NASDAQ$FNKO

Funko Inc · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Funko's Q4 2019 financial results were reported, showing a decrease in net sales compared to the previous year.

Funko reported a decrease in net sales by 8% to $213.6 million in Q4 2019 compared to $233.2 million in Q4 2018. The decline was attributed to softness at retail during the holiday season, underperformance in key tentpole properties, and difficult comparisons due to the strength of Fortnite in Q4 2018.

  • Net sales decreased 8% to $213.6 million.
  • Gross margin decreased to 29.2%, but excluding a one-time inventory write-down, gross margin was 37.1%.
  • Net loss was $6.3 million, compared to a net income of $15.5 million in Q4 2018.
  • The company expects net sales growth of 6% to 9% in 2020.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$214M

Previous: $233M-8.4%
EPS (adj)

$0.18

Previous: $0.44-59.1%
Gross Margin

29.2%

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

12.0%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$15.1M

Previous: $6M+152.0%
Free Cash Flow

$12.7M

Previous: $22.6M-43.9%
Net Income

-$6.3M

Previous: $6.01M-204.8%
Operating Income

-$5.84M

Previous: $30.5M-119.2%
Gross Profit

$62.4M

Previous: $85.7M-27.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$25M

Previous: $13.5M+85.4%
Total Assets

$796M

Previous: $666M+19.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.21M

Previous: $3.39M-5.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Funko · Revenue · Quarterly

$214M

Q4 2019-8.4%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 10 of 13 quarters(77%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Funko · $313M total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Core Collectible
    $233M-17.4%
  • Loungefly
    $57.4M-3.6%
  • Other
    $22.2M-5.9%

Forward guidance

In 2020, the Company expects net sales of $840.0 million to $865.0 million, representing 6% to 9% growth compared to 2019, and adjusted EBITDA between $115.0 million and $125.0 million.

Tailwinds

  • Net sales of $840.0 million to $865.0 million, representing 6% to 9% growth compared to 2019.
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $115.0 million to $125.0 million, representing Adjusted EBITDA margin of 13.7% to 14.5%.
  • Adjusted Net Income of $43.3 million to $50.8 million, based on a blended tax rate of 25%.
  • Adjusted Earnings per Diluted Share of $0.85 per share to $1.00 per share, based on estimated adjusted average diluted shares outstanding of 51.0 million for the full year.
  • Strong gross margin performance.

Headwinds

  • Anticipated impact from the coronavirus.
  • Net sales in the first quarter of 2020 will decline in the mid-teens.
  • The first half of the year will decline mid-single digits, which includes the anticipated impact of manufacturing disruptions and delayed shipments.
  • Investments being made to enhance operations, drive efficiency and build scale in the model.
  • Potential effect of the novel coronavirus due to manufacturing disruptions and delayed shipments resulting from the crisis.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

+0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.2%

Avg return

30 days after

56%

19 / 34 earnings

Positive

+25.1%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-59.2%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.6%+26.3%+16.2%
Q4 2025-4.0%-18.6%-15.3%
Q3 2025+10.3%+22.2%-0.3%
Q1 2025-16.5%+11.7%+14.5%
Q4 2024-13.5%-28.8%-49.3%
Q3 2024-3.4%-9.2%+0.9%
Q2 2024+11.7%+11.0%+11.6%
Q1 2024+8.9%+28.2%+43.5%
Q4 2023+7.0%-0.8%-10.6%
Q3 2023+22.1%+9.6%-5.0%
Q2 2023-13.2%-12.7%-4.4%
Q1 2023+15.0%+13.5%+27.4%
Q4 2022-8.0%-9.6%-12.8%
Q3 2022-59.2%-47.1%-45.8%
Q2 2022-19.2%-22.0%-23.1%
Q1 2022+19.5%+8.9%+21.7%
Q4 2021+9.5%-4.0%-1.6%
Q3 2021+10.8%+8.1%-7.6%
Q2 2021-3.3%-5.0%-0.5%
Q1 2021+19.1%+9.5%+10.2%
Q4 2020+23.0%+24.3%+58.0%
Q3 2020-9.4%+12.0%+63.2%
Q2 2020-4.8%+2.9%+2.6%
Q1 2020+25.1%+18.4%+88.1%
Q4 2019-8.1%-17.5%-57.8%
Q3 2019-12.7%-16.1%-18.0%
Q2 2019+10.0%+9.1%+8.1%
Q1 2019+3.4%+9.7%+4.6%
Q4 2018+3.8%-6.7%+7.8%
Q3 2018-25.3%-25.7%-31.5%
Q2 2018+8.5%+7.3%+50.3%
Q1 2018+2.5%+3.5%+28.4%
Q4 2017+7.1%+13.0%+3.4%
Q3 2017-10.7%-17.2%-34.7%
Q2 2017
Q1 2017
Q4 2016
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
Q4 2015

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