NASDAQ$FORR

Forrester Research Inc · Q2 2020 earnings

Q2 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Forrester's second quarter performance in 2020 exceeded expectations despite a challenging environment.

Forrester Research reported total revenues of $113.5 million for Q2 2020, compared to $128.2 million in Q2 2019. GAAP net income was $11.8 million, or $0.63 per diluted share, compared to $1.6 million, or $0.08 per diluted share, for the same period in 2019.

  • Forrester exceeded revenue guidance by more than $5 million.
  • EPS exceeded expectations by 31 cents.
  • Client interactions reached an all-time high.
  • The company is well-positioned to emerge stronger from the pandemic.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$114M

Previous: $128M-11.4%
EPS (adj)

$0.65

Previous: $0.65+0.0%
Client retention

66.0%

Previous: 73.0%-9.6%
Wallet retention

88.0%

Previous: 90.0%-2.2%
Number of clients

2.7K

Previous: 2.9K-6.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$5.11M

Previous: -$4.67M-9.5%
Free Cash Flow

$6.73M

Previous: -$3.11M+316.2%
Net Income

$11.8M

Previous: $1.56M+661.2%
Operating Income

$11.2M

Previous: $4.62M+143.0%
Gross Profit

$74.4M

Previous: $75.5M-1.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$68.4M

Previous: $69.8M-2.0%
Total Assets

$589M

Previous: $624M-5.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.46M

Previous: $2.85M-13.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Forrester · Revenue · Quarterly

$114M

Q2 2020-11.4%vs Q2 2019
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Forrester · $114M total across 3 segments · Q2 2020

  • Research
    $73.6M
  • Consulting
    $34.9M
  • Events
    $5.03M

Forward guidance

Forrester is providing third-quarter 2020 financial guidance.

Tailwinds

  • Adjusted operating margin of approximately 3.0% to 5.0%.
  • Adjusted effective tax rate of 31%.
  • Adjusted diluted earnings per share of approximately $0.06 to $0.12.
  • Total revenues of approximately $99.0 million to $104.0 million.
  • Operating margin of approximately (5.0)% to (3.0)%.

Headwinds

  • Loss per share of approximately $0.25 to $0.31.
  • Interest expense of approximately $1.3 million.
  • An effective tax rate of approximately 1.0%.
  • Adjusted financial guidance for the third quarter of 2020 excludes the reduction in revenue from the fair value adjustment of pre-acquisition deferred revenue of approximately $0.1 million.
  • Adjusted financial guidance for the third quarter of 2020 excludes stock-based compensation expense of $2.4 million to $2.6 million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2020

Historical avgQ2 2020

-2.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-3.2%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.7%

Avg return

30 days after

38%

25 / 65 earnings

Positive

+8.9%

Q3 2024

Best reaction

-16.0%

Q4 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.9%+4.3%+14.9%
Q4 2025-9.7%-7.1%-3.9%
Q3 2025+2.9%+0.1%-12.5%
Q1 2025+3.7%+7.6%+9.9%
Q4 2024-12.1%-12.5%-33.0%
Q3 2024+8.9%+10.6%+15.0%
Q2 2024+6.6%+0.5%+1.5%
Q1 2024-6.8%-3.7%-2.5%
Q4 2023-8.1%-14.2%-12.4%
Q3 2023-4.2%-11.6%-3.0%
Q2 2023+1.0%+3.2%-1.1%
Q1 2023-15.8%-14.7%-0.3%
Q4 2022-16.0%-13.5%-15.9%
Q3 2022-15.8%-20.4%-14.2%
Q2 2022-7.3%-7.1%-16.7%
Q1 2022-2.9%-8.5%-7.5%
Q4 2021-3.8%-2.2%-6.3%
Q3 2021+5.4%+9.1%+5.4%
Q2 2021+5.4%-1.3%+3.9%
Q1 2021+4.3%+3.5%-4.1%
Q4 2020-3.8%-4.4%+0.7%
Q3 2020+3.0%+9.0%+20.6%
Q2 2020+7.6%+9.2%+10.5%
Q1 2020+3.5%-10.8%+13.1%
Q4 2019-2.4%-4.9%-31.6%
Q3 2019-1.0%-1.2%+9.8%
Q2 2019-13.9%-21.7%-29.2%
Q1 2019-1.0%+1.6%-9.9%
Q4 2018+1.4%+4.2%+6.5%
Q3 2018-7.3%-4.3%+7.3%
Q2 2018-0.9%+2.8%+14.2%
Q1 2018-10.0%-10.2%-7.6%
Q4 2017-3.7%-5.8%+0.2%
Q3 2017+0.5%-0.8%+6.3%
Q2 2017-1.4%-1.6%-2.1%
Q1 2017-1.0%-2.0%-3.2%
Q4 2016-12.3%-10.8%-8.2%
Q3 2016-3.6%+0.4%+10.5%
Q2 2016+8.1%+5.8%+8.2%
Q1 2016-4.3%
Q4 2015+2.3%
Q3 2015+3.3%
Q2 2015-5.3%
Q1 2015-4.2%
Q4 2014+0.3%
Q3 2014-3.1%
Q2 2014+0.4%
Q1 2014+5.9%
Q4 2013-2.0%
Q3 2013-1.3%
Q2 2013-6.4%
Q1 2013+1.1%
Q4 2012-4.6%
Q3 2012+1.0%
Q2 2012-12.1%
Q1 2011-1.9%
Q1 2012+5.3%
Q4 2009+0.1%
Q4 2011+0.1%
Q3 2011-1.0%
Q3 2010-1.0%
Q2 2010-1.0%
Q2 2011-1.0%
Q4 2010-1.0%
Q1 2010+5.0%

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