NASDAQ$AXSM

Axsome Therapeutics Inc · Q3 2021 earnings

Q3 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported third quarter results and provided business update.

Axsome Therapeutics reported financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2021. The company is advancing its late-stage CNS product candidates and preparing for potential commercial launches of AXS-05 and AXS-07, pending FDA approvals.

  • FDA review of NDA for AXS-05 in depression continues.
  • NDA for AXS-07 in migraine was accepted.
  • Phase 3 ACCORD trial of AXS-05 in Alzheimer’s disease agitation is ongoing.
  • Phase 3 SYMPHONY trial of AXS-12 in narcolepsy was initiated.

Headline financials

EPS (adj)

-$0.93

Previous: -$0.61-52.5%
R&D Expenses

$13.2M

Previous: $14.8M-10.9%
SG&A Expenses

$20.2M

Previous: $6.33M+219.5%
Total Shares Outstanding

37.7M

Previous: 37.3M+0.9%
Capital Expenditures

$259K

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

-$27M

No prior period
Net Income

-$34.9M

Previous: -$22.9M-52.2%
Operating Income

-$33.4M

No prior period
Cash & Equivalents

$115M

Previous: $202M-43.4%
Total Assets

$117M

Previous: $204M-42.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.73M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Axsome · Revenue · Quarterly

$191M

Q1 2026+57.4%vs Q1 2025
Beat estimate in 4 of 9 quarters(44%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Axsome · $57.8M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • AUVELITY
    $37.7M
  • SUNOSI
    $20.1M+19.6%

Forward guidance

Axsome believes that its cash at September 30, 2021, along with the remaining committed capital from the $300 million term loan facility, is sufficient to fund anticipated operations into at least 2024. Axsome expects that its operating expenses will increase year over year as it continues to build out the commercial function and further advance its pipeline.

Tailwinds

  • AXS-05 for MDD, FDA action on NDA
  • AXS-07 for migraine, FDA action on NDA (PDUFA date April 30, 2022)
  • AXS-05 for MDD, commercial launch, if approved
  • AXS-07 for acute migraine, commercial launch, if approved (2022)
  • AXS-14 for fibromyalgia, NDA submission (2023)

Headwinds

  • Phase 3 SYMPHONY trial of AXS-12 in narcolepsy, topline data (1H 2023)
  • Phase 3 ACCORD trial of AXS-05 for Alzheimer’s disease agitation, topline data (1H 2023)

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2021

Historical avgQ3 2021

-1.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-2.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.7%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

21 / 41 earnings

Positive

+12.9%

Q1 2022

Best reaction

-53.5%

Q2 2021

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+8.1%+5.3%+13.0%
Q4 2025-4.7%-10.8%-11.9%
Q3 2025+1.9%+2.3%+9.5%
Q1 2025+3.7%-4.0%-3.6%
Q4 2024-2.3%+5.0%-3.7%
Q3 2024+7.5%+2.4%+3.7%
Q2 2024+1.3%-1.6%+13.2%
Q1 2024+2.9%-3.1%-0.9%
Q4 2023-11.5%-14.9%-12.9%
Q3 2023-3.1%-11.9%+6.5%
Q2 2023-1.5%-5.5%+10.7%
Q1 2023+4.1%+7.1%+2.4%
Q4 2022+11.7%+6.9%+2.3%
Q3 2022+11.2%+3.4%+36.9%
Q2 2022+11.7%+6.8%+41.3%
Q1 2022+12.9%-6.1%-24.3%
Q4 2021+11.9%+6.4%+47.2%
Q3 2021+1.4%-2.3%-12.6%
Q2 2021-53.5%-55.3%-48.9%
Q1 2021+0.1%+2.6%+11.5%
Q4 2020+3.6%-3.5%-15.9%
Q3 2020-9.7%-6.3%+7.1%
Q2 2020-0.6%+1.2%-7.3%
Q1 2020-2.8%-7.9%-15.7%
Q4 2019-16.8%-38.7%-23.8%
Q3 2019-1.2%-4.6%+76.4%
Q2 2019+2.2%+11.0%-0.5%
Q1 2019+7.2%+10.7%+12.2%
Q4 2018+4.6%+24.3%+29.2%
Q3 2018-15.8%-28.1%-24.7%
Q2 2018-1.9%-8.6%+27.6%
Q1 2018+1.5%+3.0%+4.5%
Q4 2017+2.6%+6.5%-8.4%
Q3 2017-4.1%+1.0%-0.5%
Q2 2017-5.0%-12.6%-19.3%
Q1 2017-1.2%-1.2%-4.8%
Q4 2016-4.1%+6.1%-27.6%
Q3 2016+0.7%+4.1%-17.8%
Q2 2016-1.4%-3.4%-1.6%
Q1 2016-1.4%-3.4%-1.6%
Q4 2015-10.0%
Q3 2015
Q2 2015
Q1 2015
Q4 2014
Q3 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014

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