NASDAQ$COCO

The Vita Coco Company Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

The company reported a net sales increase of 15% driven by strong growth in Vita Coco Coconut Water and improved gross margins due to lower transportation costs.

The Vita Coco Company reported strong Q4 2023 results, with net sales up 15% to $106 million and net income of $7 million, a significant improvement from the previous year's net loss. Gross profit also increased due to lower transportation costs and higher pricing.

  • Net sales grew 15% to $106 million, driven by strong Vita Coco Coconut Water sales.
  • Gross profit was $40 million, representing 37% of net sales, driven by lower transportation costs and higher pricing.
  • Net income was $7 million, or $0.11 per diluted share, compared to a net loss of $(3) million, or $(0.05) per diluted share.
  • Non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA was $8 million, up from $4 million in the prior year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$106M

Previous: $92M+15.4%
EPS (adj)

$0.11

Previous: $0.07+57.1%
Gross Margin

37.5%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$66K

Previous: $75K-188.0%
Net Income

$7M

Previous: -$2.81M+349.1%
Operating Income

$5.42M

Previous: -$4.86M+211.7%
Gross Profit

$39.8M

Previous: $22.4M+77.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$2M

Previous: $1.73M+15.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Vita Coco · Revenue · Quarterly

$106M

Q4 2023+15.4%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The company expects net sales between $495 million and $505 million and Adjusted EBITDA between $74 million and $78 million for fiscal year 2024.

Tailwinds

  • Projected Vita Coco Coconut Water volume growth.
  • Projected private label coconut water volume growth.
  • Full year gross margin expected to be between 36% and 38%.
  • SG&A expenses expected to be approximately flat to 2023.
  • Forecasting Adjusted EBITDA in the range of $74 million to $78 million.

Headwinds

  • Expected decreases in private label coconut oil business.
  • Price/mix effects.
  • Uncertainty related to transportation cost impacts from recent increases in ocean freight routes.
  • Uncertainty and instability of the current operating environment.
  • Uncertainty and instability of global economies and geopolitical landscape.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+2.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+5.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+5.2%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

12 / 23 earnings

Positive

+29.8%

Q1 2026

Best reaction

-21.4%

Q1 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+29.8%+30.1%+45.5%
Q4 2025-11.4%-5.1%-6.4%
Q3 2025+7.0%-3.4%+26.4%
Q1 2025+4.8%+10.3%+12.8%
Q4 2024-11.7%-14.1%-21.8%
Q3 2024-3.8%+12.4%+15.5%
Q2 2024+7.8%+6.8%+6.0%
Q1 2024+9.2%+8.8%+20.1%
Q4 2023+16.4%+16.7%+8.9%
Q3 2023+20.0%+23.8%+20.1%
Q2 2023-7.2%+4.5%+2.8%
Q1 2023+12.5%+14.1%+30.2%
Q4 2022+5.9%-0.5%+24.7%
Q3 2022+9.5%+17.1%+41.9%
Q2 2022+9.5%+30.9%+34.9%
Q1 2022-21.4%-11.3%-1.3%
Q2 2021-4.2%+2.9%+8.5%
Q4 2019-4.2%+2.9%+8.5%
Q4 2021-18.5%-21.9%-12.2%
Q3 2020-0.6%-3.5%-39.9%
Q1 2021-0.6%-3.5%-39.9%
Q4 2020-0.6%-3.5%-39.9%
Q3 2021+4.8%+9.9%-25.0%
Q2 2020
Q1 2020

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