NASDAQ$GOGO

Gogo Inc · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Gogo's revenue and Adjusted EBITDA increased, driven by growth in aircraft online and service revenue, along with the successful completion of a comprehensive refinancing.

Gogo Inc. reported a 4% year-over-year increase in total revenue, reaching $73.9 million for the quarter ended March 31, 2021. The company's net loss from continuing operations was $5.9 million, improved from $9.4 million in Q1 2020. Adjusted EBITDA increased by 25% to $33.9 million. The company also raised its 2021 revenue and Adjusted EBITDA guidance and provided free cash flow targets.

  • Total revenue increased 4% year-over-year to $73.9 million.
  • Net loss from continuing operations improved to $5.9 million compared to $9.4 million in Q1 2020.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased 25% year-over-year to $33.9 million.
  • Total ATG aircraft online grew 3% year-over-year to 5,892.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$73.9M

Previous: $184M-60.0%
EPS (adj)

-$0.07

Previous: -$0.47+85.1%
Capital Expenditures

-$360K

Previous: -$13.2M+97.3%
Free Cash Flow

-$8.05M

Previous: -$98M+91.8%
Net Income

-$7.69M

Previous: -$84.8M+90.9%
Operating Income

$27.8M

Previous: -$51.1M+154.4%
Gross Profit

-$15K

Previous: -$6.76M+99.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$455M

Previous: $214M+112.5%
Total Assets

$688M

Previous: $1.19B-42.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.85M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Gogo · Revenue · Quarterly

$73.9M

Q1 2021-60%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 9 of 16 quarters(56%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Gogo · $72M total across 1 segment · Q3 2021

  • Business Aviation
    $72M

Forward guidance

Gogo updated its 2021 financial guidance, projecting total revenue in the range of $310 million to $325 million and Adjusted EBITDA in the range of $115 million to $125 million. The company also provided a long-term free cash flow target of approximately $100 million for the full-year 2023.

Tailwinds

  • Total revenue in the range of $310 million to $325 million
  • Adjusted EBITDA in the range of $115 million to $125 million, including approximately $12 million of 5G-related expenses and excluding approximately $4 million of non-recurring separation and migration costs related to the sale of the CA division
  • Capital expenditures in the range of $25 million to $30 million, with the majority tied to Gogo 5G
  • Free cash flow in the range of $10 million to $20 million, including cash interest payments of approximately $71 million
  • Long-term free cash flow target of approximately $100 million for the full-year 2023

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

+3.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+5.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+11.5%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

25 / 50 earnings

Positive

+45.4%

Q1 2025

Best reaction

-18.0%

Q1 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+8.4%-2.6%-12.1%
Q4 2025-3.4%+20.5%-0.9%
Q3 2025-12.8%-15.5%-19.4%
Q1 2025+45.4%+61.0%+46.8%
Q4 2024-0.1%+12.1%+3.1%
Q3 2024+22.4%+22.3%+12.7%
Q2 2024-3.7%-8.5%-0.9%
Q1 2024+3.8%+8.4%+10.4%
Q4 2023-6.7%-3.9%+0.3%
Q3 2023-3.2%-5.1%-3.8%
Q2 2023-17.1%-16.4%-20.4%
Q1 2023-4.8%-6.7%+19.5%
Q4 2022+12.0%+14.9%-2.4%
Q3 2022+0.4%+1.4%+7.3%
Q2 2022-13.1%-8.6%-23.3%
Q1 2022-4.3%-3.9%+6.1%
Q4 2021+20.0%+17.1%+39.1%
Q3 2021-6.3%-7.1%-23.4%
Q2 2021+15.5%+26.2%+30.4%
Q1 2021+13.0%+17.5%+45.0%
Q4 2020-10.7%-13.7%-14.9%
Q3 2020+5.8%+19.5%+28.8%
Q2 2020+3.5%+6.6%+191.4%
Q1 2020+25.7%+30.7%+114.3%
Q4 2019-6.7%+8.3%+8.5%
Q3 2019+3.2%+1.3%-10.2%
Q2 2019+19.9%+21.8%+23.8%
Q1 2019+5.6%+6.8%-9.5%
Q4 2018-1.6%+0.7%+9.9%
Q3 2018+19.5%+6.7%-33.0%
Q2 2018+10.4%+13.8%+11.7%
Q1 2018-18.0%-44.5%-48.0%
Q4 2017-15.5%-9.2%-15.9%
Q3 2017-11.9%-8.3%+13.1%
Q2 2017-4.3%-4.3%+9.8%
Q1 2017+7.1%+7.1%-4.2%
Q4 2016+16.2%+17.2%+19.0%
Q3 2016-1.6%+0.0%-4.9%
Q2 2016+22.1%+34.4%+46.0%
Q1 2016-5.9%
Q4 2015+1.0%
Q2 2015-8.8%
Q1 2015-4.4%
Q4 2014+2.8%
Q3 2014+9.3%
Q2 2014-9.1%
Q1 2014+7.6%
Q4 2013-8.5%
Q3 2013+32.9%
Q2 2013-1.9%
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2012
Q4 2011
Q3 2011
Q2 2011
Q1 2011
Q4 2010

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