NASDAQ$GSBC

Great Southern Bancorp Inc · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported preliminary fourth quarter and annual earnings, with net income of $22.6 million for the quarter.

Great Southern Bancorp reported strong fourth-quarter earnings, with earnings per share at $1.84 and net income at $22.6 million. The company benefited from rising market interest rates and strong commercial loan growth.

  • Earnings per diluted common share were $1.84 ($22.6 million net income) for the quarter, compared to $1.14 per diluted common share ($15.3 million net income) for the same period in 2021.
  • Annualized return on average common equity was 17.34%, and annualized return on average assets was 1.58%.
  • Net interest margin was 3.99% for the quarter, up from 3.37% in the fourth quarter of 2021.
  • Non-performing assets decreased to $3.7 million, representing 0.07% of total assets.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$54.6M

Previous: $44.2M+23.5%
EPS (adj)

$1.84

Previous: $1.45+26.9%
Net Interest Margin

4.0%

Previous: 3.4%+18.4%
Return on Avg Assets

1.6%

Previous: 1.1%+39.8%
Efficiency Ratio

55.1%

Previous: 67.0%-17.7%
Capital Expenditures

$4.23M

Previous: $1.76M+140.2%
Free Cash Flow

$8.4M

Previous: $5.47M+53.7%
Net Income

$22.6M

Previous: $15.3M+47.7%
Operating Income

$28M

Previous: $17.6M+59.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$370M

Previous: $1.56B-76.4%
Total Assets

$5.67B

Previous: $5.45B+4.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Great Southern · Revenue · Quarterly

$54.6M

Q4 2022+23.5%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

In 2023, the company expects net interest income to remain strong but could decline due to repricing maturing time deposits and net interest settlements on forward-starting interest rate swaps. Changes in network settlement routing may create minor headwinds related to debit card transaction income. Salary and benefit costs are expected to increase due to the tight labor market and changes in minimum wage laws.

Tailwinds

  • Net interest income is expected to remain strong, assuming no significant interest rate cuts.
  • Federal Reserve signals additional increases in interest rates in 2023, which should positively impact net interest income.
  • Loan production and activity in markets remained positive.
  • Pipeline of loan commitments and the unfunded portion of loans grew significantly from the end of 2021.
  • Credit quality metrics remained excellent.

Headwinds

  • Net interest income could decline due to repricing maturing time deposits and net interest settlements on forward-starting interest rate swaps.
  • Changes in network settlement routing have begun to create some minor headwinds related to income earned on debit card transactions.
  • Salaries and benefits costs are expected to increase due to the continued tight labor market, changes in various states’ minimum wage laws, and annual merit increases.
  • Loan origination activity slowed compared to earlier periods in 2022.
  • Positive impacts to net interest income increases are expected to be significantly offset by increases in funding costs as fixed rate time deposits mature and reprice higher.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

-0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.8%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

36 / 66 earnings

Positive

+6.8%

Q1 2013

Best reaction

-11.1%

Q3 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.9%+0.0%+0.4%
Q4 2025-1.3%-9.3%-3.7%
Q3 2025-11.1%-8.0%-6.1%
Q2 2025-1.5%+0.5%+4.4%
Q1 2025+3.6%+6.3%+11.5%
Q4 2024-2.3%-2.9%-2.0%
Q3 2024-0.9%-4.6%+8.1%
Q2 2024+0.0%-1.0%-10.3%
Q1 2024+1.2%+5.1%+5.8%
Q4 2023-0.8%-2.9%-9.7%
Q3 2023-1.8%-2.7%+7.5%
Q2 2023-5.8%-4.8%-7.2%
Q1 2023+5.7%+5.9%+2.3%
Q4 2022-4.6%-3.9%+0.6%
Q3 2022-5.3%-2.3%+0.6%
Q2 2022+1.1%+3.3%+3.3%
Q1 2022+4.0%+2.2%-1.2%
Q4 2021-0.0%-0.9%+1.1%
Q3 2021+0.1%-0.2%+1.7%
Q2 2021-1.4%+0.9%+3.2%
Q1 2021+0.1%+0.4%+1.3%
Q4 2020-4.4%-2.6%+5.3%
Q3 2020+3.3%+6.4%+18.0%
Q2 2020+3.6%+1.2%+1.4%
Q1 2020-1.1%+0.9%+1.2%
Q4 2019-1.9%-5.6%-8.2%
Q3 2019+3.9%+6.7%+6.1%
Q2 2019+0.3%-1.3%-4.1%
Q1 2019+2.6%+1.5%+2.1%
Q4 2018+0.5%+5.1%+12.8%
Q3 2018+0.4%+0.7%+5.1%
Q2 2018+2.5%+4.4%+1.6%
Q1 2018+0.1%+3.3%+10.8%
Q4 2017+1.6%+0.8%-3.5%
Q3 2017-1.1%-4.2%-6.6%
Q2 2017+1.7%+1.2%-7.0%
Q1 2017+3.6%+7.9%-0.2%
Q4 2016+0.0%+1.2%+1.3%
Q3 2016+1.8%+0.1%+21.2%
Q2 2016+1.0%+0.9%+4.0%
Q1 2016+2.4%
Q4 2015+3.5%
Q3 2015+0.0%
Q2 2015+0.2%
Q1 2015+0.2%
Q4 2014-0.6%
Q3 2014-0.7%
Q2 2014+1.0%
Q1 2014+3.0%
Q4 2013-2.0%
Q3 2013-3.7%
Q2 2013+0.3%
Q1 2013+6.8%
Q4 2012-1.1%
Q3 2012+0.5%
Q2 2012-0.3%
Q1 2011-1.7%
Q1 2012+0.5%
Q4 2011+3.0%
Q4 2009+3.0%
Q3 2011-3.2%
Q3 2010-3.2%
Q4 2010-2.8%
Q2 2011-2.8%
Q2 2010-2.8%
Q1 2010+2.9%

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