NASDAQ$FORR

Forrester Research Inc · Q2 2023 earnings

Q2 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Forrester's Q2 2023 earnings were reported with a decrease in revenue but an increase in adjusted EPS.

Forrester Research reported a decrease in revenue for Q2 2023, with total revenues of $135.6 million compared to $148.2 million in Q2 2022. Net income also decreased to $5.3 million, or $0.28 per diluted share, from $13.9 million, or $0.72 per diluted share, in the prior year. However, adjusted net income was $18.1 million, or $0.94 per diluted share, compared to $19.2 million, or $1.00 per diluted share, for the same period in 2022. Contract value remained flat year-over-year at $344.0 million.

  • Total revenue decreased to $135.6 million compared to $148.2 million in the same quarter of the previous year.
  • GAAP net income declined to $5.3 million, or $0.28 per diluted share, from $13.9 million, or $0.72 per diluted share, in the prior year.
  • Adjusted net income was $18.1 million, or $0.94 per diluted share, compared to $19.2 million, or $1.00 per diluted share, in the same period last year.
  • Contract value remained flat year-over-year at $344.0 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$136M

Previous: $148M-8.5%
EPS (adj)

$0.94

Previous: $1.00-6.0%
Contract value

$344M

Previous: $349M-1.5%
Client retention

74.0%

Previous: 76.0%-2.6%
Wallet retention

92.0%

Previous: 99.0%-7.1%
Number of clients

2.6K

Previous: 2.9K-11.1%
Capital Expenditures

-$2.66M

Previous: -$2.7M+1.3%
Free Cash Flow

$2.64M

Previous: $11.2M-76.4%
Net Income

$5.3M

Previous: $13.9M-61.8%
Operating Income

$8.29M

Previous: $20.7M-60.0%
Gross Profit

$81.1M

Previous: $90.2M-10.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$110M

Previous: $103M+6.5%
Total Assets

$571M

Previous: $615M-7.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.86M

Previous: $3.84M+0.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Forrester · Revenue · Quarterly

$136M

Q2 2023-8.5%vs Q2 2022
Beat estimate in 7 of 15 quarters(47%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Forrester · $136M total across 3 segments · Q2 2023

  • Research
    $87.7M-2.0%
  • Consulting
    $30M-23.7%
  • Events
    $17.9M-8.3%

Forward guidance

Forrester is providing updated guidance for 2023. Total revenues of approximately $475 million to $485 million. Adjusted diluted earnings per share of approximately $1.80 to $2.00.

Tailwinds

  • Total revenues of approximately $475 million to $485 million
  • Operating margin of approximately 1.2% to 2.2%
  • Interest expense of approximately $3.0 million
  • An effective tax rate of approximately 43%
  • Earnings per share of approximately $0.10 to $0.30

Headwinds

  • Stock-based compensation expense of $15.0 million to $16.0 million
  • Amortization of acquisition-related intangible assets of approximately $12.0 million
  • Restructuring costs of approximately $12.5 million
  • A legal settlement of $4.8 million
  • Any investment gains or losses.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2023

Historical avgQ2 2023

-2.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-3.2%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.7%

Avg return

30 days after

38%

25 / 65 earnings

Positive

+8.9%

Q3 2024

Best reaction

-16.0%

Q4 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.9%+4.3%+14.9%
Q4 2025-9.7%-7.1%-3.9%
Q3 2025+2.9%+0.1%-12.5%
Q1 2025+3.7%+7.6%+9.9%
Q4 2024-12.1%-12.5%-33.0%
Q3 2024+8.9%+10.6%+15.0%
Q2 2024+6.6%+0.5%+1.5%
Q1 2024-6.8%-3.7%-2.5%
Q4 2023-8.1%-14.2%-12.4%
Q3 2023-4.2%-11.6%-3.0%
Q2 2023+1.0%+3.2%-1.1%
Q1 2023-15.8%-14.7%-0.3%
Q4 2022-16.0%-13.5%-15.9%
Q3 2022-15.8%-20.4%-14.2%
Q2 2022-7.3%-7.1%-16.7%
Q1 2022-2.9%-8.5%-7.5%
Q4 2021-3.8%-2.2%-6.3%
Q3 2021+5.4%+9.1%+5.4%
Q2 2021+5.4%-1.3%+3.9%
Q1 2021+4.3%+3.5%-4.1%
Q4 2020-3.8%-4.4%+0.7%
Q3 2020+3.0%+9.0%+20.6%
Q2 2020+7.6%+9.2%+10.5%
Q1 2020+3.5%-10.8%+13.1%
Q4 2019-2.4%-4.9%-31.6%
Q3 2019-1.0%-1.2%+9.8%
Q2 2019-13.9%-21.7%-29.2%
Q1 2019-1.0%+1.6%-9.9%
Q4 2018+1.4%+4.2%+6.5%
Q3 2018-7.3%-4.3%+7.3%
Q2 2018-0.9%+2.8%+14.2%
Q1 2018-10.0%-10.2%-7.6%
Q4 2017-3.7%-5.8%+0.2%
Q3 2017+0.5%-0.8%+6.3%
Q2 2017-1.4%-1.6%-2.1%
Q1 2017-1.0%-2.0%-3.2%
Q4 2016-12.3%-10.8%-8.2%
Q3 2016-3.6%+0.4%+10.5%
Q2 2016+8.1%+5.8%+8.2%
Q1 2016-4.3%
Q4 2015+2.3%
Q3 2015+3.3%
Q2 2015-5.3%
Q1 2015-4.2%
Q4 2014+0.3%
Q3 2014-3.1%
Q2 2014+0.4%
Q1 2014+5.9%
Q4 2013-2.0%
Q3 2013-1.3%
Q2 2013-6.4%
Q1 2013+1.1%
Q4 2012-4.6%
Q3 2012+1.0%
Q2 2012-12.1%
Q1 2011-1.9%
Q1 2012+5.3%
Q4 2009+0.1%
Q4 2011+0.1%
Q3 2011-1.0%
Q3 2010-1.0%
Q2 2010-1.0%
Q2 2011-1.0%
Q4 2010-1.0%
Q1 2010+5.0%

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