NASDAQ$GOGO

Gogo Inc · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Gogo's Q4 2022 earnings were announced, revealing a record revenue and adjusted EBITDA.

Gogo Inc. reported a record fourth quarter with total revenue of $108.2 million, up 17% year-over-year, and a net income from continuing operations of $27.7 million. Adjusted EBITDA reached a record $46.2 million, also up 17% year-over-year.

  • Total revenue increased by 17% year-over-year to reach $108.2 million, driven by growth in both service and equipment revenue.
  • Service revenue reached a record $77.3 million, representing a 12% increase compared to Q4 2021.
  • Equipment revenue also hit a record of $30.8 million, a 34% increase compared to the same quarter last year.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased 17% year-over-year to a record $46.2 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$108M

Previous: $92.3M+17.2%
EPS (adj)

$0.21

Previous: $0.17+23.5%
Capital Expenditures

$8.73M

Previous: $1.43M+509.9%
Free Cash Flow

$25M

Previous: $25.7M-2.7%
Net Income

$27.7M

Previous: $209M-86.8%
Operating Income

$38.7M

Previous: $32.3M+19.7%
Gross Profit

$70.4M

Previous: $63.9M+10.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$151M

Previous: $146M+3.2%
Total Assets

$760M

Previous: $648M+17.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$4.96M

Previous: $3.2M+55.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Gogo · Revenue · Quarterly

$108M

Q4 2022+17.2%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 13 of 15 quarters(87%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Gogo · $72M total across 1 segment · Q3 2021

  • Business Aviation
    $72M

Forward guidance

Gogo provided financial guidance for 2023, including total revenue in the range of $440 million to $455 million, Adjusted EBITDA of $150 million to $160 million, and Free Cash Flow of $80 million to $90 million. They also provided long-term financial targets, including revenue growth at a compound annual growth rate of approximately 17% from 2022 through 2027.

Tailwinds

  • Total revenue in the range of $440 million to $455 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $150 million to $160 million.
  • Free Cash Flow of $80 million to $90 million.
  • Revenue growth at a compound annual growth rate of approximately 17% from 2022 through 2027.
  • Annual Adjusted EBITDA Margin in the mid-40% range by 2027.

Headwinds

  • Adjusted EBITDA reflects operating expenses of approximately $30 million for strategic and operational initiatives including Gogo 5G and Global Broadband.
  • Free Cash Flow includes capital expenditures of approximately $30 million to $40 million, of which $20 million is tied to Gogo 5G.
  • The 2023 financial guidance and long-term targets do not reflect the impact of the Federal Communications Commission’s Secure and Trusted Communications Networks Reimbursement Program.
  • Global supply chain constraints in 2022.
  • Uncertainties and other factors could materially affect financial condition or future results of operations.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

+3.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+5.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+11.5%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

25 / 50 earnings

Positive

+45.4%

Q1 2025

Best reaction

-18.0%

Q1 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+8.4%-2.6%-12.1%
Q4 2025-3.4%+20.5%-0.9%
Q3 2025-12.8%-15.5%-19.4%
Q1 2025+45.4%+61.0%+46.8%
Q4 2024-0.1%+12.1%+3.1%
Q3 2024+22.4%+22.3%+12.7%
Q2 2024-3.7%-8.5%-0.9%
Q1 2024+3.8%+8.4%+10.4%
Q4 2023-6.7%-3.9%+0.3%
Q3 2023-3.2%-5.1%-3.8%
Q2 2023-17.1%-16.4%-20.4%
Q1 2023-4.8%-6.7%+19.5%
Q4 2022+12.0%+14.9%-2.4%
Q3 2022+0.4%+1.4%+7.3%
Q2 2022-13.1%-8.6%-23.3%
Q1 2022-4.3%-3.9%+6.1%
Q4 2021+20.0%+17.1%+39.1%
Q3 2021-6.3%-7.1%-23.4%
Q2 2021+15.5%+26.2%+30.4%
Q1 2021+13.0%+17.5%+45.0%
Q4 2020-10.7%-13.7%-14.9%
Q3 2020+5.8%+19.5%+28.8%
Q2 2020+3.5%+6.6%+191.4%
Q1 2020+25.7%+30.7%+114.3%
Q4 2019-6.7%+8.3%+8.5%
Q3 2019+3.2%+1.3%-10.2%
Q2 2019+19.9%+21.8%+23.8%
Q1 2019+5.6%+6.8%-9.5%
Q4 2018-1.6%+0.7%+9.9%
Q3 2018+19.5%+6.7%-33.0%
Q2 2018+10.4%+13.8%+11.7%
Q1 2018-18.0%-44.5%-48.0%
Q4 2017-15.5%-9.2%-15.9%
Q3 2017-11.9%-8.3%+13.1%
Q2 2017-4.3%-4.3%+9.8%
Q1 2017+7.1%+7.1%-4.2%
Q4 2016+16.2%+17.2%+19.0%
Q3 2016-1.6%+0.0%-4.9%
Q2 2016+22.1%+34.4%+46.0%
Q1 2016-5.9%
Q4 2015+1.0%
Q2 2015-8.8%
Q1 2015-4.4%
Q4 2014+2.8%
Q3 2014+9.3%
Q2 2014-9.1%
Q1 2014+7.6%
Q4 2013-8.5%
Q3 2013+32.9%
Q2 2013-1.9%
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2012
Q4 2011
Q3 2011
Q2 2011
Q1 2011
Q4 2010

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