NASDAQ$ALGN

Align Technology Inc · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Delivered revenue and EPS ahead of expectations, with total Invisalign® patients treated surpassing 15 million globally.

Align Technology reported Q1 2023 financial results with total revenues of $943.1 million, a sequential increase of 4.6%, and diluted net income per share of $1.14, and non-GAAP diluted net income per share of $1.82.

  • Q1'23 total revenues of $943.1 million, increased 4.6% sequentially, and diluted net income per share of $1.14, non-GAAP diluted net income per share of $1.82
  • Q1'23 revenues were favorably impacted by foreign exchange of approximately $25.8 million sequentially and unfavorably impacted by approximately $34.9 million year-over-year
  • Q1'23 operating income of $133.5 million and operating margin of 14.2%, non-GAAP operating margin of 18.5%
  • Q1'23 Clear Aligner revenues of $789.8 million, increased 7.9% sequentially, and Clear Aligner volume of 575.4 thousand cases, decreased 1.4% sequentially

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$943M

Previous: $973M-3.1%
EPS (adj)

$1.82

Previous: $2.13-14.6%
Clear Aligner Shipments

575.4K

Previous: 598.8K-3.9%
Capital Expenditures

-$64.1M

Previous: -$87.3M+26.6%
Free Cash Flow

$23.7M

Previous: $47M-49.6%
Net Income

$87.8M

Previous: $134M-34.6%
Operating Income

$134M

Previous: $198M-32.6%
Gross Profit

$661M

Previous: $709M-6.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$832M

Previous: $926M-10.1%
Total Assets

$5.9B

Previous: $5.94B-0.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$37.7M

Previous: $31.6M+19.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Align · Revenue · Quarterly

$943M

Q1 2023-3.1%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 7 of 15 quarters(47%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Align · $943M total across 2 segments · Q1 2023

  • Clear Aligner
    $790M
  • Imaging Systems and CAD/CAM Services
    $153M-6.2%

Forward guidance

For Q2'23, Align anticipates Clear Aligner volume and ASP to be up sequentially and Systems and Services revenue to be up sequentially. Q2’23 revenues are expected to be in the range of $980 million to $1,000 million. The company expects Q2'23 GAAP and Non-GAAP gross margin to be flat to slightly up from Q1’23, and Q2’23 GAAP and Non-GAAP operating margin to be up by approximately 1 point sequentially.

Tailwinds

  • Clear Aligner volume to be up sequentially in Q2'23.
  • Clear Aligner ASP to be up sequentially in Q2'23.
  • Systems and Services revenue to be up sequentially in Q2'23.
  • Q2'23 revenues to be in the range of $980 million to $1,000 million.
  • Q2'23 GAAP and Non-GAAP gross margin to be flat to slightly up from Q1’23.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

+2.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.3%

Avg return

30 days after

66%

45 / 68 earnings

Positive

+35.5%

Q3 2020

Best reaction

-28.2%

Q3 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.5%-5.4%-2.0%
Q4 2025+8.9%+21.7%+7.9%
Q3 2025+5.0%+2.9%+11.6%
Q1 2025+2.0%-0.1%+4.4%
Q4 2024+0.9%-2.7%-19.7%
Q3 2024+2.7%+2.4%+7.2%
Q2 2024-9.8%-10.6%-6.7%
Q1 2024-0.4%-2.3%-18.0%
Q4 2023+3.3%+4.1%+13.3%
Q3 2023-28.2%-29.7%-17.3%
Q2 2023+16.0%+13.8%+7.3%
Q1 2023-9.6%-9.7%-18.8%
Q4 2022+33.4%+27.0%+24.0%
Q3 2022-16.7%-10.9%-10.7%
Q2 2022+12.1%+12.3%+0.2%
Q1 2022-15.7%-14.5%-21.2%
Q4 2021-1.0%-1.6%-8.7%
Q3 2021+6.5%+11.5%+6.9%
Q2 2021+8.2%+11.9%+12.2%
Q1 2021-2.8%-3.5%-5.1%
Q4 2020+10.3%+8.0%-3.8%
Q3 2020+35.5%+35.8%+33.4%
Q2 2020-5.2%-2.1%-6.7%
Q1 2020+5.6%+3.3%+20.7%
Q4 2019-1.8%-5.5%-18.5%
Q3 2019+16.8%+17.2%+28.5%
Q2 2019-26.4%-28.2%-35.9%
Q1 2019+0.2%+7.2%+5.2%
Q4 2018+5.1%+10.2%+16.9%
Q3 2018-25.5%-30.1%-29.8%
Q2 2018-2.6%-6.4%-1.3%
Q1 2018+8.4%+4.3%+32.9%
Q4 2017-5.3%-7.0%-11.3%
Q3 2017+16.9%+18.5%+26.3%
Q2 2017+9.1%+6.8%+8.7%
Q1 2017+12.4%+12.0%+18.7%
Q4 2016+8.1%+6.5%+15.7%
Q3 2016+3.6%+6.8%+14.5%
Q2 2016+4.7%+6.1%+8.8%
Q1 2016-3.5%
Q4 2015+7.7%
Q3 2015+10.4%
Q2 2015-7.4%
Q1 2015+5.8%
Q4 2014-9.4%
Q3 2014+7.3%
Q2 2014+6.1%
Q1 2014-2.4%
Q4 2013+2.9%
Q3 2013+32.6%
Q2 2013+10.4%
Q1 2013+2.3%
Q4 2012+9.0%
Q3 2012-26.4%
Q2 2012+10.8%
Q1 2012+13.7%
Q4 2011-2.1%
Q3 2011+2.9%
Q2 2011-4.3%
Q1 2010-2.0%
Q1 2011+1.6%
Q4 2010+5.1%
Q4 2008+5.1%
Q3 2009+6.3%
Q3 2010+6.3%
Q4 2009+0.4%
Q2 2010+0.4%
Q2 2009+0.4%

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