NASDAQ$GSBC

Great Southern Bancorp Inc · Q1 2020 earnings

Q1 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Preliminary earnings reported for the first quarter, with EPS of $1.04, impacted by COVID-19 related expenses and increased loan loss provisions.

Great Southern Bancorp reported preliminary earnings for Q1 2020 with an EPS of $1.04. The results were impacted by COVID-19 related expenses and additional loan loss provisions. Total gross loans increased by $54 million, or 1.1%. Credit quality metrics remained solid with historically low levels of non-performing assets. Capital remained very strong.

  • Earnings per diluted common share were $1.04 ($14.9 million available to common shareholders).
  • Net interest income increased to $44.9 million compared to $44.6 million for the first quarter of 2019.
  • Total gross loans increased $54 million, or 1.1%.
  • The company increased the allowance for loan losses by $3.7 million from the end of 2019.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$52.3M

Previous: $52.1M+0.5%
EPS (adj)

$1.04

Previous: $1.23-15.4%
Net Interest Margin

3.8%

Previous: 4.1%-5.4%
Efficiency Ratio

58.9%

No prior period
Tier 1 Leverage Ratio

12.3%

No prior period
CET1 Capital Ratio

12.6%

No prior period
Total Capital Ratio

15.7%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$2.57M

Previous: -$2.36M-8.7%
Free Cash Flow

$12.3M

Previous: $20M-38.4%
Net Income

$14.9M

Previous: $17.6M-15.6%
Operating Income

$36.4M

Previous: $41.2M-11.5%
Gross Profit

$48.4M

Previous: $50.1M-3.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$240M

Previous: $206M+16.7%
Total Assets

$5.07B

Previous: $4.78B+6.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Great Southern · Revenue · Quarterly

$52.3M

Q1 2020+0.5%vs Q1 2019
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The Company expects that the COVID-19 pandemic will impact our business in future periods. The magnitude of the impact is unknown at this time, and will depend on the length and severity of the economic downturn brought on by the pandemic.

Tailwinds

  • The Company entered the COVID-19 crisis prepared to respond and in a position of strength with regard to capital, earnings and liquidity.
  • The Company expects to continue to operate profitably, and currently expects that our regular quarterly dividend can be maintained for the foreseeable future.
  • The Company is actively participating in the PPP, which provides emergency financial support to small businesses.
  • The Company retail online banking platform and mobile banking application are currently being upgraded to enhance customer functionality and convenience.
  • The Company expects to record loan interest income related to the swap transaction of approximately $2.0 million in future quarterly periods.

Headwinds

  • Significantly lower market interest rates will have a negative impact on our variable rate loans indexed to LIBOR and prime.
  • Point-of-sale fee income may decline due to a decrease in spending by debit card customers.
  • Non-interest expenses may increase to deal with the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • Additional loan modifications may occur and borrowers may default on their loans, which may necessitate further increases to the allowance for loan losses.
  • The contraction in economic activity may reduce demand for loans and for other products and services

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2020

Historical avgQ1 2020

-0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.8%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

36 / 66 earnings

Positive

+6.8%

Q1 2013

Best reaction

-11.1%

Q3 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.9%+0.0%+0.4%
Q4 2025-1.3%-9.3%-3.7%
Q3 2025-11.1%-8.0%-6.1%
Q2 2025-1.5%+0.5%+4.4%
Q1 2025+3.6%+6.3%+11.5%
Q4 2024-2.3%-2.9%-2.0%
Q3 2024-0.9%-4.6%+8.1%
Q2 2024+0.0%-1.0%-10.3%
Q1 2024+1.2%+5.1%+5.8%
Q4 2023-0.8%-2.9%-9.7%
Q3 2023-1.8%-2.7%+7.5%
Q2 2023-5.8%-4.8%-7.2%
Q1 2023+5.7%+5.9%+2.3%
Q4 2022-4.6%-3.9%+0.6%
Q3 2022-5.3%-2.3%+0.6%
Q2 2022+1.1%+3.3%+3.3%
Q1 2022+4.0%+2.2%-1.2%
Q4 2021-0.0%-0.9%+1.1%
Q3 2021+0.1%-0.2%+1.7%
Q2 2021-1.4%+0.9%+3.2%
Q1 2021+0.1%+0.4%+1.3%
Q4 2020-4.4%-2.6%+5.3%
Q3 2020+3.3%+6.4%+18.0%
Q2 2020+3.6%+1.2%+1.4%
Q1 2020-1.1%+0.9%+1.2%
Q4 2019-1.9%-5.6%-8.2%
Q3 2019+3.9%+6.7%+6.1%
Q2 2019+0.3%-1.3%-4.1%
Q1 2019+2.6%+1.5%+2.1%
Q4 2018+0.5%+5.1%+12.8%
Q3 2018+0.4%+0.7%+5.1%
Q2 2018+2.5%+4.4%+1.6%
Q1 2018+0.1%+3.3%+10.8%
Q4 2017+1.6%+0.8%-3.5%
Q3 2017-1.1%-4.2%-6.6%
Q2 2017+1.7%+1.2%-7.0%
Q1 2017+3.6%+7.9%-0.2%
Q4 2016+0.0%+1.2%+1.3%
Q3 2016+1.8%+0.1%+21.2%
Q2 2016+1.0%+0.9%+4.0%
Q1 2016+2.4%
Q4 2015+3.5%
Q3 2015+0.0%
Q2 2015+0.2%
Q1 2015+0.2%
Q4 2014-0.6%
Q3 2014-0.7%
Q2 2014+1.0%
Q1 2014+3.0%
Q4 2013-2.0%
Q3 2013-3.7%
Q2 2013+0.3%
Q1 2013+6.8%
Q4 2012-1.1%
Q3 2012+0.5%
Q2 2012-0.3%
Q1 2011-1.7%
Q1 2012+0.5%
Q4 2011+3.0%
Q4 2009+3.0%
Q3 2011-3.2%
Q3 2010-3.2%
Q4 2010-2.8%
Q2 2011-2.8%
Q2 2010-2.8%
Q1 2010+2.9%

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