NASDAQ$FORR

Forrester Research Inc · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Forrester's third quarter results in 2024 were announced, revealing a decrease in revenue and a net loss compared to the previous year, alongside a decline in contract value. However, the company is making progress with its product migration and maintains its guidance for the year.

Forrester Research reported a decrease in revenue to $102.5 million for Q3 2024, compared to $113.4 million in Q3 2023. The company experienced a net loss of $5.8 million, or $0.30 per diluted share, compared to a net income of $2.5 million, or $0.13 per diluted share, in the same period last year. Contract value decreased by 5% year-over-year to $315.2 million.

  • Forrester's Q3 2024 revenue decreased to $102.5 million from $113.4 million in Q3 2023.
  • The company reported a net loss of $5.8 million, or $0.30 per diluted share, compared to a net income of $2.5 million, or $0.13 per diluted share, in the same quarter last year.
  • Contract value (CV) decreased by 5% year-over-year, reaching $315.2 million.
  • Forrester is progressing with its product migration, aiming for 80% of CV on the Forrester Decisions platform by year-end.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$103M

Previous: $113M-9.6%
EPS

-$0.30

Previous: $0.44-168.2%
Contract value

$315M

Previous: $349M-9.8%
Client retention

73.0%

Previous: 73.0%+0.0%
Wallet retention

89.0%

Previous: 91.0%-2.2%
Number of clients

2.0K

Previous: 2.5K-21.1%
Capital Expenditures

-$2.74M

Previous: -$3.9M+29.7%
Free Cash Flow

-$8.54M

Previous: -$1.42M-501.9%
Net Income

-$5.8M

Previous: $2.48M-333.4%
Operating Income

-$731K

Previous: $5.06M-114.5%
Gross Profit

$62M

Previous: $66.9M-7.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$62.8M

Previous: $102M-38.3%
Total Assets

$505M

Previous: $536M-5.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.6M

Previous: $4.14M-13.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Forrester · Revenue · Quarterly

$103M

Q3 2024-9.6%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 7 of 15 quarters(47%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Forrester · $113M total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Research
    $80.6M-7.4%
  • Consulting
    $28.2M-24.5%
  • Events
    $4.59M+40.8%

Forward guidance

Forrester is providing full-year 2024 guidance, including total revenues between approximately $425 million and $435 million and adjusted diluted earnings per share of approximately $1.37 to $1.57.

Tailwinds

  • Total revenues of approximately $425 million to $435 million
  • Operating margin of approximately 0.5% to 1.5%
  • Adjusted operating margin of approximately 8.5% to 9.5%
  • Adjusted effective tax rate of approximately 29%
  • Adjusted diluted earnings per share of approximately $1.37 to $1.57

Headwinds

  • Interest expense of approximately $3.0 million
  • Effective tax rate of approximately 135% to 270%
  • Loss per share of approximately $0.24 to $0.04
  • Exclusion of stock-based compensation expense of $14.2 million to $14.7 million from adjusted financial guidance
  • Exclusion of restructuring costs of approximately $7.6 million from adjusted financial guidance

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

-2.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-3.2%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.7%

Avg return

30 days after

38%

25 / 65 earnings

Positive

+8.9%

Q3 2024

Best reaction

-16.0%

Q4 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.9%+4.3%+14.9%
Q4 2025-9.7%-7.1%-3.9%
Q3 2025+2.9%+0.1%-12.5%
Q1 2025+3.7%+7.6%+9.9%
Q4 2024-12.1%-12.5%-33.0%
Q3 2024+8.9%+10.6%+15.0%
Q2 2024+6.6%+0.5%+1.5%
Q1 2024-6.8%-3.7%-2.5%
Q4 2023-8.1%-14.2%-12.4%
Q3 2023-4.2%-11.6%-3.0%
Q2 2023+1.0%+3.2%-1.1%
Q1 2023-15.8%-14.7%-0.3%
Q4 2022-16.0%-13.5%-15.9%
Q3 2022-15.8%-20.4%-14.2%
Q2 2022-7.3%-7.1%-16.7%
Q1 2022-2.9%-8.5%-7.5%
Q4 2021-3.8%-2.2%-6.3%
Q3 2021+5.4%+9.1%+5.4%
Q2 2021+5.4%-1.3%+3.9%
Q1 2021+4.3%+3.5%-4.1%
Q4 2020-3.8%-4.4%+0.7%
Q3 2020+3.0%+9.0%+20.6%
Q2 2020+7.6%+9.2%+10.5%
Q1 2020+3.5%-10.8%+13.1%
Q4 2019-2.4%-4.9%-31.6%
Q3 2019-1.0%-1.2%+9.8%
Q2 2019-13.9%-21.7%-29.2%
Q1 2019-1.0%+1.6%-9.9%
Q4 2018+1.4%+4.2%+6.5%
Q3 2018-7.3%-4.3%+7.3%
Q2 2018-0.9%+2.8%+14.2%
Q1 2018-10.0%-10.2%-7.6%
Q4 2017-3.7%-5.8%+0.2%
Q3 2017+0.5%-0.8%+6.3%
Q2 2017-1.4%-1.6%-2.1%
Q1 2017-1.0%-2.0%-3.2%
Q4 2016-12.3%-10.8%-8.2%
Q3 2016-3.6%+0.4%+10.5%
Q2 2016+8.1%+5.8%+8.2%
Q1 2016-4.3%
Q4 2015+2.3%
Q3 2015+3.3%
Q2 2015-5.3%
Q1 2015-4.2%
Q4 2014+0.3%
Q3 2014-3.1%
Q2 2014+0.4%
Q1 2014+5.9%
Q4 2013-2.0%
Q3 2013-1.3%
Q2 2013-6.4%
Q1 2013+1.1%
Q4 2012-4.6%
Q3 2012+1.0%
Q2 2012-12.1%
Q1 2011-1.9%
Q1 2012+5.3%
Q4 2009+0.1%
Q4 2011+0.1%
Q3 2011-1.0%
Q3 2010-1.0%
Q2 2010-1.0%
Q2 2011-1.0%
Q4 2010-1.0%
Q1 2010+5.0%

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