NASDAQ$GOGO

Gogo Inc · Q2 2023 earnings

Q2 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Announced second quarter results and updated 2023 financial guidance and long-term targets.

Gogo Inc. reported a 6% year-over-year increase in total revenue, reaching $103.2 million, and a net income of $89.8 million. Adjusted EBITDA increased by 7% year-over-year to $44.1 million.

  • Total revenue increased 6% compared to Q2 2022, reaching $103.2 million.
  • Record service revenue increased 8% compared to Q2 2022, totaling $79.1 million.
  • Total ATG aircraft online reached 7,064, an increase of 6% compared to Q2 2022.
  • Net income increased from $22.0 million in Q2 2022 to $89.8 million, including an income tax benefit of $63.8 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$103M

Previous: $97.8M+5.5%
EPS (adj)

$0.21

Previous: $0.17+23.5%
Capital Expenditures

-$10.4M

Previous: -$17.5M+40.5%
Free Cash Flow

$79.4M

Previous: $4.54M+1651.4%
Net Income

$89.8M

Previous: $22M+308.1%
Operating Income

$34M

Previous: $32.3M+5.3%
Gross Profit

-$565K

Previous: -$498K-13.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$97.2M

Previous: $164M-40.7%
Total Assets

$746M

Previous: $724M+3.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.45M

Previous: $5.4M+0.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Gogo · Revenue · Quarterly

$103M

Q2 2023+5.5%vs Q2 2022
Beat estimate in 13 of 15 quarters(87%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Gogo · $72M total across 1 segment · Q3 2021

  • Business Aviation
    $72M

Forward guidance

The Company provides the following guidance for 2023, which now include the impact of the Federal Communications Commission's Secure and Trusted Communications Networks Reimbursement Program

Tailwinds

  • Adjusted EBITDA of $150 million to $160 million (no change from prior guidance) reflecting operating expenses of approximately $20 million for strategic and operational initiatives including Gogo 5G and Gogo Galileo and $10 million for costs incurred offset by an expected benefit for the same value of reimbursement accrual related to the FCC Program.
  • Revenue growth at a compound annual growth rate of approximately 15%-17% from 2022 through 2027 versus the prior target of approximately 17%.
  • Annual Adjusted EBITDA Margin in the mid-40% range by 2027 (no change from prior long-term target).
  • Free Cash Flow in the range of $150 million to $200 million in 2025, without the effect of the FCC program, and growing thereafter.
  • The FCC Program is expected to positively impact Free Cash Flow in 2025.

Headwinds

  • Total revenue in the range of $410 million to $420 million versus prior guidance in the range of $440 million to $455 million.
  • Free Cash Flow of $60 million to $70 million versus prior guidance of $80 million to $90 million due to the impact of the FCC Program including increased inventory purchases and expected lag of FCC reimbursements.
  • Capital expenditures at the low end of the previously provided range of $30 million to $40 million including $12 million for the Gogo 5G program and $3 million related to the FCC Program.
  • We are in a two-year investment cycle to take advantage of new technologies like 5G, LEO satellite and LTE to deliver order-of-magnitude improvements in network speed and coverage for our customers, grow our addressable market by 50%, and strengthen our competitive position.
  • We expect to see the payback for these investments to start in 2025 and drive substantial returns for shareholders in the latter half of the decade.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2023

Historical avgQ2 2023

+3.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+5.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+11.5%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

25 / 50 earnings

Positive

+45.4%

Q1 2025

Best reaction

-18.0%

Q1 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+8.4%-2.6%-12.1%
Q4 2025-3.4%+20.5%-0.9%
Q3 2025-12.8%-15.5%-19.4%
Q1 2025+45.4%+61.0%+46.8%
Q4 2024-0.1%+12.1%+3.1%
Q3 2024+22.4%+22.3%+12.7%
Q2 2024-3.7%-8.5%-0.9%
Q1 2024+3.8%+8.4%+10.4%
Q4 2023-6.7%-3.9%+0.3%
Q3 2023-3.2%-5.1%-3.8%
Q2 2023-17.1%-16.4%-20.4%
Q1 2023-4.8%-6.7%+19.5%
Q4 2022+12.0%+14.9%-2.4%
Q3 2022+0.4%+1.4%+7.3%
Q2 2022-13.1%-8.6%-23.3%
Q1 2022-4.3%-3.9%+6.1%
Q4 2021+20.0%+17.1%+39.1%
Q3 2021-6.3%-7.1%-23.4%
Q2 2021+15.5%+26.2%+30.4%
Q1 2021+13.0%+17.5%+45.0%
Q4 2020-10.7%-13.7%-14.9%
Q3 2020+5.8%+19.5%+28.8%
Q2 2020+3.5%+6.6%+191.4%
Q1 2020+25.7%+30.7%+114.3%
Q4 2019-6.7%+8.3%+8.5%
Q3 2019+3.2%+1.3%-10.2%
Q2 2019+19.9%+21.8%+23.8%
Q1 2019+5.6%+6.8%-9.5%
Q4 2018-1.6%+0.7%+9.9%
Q3 2018+19.5%+6.7%-33.0%
Q2 2018+10.4%+13.8%+11.7%
Q1 2018-18.0%-44.5%-48.0%
Q4 2017-15.5%-9.2%-15.9%
Q3 2017-11.9%-8.3%+13.1%
Q2 2017-4.3%-4.3%+9.8%
Q1 2017+7.1%+7.1%-4.2%
Q4 2016+16.2%+17.2%+19.0%
Q3 2016-1.6%+0.0%-4.9%
Q2 2016+22.1%+34.4%+46.0%
Q1 2016-5.9%
Q4 2015+1.0%
Q2 2015-8.8%
Q1 2015-4.4%
Q4 2014+2.8%
Q3 2014+9.3%
Q2 2014-9.1%
Q1 2014+7.6%
Q4 2013-8.5%
Q3 2013+32.9%
Q2 2013-1.9%
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2012
Q4 2011
Q3 2011
Q2 2011
Q1 2011
Q4 2010

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