NASDAQ$GSBC

Great Southern Bancorp Inc · Q2 2020 earnings

Q2 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Great Southern's earnings declined due to higher loan loss provision expense and lower net interest income.

Great Southern Bancorp reported preliminary earnings of $0.93 per diluted common share for the three months ended June 30, 2020. The decline was primarily driven by loan loss provision expense, which was $4.4 million higher than the second quarter a year ago. Net interest income was affected by the Federal Reserve’s significant interest rate cuts in March, additional lower earning assets, and interest expense related to the subordinated debt offering completed in mid-June.

  • Earnings per diluted common share were $0.93, compared to $1.28 for the same period last year.
  • Net interest income decreased to $43.5 million from $44.9 million in the second quarter of 2019.
  • Total gross loans increased by $186.5 million during the quarter, including approximately $120 million in Paycheck Protection Program (PPP) loans.
  • Loans with pandemic-related modifications totaled $1.0 billion at June 30, 2020.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$51.7M

Previous: $52.1M-0.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.93

Previous: $1.29-27.9%
Net Interest Margin

3.4%

Previous: 4.0%-14.6%
Efficiency Ratio

56.8%

Previous: 54.5%+4.1%
Tier 1 Leverage Ratio

11.4%

No prior period
CET1 Capital Ratio

12.5%

No prior period
Total Capital Ratio

17.2%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$3.67M

Previous: -$6.71M+45.3%
Free Cash Flow

$9.53M

Previous: $11.7M-18.3%
Net Income

$13.2M

Previous: $18.4M-28.1%
Operating Income

$42.6M

Previous: $64.2M-33.7%
Gross Profit

$41.8M

Previous: $48.5M-13.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$474M

Previous: $181M+161.1%
Total Assets

$5.57B

Previous: $4.87B+14.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Great Southern · Revenue · Quarterly

$51.7M

Q2 2020-0.7%vs Q2 2019
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The magnitude of the impact on the Company of the COVID-19 pandemic is not yet fully known, and will depend on the length and severity of the economic downturn brought on by the pandemic.

Tailwinds

  • The Company expects that it will continue to operate profitably.
  • The Company expects that its regular quarterly dividend can be maintained for the foreseeable future.
  • The Company is in a position of strength regarding capital, earnings and liquidity.
  • A large portion of loans with pandemic-related modifications are expected to return to normal principal and interest payments by the end of August 2020.
  • The Company is actively monitoring and responding to the effects of the rapidly-changing COVID-19 pandemic.

Headwinds

  • Significantly lower market interest rates will have a negative impact on the variable rate loans indexed to LIBOR and prime.
  • Certain fees for deposit and loan products may be waived or reduced.
  • Point-of-sale fee income may decline due to a decrease in spending by debit card customers.
  • Non-interest expenses may increase to deal with the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • Additional loan modifications may occur and borrowers may default on their loans, which may necessitate further increases to the allowance for loan losses.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2020

Historical avgQ2 2020

-0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.8%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

36 / 66 earnings

Positive

+6.8%

Q1 2013

Best reaction

-11.1%

Q3 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.9%+0.0%+0.4%
Q4 2025-1.3%-9.3%-3.7%
Q3 2025-11.1%-8.0%-6.1%
Q2 2025-1.5%+0.5%+4.4%
Q1 2025+3.6%+6.3%+11.5%
Q4 2024-2.3%-2.9%-2.0%
Q3 2024-0.9%-4.6%+8.1%
Q2 2024+0.0%-1.0%-10.3%
Q1 2024+1.2%+5.1%+5.8%
Q4 2023-0.8%-2.9%-9.7%
Q3 2023-1.8%-2.7%+7.5%
Q2 2023-5.8%-4.8%-7.2%
Q1 2023+5.7%+5.9%+2.3%
Q4 2022-4.6%-3.9%+0.6%
Q3 2022-5.3%-2.3%+0.6%
Q2 2022+1.1%+3.3%+3.3%
Q1 2022+4.0%+2.2%-1.2%
Q4 2021-0.0%-0.9%+1.1%
Q3 2021+0.1%-0.2%+1.7%
Q2 2021-1.4%+0.9%+3.2%
Q1 2021+0.1%+0.4%+1.3%
Q4 2020-4.4%-2.6%+5.3%
Q3 2020+3.3%+6.4%+18.0%
Q2 2020+3.6%+1.2%+1.4%
Q1 2020-1.1%+0.9%+1.2%
Q4 2019-1.9%-5.6%-8.2%
Q3 2019+3.9%+6.7%+6.1%
Q2 2019+0.3%-1.3%-4.1%
Q1 2019+2.6%+1.5%+2.1%
Q4 2018+0.5%+5.1%+12.8%
Q3 2018+0.4%+0.7%+5.1%
Q2 2018+2.5%+4.4%+1.6%
Q1 2018+0.1%+3.3%+10.8%
Q4 2017+1.6%+0.8%-3.5%
Q3 2017-1.1%-4.2%-6.6%
Q2 2017+1.7%+1.2%-7.0%
Q1 2017+3.6%+7.9%-0.2%
Q4 2016+0.0%+1.2%+1.3%
Q3 2016+1.8%+0.1%+21.2%
Q2 2016+1.0%+0.9%+4.0%
Q1 2016+2.4%
Q4 2015+3.5%
Q3 2015+0.0%
Q2 2015+0.2%
Q1 2015+0.2%
Q4 2014-0.6%
Q3 2014-0.7%
Q2 2014+1.0%
Q1 2014+3.0%
Q4 2013-2.0%
Q3 2013-3.7%
Q2 2013+0.3%
Q1 2013+6.8%
Q4 2012-1.1%
Q3 2012+0.5%
Q2 2012-0.3%
Q1 2011-1.7%
Q1 2012+0.5%
Q4 2011+3.0%
Q4 2009+3.0%
Q3 2011-3.2%
Q3 2010-3.2%
Q4 2010-2.8%
Q2 2011-2.8%
Q2 2010-2.8%
Q1 2010+2.9%

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