NASDAQ$CVGI

Commercial Vehicle Group Inc · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year 2019.

Commercial Vehicle Group experienced a decrease in revenues and operating income for the fourth quarter of 2019, primarily due to a decline in heavy-duty truck production in North America and the global construction market. The company took proactive steps to align the business to lower production levels, with restructuring actions expected to reduce operating costs by $5 to $7 million annually once fully implemented by early 2021.

  • Revenues decreased by 15.3% to $189.5 million compared to the prior year period, mainly due to lower heavy-duty truck production in North America and declines in the construction equipment markets.
  • Operating loss was $4.3 million, compared to an operating income of $13.4 million in the prior year period, impacted by lower volumes, inflationary pressure, and operating inefficiencies.
  • Net loss was $7.5 million, or $0.24 per diluted share, compared to a net income of $8.1 million, or $0.26 per diluted share, in the prior year period.
  • Restructuring initiatives, including employee separation costs and manufacturing capacity rationalization, totaled $3.0 million in charges during the quarter.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$189M

Previous: $224M-15.3%
EPS (adj)

-$0.15

Previous: $0.29-151.7%
Capital Expenditures

$4.73M

Previous: $4.33M+9.4%
Free Cash Flow

$2.98M

Previous: $16.6M-82.1%
Net Income

-$7.53M

Previous: $8.88M-184.8%
Operating Income

-$4.28M

Previous: $14.4M-129.6%
Gross Profit

$10.2M

Previous: $30.3M-66.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$39.5M

Previous: $70.9M-44.3%
Total Assets

$436M

Previous: $413M+5.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$643K

Previous: $840K-23.5%

Revenue & EPS history

CVG · Revenue · Quarterly

$189M

Q4 2019-15.3%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

CVG · $190M total across 2 segments · Q4 2019

  • Global Electrical Systems
    $114M
  • Global Seating
    $76.5M

Forward guidance

Management estimates that 2020 North American Class 8 truck production may decline by 35% to 42% (to 200,000 to 225,000 production units), North American Class 5-7 production may decline by 15% to 20%, and the construction markets the Company serves in North America, Europe and Asia Pacific may decline by 10 to 15%.

Tailwinds

  • steady improvements in our ability to produce in China operation
  • operating at approximately 70% of expected levels in China.
  • sales losses in the first quarter have been immaterial
  • early indications are that the customers intend to make up lost production throughout the year
  • implementing preventative measures where possible while monitoring conditions closely

Headwinds

  • 2020 North American Class 8 truck production may decline by 35% to 42%
  • North American Class 5-7 production may decline by 15% to 20%
  • construction markets the Company serves in North America, Europe and Asia Pacific may decline by 10 to 15%
  • experienced unplanned downtime during the first quarter in our China operation due to the COVID-19 virus
  • situation is dynamic in other regions

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

+0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+5.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+7.1%

Avg return

30 days after

48%

31 / 65 earnings

Positive

+32.0%

Q2 2020

Best reaction

-23.8%

Q4 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.7%+20.0%+29.9%
Q4 2026+25.5%+123.5%+142.0%
Q3 2025+0.0%+2.0%+8.7%
Q1 2025+14.7%+60.0%+56.7%
Q4 2024-3.8%-15.6%-50.5%
Q3 2024-20.3%-15.9%-23.6%
Q2 2024-17.6%-28.8%-31.7%
Q1 2024-6.4%-5.9%-9.2%
Q4 2023-8.2%-7.5%-3.7%
Q3 2023-10.9%-15.5%-0.9%
Q2 2023+8.9%-2.8%-12.3%
Q1 2023+18.5%+36.7%+32.5%
Q4 2022-12.7%-10.7%-18.7%
Q3 2022+4.5%+21.1%+48.8%
Q2 2022+0.7%-2.6%-17.2%
Q1 2022+1.5%-3.5%-3.2%
Q4 2021-1.8%+7.5%+7.9%
Q3 2021-10.8%-11.7%-17.0%
Q2 2021+2.7%+5.0%+11.2%
Q1 2021+7.4%+17.0%+0.6%
Q4 2020+0.5%+7.1%-0.6%
Q3 2020+4.9%+9.3%+31.8%
Q2 2020+32.0%+48.1%+59.9%
Q1 2020+6.1%+21.9%+64.5%
Q4 2019-23.8%-40.7%-53.3%
Q3 2019-4.6%-5.0%-9.3%
Q2 2019-7.3%-8.4%-22.6%
Q1 2019-6.5%-16.1%-27.7%
Q4 2018+4.4%+0.8%+7.4%
Q3 2018-1.4%-2.1%-5.3%
Q2 2018+24.0%+26.8%+32.5%
Q1 2018+27.4%+19.8%+15.1%
Q4 2017-19.2%-21.3%-34.2%
Q3 2017+21.6%+20.1%+32.1%
Q2 2017-21.4%-28.7%-25.2%
Q1 2017-2.5%+10.5%-0.1%
Q4 2016-2.3%-4.4%+13.1%
Q3 2016+1.7%+4.1%+12.9%
Q2 2016+7.7%+9.7%+37.2%
Q1 2016+12.8%
Q4 2015-9.2%
Q3 2015-6.7%
Q2 2015-12.3%
Q1 2015+3.0%
Q4 2014+11.5%
Q3 2014-1.0%
Q2 2014-0.5%
Q1 2014-6.4%
Q4 2013+2.2%
Q3 2013-5.3%
Q2 2013-7.7%
Q1 2013+3.6%
Q4 2012-4.8%
Q3 2012+4.3%
Q2 2012-8.6%
Q1 2011-2.3%
Q1 2012+4.5%
Q4 2009+5.5%
Q4 2011+5.5%
Q3 2011+19.2%
Q3 2010+19.2%
Q4 2010-12.3%
Q2 2010-12.3%
Q2 2011-12.3%
Q1 2010+8.0%

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