196.3%vs Q4 2020
Beat estimate in 13 of 16 quarters(81%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Kaiser Aluminum · $154M total across 2 segments · Q4 2021

  • Packaging
    $131M
  • Automotive Extrusions
    $23M-11.5%

Forward guidance

Kaiser Aluminum anticipates continued long-term growth with a diversified portfolio and strong secular growth trends in each of its served end markets. For the full year 2022, the company anticipates total value added revenue to be up 20% to 25% year-over-year and consolidated adjusted EBITDA margin is expected to improve to 17% to 20%.

Tailwinds

  • Well-positioned for continued long-term growth with a diversified portfolio.
  • Strong secular growth trends in served end markets.
  • Fundamentals of aerospace, automotive and general engineering end markets are solid.
  • Significant margin expansion expected for the packaging business.
  • Costs and operating efficiencies will continue to improve as magnesium supply chain challenges and Warrick’s metal supply issues are resolved.

Headwinds

  • Near-term challenges exist.
  • Semiconductor chip shortages continue to impact automotive production.
  • Magnesium supply chain issues persist.
  • Warrick's metal supply issues need resolution.
  • Integration of the Warrick acquisition is complex.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021

Historical avgQ4 2021

-0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.2%

Avg return

30 days after

46%

32 / 69 earnings

Positive

+19.4%

Q3 2025

Best reaction

-19.7%

Q2 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.1%+6.0%+7.6%
Q4 2025-9.0%-7.8%-23.2%
Q3 2025+19.4%+20.1%+17.8%
Q2 2025-0.3%-1.2%+1.3%
Q1 2025+5.9%+9.7%+18.6%
Q4 2024+4.9%-0.7%-7.1%
Q3 2024-5.9%+6.3%+14.1%
Q2 2024-19.7%-21.3%-23.6%
Q1 2024-1.3%+6.2%+6.8%
Q4 2023+7.4%+9.6%+23.4%
Q3 2023-10.0%-12.1%-7.2%
Q2 2023+5.2%-0.2%-8.4%
Q1 2023+12.1%+10.9%+10.6%
Q4 2022-7.4%-10.3%-17.3%
Q3 2022+10.2%+11.8%+28.8%
Q2 2022+2.9%+6.0%+8.7%
Q1 2022-1.7%-8.8%-5.5%
Q4 2021-7.2%-5.7%-5.8%
Q3 2021-9.1%-13.0%-10.3%
Q2 2021-2.4%+6.2%+6.7%
Q1 2021+0.5%+5.3%+8.1%
Q4 2020-1.3%+1.5%-5.0%
Q3 2020-0.1%-2.7%+16.7%
Q2 2020-4.4%-5.7%-9.9%
Q1 2020-3.4%-5.2%-11.9%
Q4 2019+3.2%+0.2%-46.7%
Q3 2019+2.2%+10.2%+8.8%
Q2 2019+0.2%+1.2%-9.6%
Q1 2019-6.0%-7.2%-13.6%
Q4 2018+2.6%+4.6%-3.5%
Q3 2018-9.6%-7.1%-9.5%
Q2 2018+3.6%+2.6%+0.2%
Q1 2018+0.4%-1.4%+8.7%
Q4 2017-2.0%-0.5%-5.6%
Q3 2017-3.3%-3.9%-8.0%
Q2 2017+3.2%+5.1%+1.8%
Q1 2017+5.9%+6.1%+2.2%
Q4 2016+0.3%-6.4%-1.3%
Q3 2016-12.5%-12.2%+0.7%
Q2 2016-5.8%-7.3%-5.7%
Q1 2016+0.8%
Q4 2015+0.1%
Q3 2015-0.1%
Q2 2015+4.8%
Q1 2015-0.4%
Q4 2014-0.7%
Q3 2014-4.8%
Q2 2014+2.0%
Q1 2014-3.1%
Q4 2013-0.7%
Q3 2013-7.3%
Q2 2013+0.5%
Q1 2013+7.0%
Q4 2012-4.6%
Q3 2012+3.1%
Q2 2012+9.1%
Q1 2012+6.2%
Q4 2008-1.9%
Q4 2011-1.9%
Q3 2011+9.0%
Q2 2011-0.6%
Q1 2010-0.1%
Q1 2011-0.3%
Q4 2010-9.4%
Q3 2010-2.2%
Q3 2009-2.2%
Q2 2010+0.5%
Q2 2009+0.5%
Q4 2009+0.5%

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