NASDAQ$GOGO

Gogo Inc · Q2 2024 earnings

Q2 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Announced second quarter results with total revenue down 1% year-over-year but record service revenue up 4% year-over-year.

Gogo Inc. reported a slight decrease in total revenue, but an increase in service revenue. Net income decreased significantly due to an unrealized loss related to a convertible note investment and a prior-year tax benefit. The company updated its 2024 guidance and long-term financial targets, including revenue, Adjusted EBITDA, and Free Cash Flow.

  • Total revenue of $102.1 million decreased slightly compared to Q2 2023.
  • Record service revenue of $81.9 million increased 4% compared to Q2 2023.
  • Net income of $0.8 million decreased 99% from $89.8 million in Q2 2023.
  • Free Cash Flow of $24.9 million increased from $13.3 million in the prior-year period.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$102M

Previous: $103M-1.1%
EPS

$0.01

Previous: $0.21-95.2%
AVANCE ATG Aircraft Online

4.2K

No prior period
Gogo Biz Aircraft Online

2.8K

No prior period
Total ATG Aircraft Online

7.0K

No prior period
GEO Aircraft Online

11

No prior period
ATG ARPU

$3.47K

No prior period
ATG Units Sold

231

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$4.84M

Previous: -$10.4M+53.5%
Free Cash Flow

-$4M

Previous: $79.4M-105.0%
Net Income

$839K

Previous: $89.8M-99.1%
Operating Income

$21.7M

Previous: $34M-36.3%
Gross Profit

-$732K

Previous: -$565K-29.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$162M

Previous: $97.2M+66.2%
Total Assets

$803M

Previous: $746M+7.7%
R&D Expense

$10.3M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Gogo · Revenue · Quarterly

$102M

Q2 2024-1.1%vs Q2 2023
Beat estimate in 13 of 15 quarters(87%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Gogo · $72M total across 1 segment · Q3 2021

  • Business Aviation
    $72M

Forward guidance

The company updated its 2024 guidance and long-term financial targets. Total revenue is expected to be in the range of $400 million to $410 million. Free Cash Flow is expected to be in the range of $35 million to $55 million, which includes $40 million in reimbursements tied to the FCC Reimbursement Program.

Tailwinds

  • Adjusted EBITDA at the high end of the range of $110 million to $125 million.
  • Free Cash Flow in the range of $35 million to $55 million.
  • Capital expenditures of approximately $35 million.
  • Reiterate revenue growth at a compound annual growth rate of approximately 15%-17% from 2023 through 2028.
  • Reiterate Annual Adjusted EBITDA Margin reaching 40% in 2028.

Headwinds

  • Total revenue in the range of $400 million to $410 million versus prior guidance of $410 million to $425 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA reflects increased legal expenses and approximately $26 million of operating expenses for strategic and operational initiatives including Gogo 5G and Gogo Galileo.
  • Capital expenditures include $20 million for strategic initiatives including Gogo 5G, Gogo Galileo and the LTE network build, versus prior guidance of $45 million which included $30 million for strategic initiatives.
  • Free Cash Flow targeting approximately $150 million in 2025, versus prior target of $150 million to $200 million, without the effect of the FCC Reimbursement Program.
  • Ongoing delay and the risk of future delays in deploying 5G, and our ability to develop and deploy Gogo 5G, Gogo Galileo or other next generation technologies

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2024

Historical avgQ2 2024

+3.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+5.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+11.5%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

25 / 50 earnings

Positive

+45.4%

Q1 2025

Best reaction

-18.0%

Q1 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+8.4%-2.6%-12.1%
Q4 2025-3.4%+20.5%-0.9%
Q3 2025-12.8%-15.5%-19.4%
Q1 2025+45.4%+61.0%+46.8%
Q4 2024-0.1%+12.1%+3.1%
Q3 2024+22.4%+22.3%+12.7%
Q2 2024-3.7%-8.5%-0.9%
Q1 2024+3.8%+8.4%+10.4%
Q4 2023-6.7%-3.9%+0.3%
Q3 2023-3.2%-5.1%-3.8%
Q2 2023-17.1%-16.4%-20.4%
Q1 2023-4.8%-6.7%+19.5%
Q4 2022+12.0%+14.9%-2.4%
Q3 2022+0.4%+1.4%+7.3%
Q2 2022-13.1%-8.6%-23.3%
Q1 2022-4.3%-3.9%+6.1%
Q4 2021+20.0%+17.1%+39.1%
Q3 2021-6.3%-7.1%-23.4%
Q2 2021+15.5%+26.2%+30.4%
Q1 2021+13.0%+17.5%+45.0%
Q4 2020-10.7%-13.7%-14.9%
Q3 2020+5.8%+19.5%+28.8%
Q2 2020+3.5%+6.6%+191.4%
Q1 2020+25.7%+30.7%+114.3%
Q4 2019-6.7%+8.3%+8.5%
Q3 2019+3.2%+1.3%-10.2%
Q2 2019+19.9%+21.8%+23.8%
Q1 2019+5.6%+6.8%-9.5%
Q4 2018-1.6%+0.7%+9.9%
Q3 2018+19.5%+6.7%-33.0%
Q2 2018+10.4%+13.8%+11.7%
Q1 2018-18.0%-44.5%-48.0%
Q4 2017-15.5%-9.2%-15.9%
Q3 2017-11.9%-8.3%+13.1%
Q2 2017-4.3%-4.3%+9.8%
Q1 2017+7.1%+7.1%-4.2%
Q4 2016+16.2%+17.2%+19.0%
Q3 2016-1.6%+0.0%-4.9%
Q2 2016+22.1%+34.4%+46.0%
Q1 2016-5.9%
Q4 2015+1.0%
Q2 2015-8.8%
Q1 2015-4.4%
Q4 2014+2.8%
Q3 2014+9.3%
Q2 2014-9.1%
Q1 2014+7.6%
Q4 2013-8.5%
Q3 2013+32.9%
Q2 2013-1.9%
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2012
Q4 2011
Q3 2011
Q2 2011
Q1 2011
Q4 2010

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