NASDAQ$CVGI

Commercial Vehicle Group Inc · Q4 2021 earnings

Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported fourth quarter results with revenue increase and improved profitability.

CVG reported Q4 2021 results with a 6% increase in revenue to $228.9 million, driven by material inflation cost pass-through and a higher truck build rate in North America. Net income increased to $2.6 million, or $0.08 per diluted share, and adjusted net income was $4.1 million, or $0.13 per diluted share.

  • Revenue increased by 6.0% to $228.9 million due to material inflation cost pass-through.
  • Operating income rose by 30.0% to $6.5 million, driven by lower SG&A expenses.
  • Net income was $2.6 million, or $0.08 per diluted share, an increase of $0.21 per diluted share.
  • Adjusted EBITDA decreased slightly to $12.9 million due to lag in price-cost offsets and startup costs from new business wins.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$229M

Previous: $216M+6.0%
EPS (adj)

$0.13

Previous: -$0.05+360.0%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

5.6%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$6.21M

Previous: $1.12M+454.1%
Free Cash Flow

-$15.2M

Previous: $2.48M-711.3%
Net Income

$2.6M

Previous: -$4.1M+163.4%
Operating Income

$6.5M

Previous: $5M+30.0%
Gross Profit

$23.4M

Previous: $23.1M+1.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$35M

Previous: $50.5M-30.8%
Total Assets

$508M

Previous: $454M+11.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.23M

Previous: $989K+23.9%

Revenue & EPS history

CVG · Revenue · Quarterly

$229M

Q4 2021+6%vs Q4 2020
Beat estimate in 9 of 16 quarters(56%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

CVG · $38.2M total across 1 segment · Q4 2021

  • Global Electrical Systems
    $38.2M-72.4%

Forward guidance

The company expects cost inflation and the impact of certain legacy contracts that are still in place as well as supply chain disruptions to be headwinds to our results through the first half of 2022, before showing improvement in the second half of the year. We are estimating the industry will be able to make approximately 270,000 trucks, or roughly flat to 2021.

Tailwinds

  • Success with our new business agenda
  • Expansion into new end markets like electric vehicles
  • Aggressive plan with our aftermarket business to increase profitable revenue growth.
  • Estimate the industry will be able to make approximately 270,000 trucks, or roughly flat to 2021.
  • Expect 3 years of modestly rising production.

Headwinds

  • Cost inflation
  • Impact of certain legacy contracts that are still in place
  • Supply chain disruptions
  • New business startup costs to continue at a high rate
  • Conservative stance on the 2022 North America Class 8 truck build rate.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021

Historical avgQ4 2021

+0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+5.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+7.1%

Avg return

30 days after

48%

31 / 65 earnings

Positive

+32.0%

Q2 2020

Best reaction

-23.8%

Q4 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.7%+20.0%+29.9%
Q4 2026+25.5%+123.5%+142.0%
Q3 2025+0.0%+2.0%+8.7%
Q1 2025+14.7%+60.0%+56.7%
Q4 2024-3.8%-15.6%-50.5%
Q3 2024-20.3%-15.9%-23.6%
Q2 2024-17.6%-28.8%-31.7%
Q1 2024-6.4%-5.9%-9.2%
Q4 2023-8.2%-7.5%-3.7%
Q3 2023-10.9%-15.5%-0.9%
Q2 2023+8.9%-2.8%-12.3%
Q1 2023+18.5%+36.7%+32.5%
Q4 2022-12.7%-10.7%-18.7%
Q3 2022+4.5%+21.1%+48.8%
Q2 2022+0.7%-2.6%-17.2%
Q1 2022+1.5%-3.5%-3.2%
Q4 2021-1.8%+7.5%+7.9%
Q3 2021-10.8%-11.7%-17.0%
Q2 2021+2.7%+5.0%+11.2%
Q1 2021+7.4%+17.0%+0.6%
Q4 2020+0.5%+7.1%-0.6%
Q3 2020+4.9%+9.3%+31.8%
Q2 2020+32.0%+48.1%+59.9%
Q1 2020+6.1%+21.9%+64.5%
Q4 2019-23.8%-40.7%-53.3%
Q3 2019-4.6%-5.0%-9.3%
Q2 2019-7.3%-8.4%-22.6%
Q1 2019-6.5%-16.1%-27.7%
Q4 2018+4.4%+0.8%+7.4%
Q3 2018-1.4%-2.1%-5.3%
Q2 2018+24.0%+26.8%+32.5%
Q1 2018+27.4%+19.8%+15.1%
Q4 2017-19.2%-21.3%-34.2%
Q3 2017+21.6%+20.1%+32.1%
Q2 2017-21.4%-28.7%-25.2%
Q1 2017-2.5%+10.5%-0.1%
Q4 2016-2.3%-4.4%+13.1%
Q3 2016+1.7%+4.1%+12.9%
Q2 2016+7.7%+9.7%+37.2%
Q1 2016+12.8%
Q4 2015-9.2%
Q3 2015-6.7%
Q2 2015-12.3%
Q1 2015+3.0%
Q4 2014+11.5%
Q3 2014-1.0%
Q2 2014-0.5%
Q1 2014-6.4%
Q4 2013+2.2%
Q3 2013-5.3%
Q2 2013-7.7%
Q1 2013+3.6%
Q4 2012-4.8%
Q3 2012+4.3%
Q2 2012-8.6%
Q1 2011-2.3%
Q1 2012+4.5%
Q4 2009+5.5%
Q4 2011+5.5%
Q3 2011+19.2%
Q3 2010+19.2%
Q4 2010-12.3%
Q2 2010-12.3%
Q2 2011-12.3%
Q1 2010+8.0%

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