NASDAQ$ALCO

Alico Inc · Q1 2020 earnings

Q1 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Alico reported a net income of $0.8 million and EPS of $0.11, despite challenges in the pricing environment.

Alico, Inc. reported a net income attributable to Alico common stockholders of $0.8 million, with earnings per diluted common share at $0.11 for the fiscal quarter ended December 31, 2019. These results reflect the seasonal nature of the Company’s business.

  • Production of fruit on track to match prior season’s harvest.
  • Current pricing environment is challenging.
  • Additional proceeds of $4.5 million received under the Florida Citrus Recovery Block Grant Program.
  • Balance Sheet remains strong with a working capital ratio of 2.33 to 1.00.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$11M

Previous: $14.8M-25.5%
EPS (adj)

$0.11

Previous: -$0.10+210.0%
EBITDA

$6.31M

Previous: $2.28M+176.7%
Adjusted EBITDA

$2.2M

Previous: $4.06M-45.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$3.54M

Previous: -$3.46M-2.4%
Free Cash Flow

-$2.75M

Previous: -$5.93M+53.6%
Net Income

$791K

Previous: -$2.47M+132.1%
Operating Income

$2.85M

Previous: -$268K+1164.9%
Gross Profit

$5.61M

Previous: $3.18M+76.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$5.55M

Previous: $272K+1939.0%
Total Assets

$405M

Previous: $409M-0.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$301K

Previous: $553K-45.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Alico · Revenue · Quarterly

$11M

Q1 2020-25.5%vs Q1 2019

Revenue by segment

Alico · $11M total across 2 segments · Q1 2020

  • Alico Citrus
    $10.2M-26.8%
  • Land Management and Other Operations
    $830K-5.9%

Forward guidance

Alico is producing excellent fruit on schedule and as expected, but is affected by the pricing pressure that is currently impacting the entire citrus industry. The Company expects a lower level of revenues for this current fiscal year.

Tailwinds

  • Producing excellent fruit on schedule and as expected.
  • Long-term contracts mitigate the full impact of these low market prices.
  • Alico 2.0 Modernization program efforts.
  • Continued focus on controlling and managing future costs.
  • Cost structure and operating discipline will enable Alico to rebound strongly when market prices recover.

Headwinds

  • Affected by the pricing pressure that is currently impacting the entire citrus industry.
  • Expect a lower level of revenues for this current fiscal year.
  • Supply and demand imbalances in the past.
  • The Florida citrus crop being greater than expected in the 2018/2019 harvest season, leading to excess inventory levels in the current harvest season.
  • Continued inflow of imported fruit.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2020

Historical avgQ1 2020

-0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.0%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.7%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

29 / 65 earnings

Positive

+16.5%

Q4 2014

Best reaction

-9.5%

Q4 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026+1.0%-0.6%+1.3%
Q1 2026-0.5%-0.3%-2.0%
Q4 2025+4.6%+9.7%+13.5%
Q2 2025+4.0%+4.4%+6.1%
Q1 2025+0.8%-1.4%-3.8%
Q4 2024+0.0%+3.7%-3.2%
Q3 2024+0.2%-4.8%+0.5%
Q2 2024+2.8%+2.9%-4.1%
Q1 2024+0.5%+5.4%-5.6%
Q4 2023+3.0%+3.3%+0.6%
Q3 2023-4.3%-4.0%-9.2%
Q2 2023-0.0%-0.8%+4.7%
Q1 2023-2.3%-3.1%-6.5%
Q4 2022-9.5%-14.0%-10.1%
Q3 2022-8.8%-9.4%-5.7%
Q2 2022+1.2%+4.0%+7.4%
Q1 2022-5.8%-6.6%-4.9%
Q4 2021-1.7%-0.1%+4.1%
Q3 2021+0.4%+0.2%-0.6%
Q2 2021+0.7%+3.0%+6.6%
Q1 2021+0.8%-0.6%-1.8%
Q4 2020+1.1%+0.3%-0.0%
Q3 2020-0.6%-1.8%-7.2%
Q2 2020-1.9%-4.8%+7.9%
Q1 2020+1.2%-1.0%-11.1%
Q4 2019+0.6%+8.9%+9.4%
Q3 2019+0.4%+2.7%+2.7%
Q2 2019-0.8%-0.8%+1.8%
Q1 2019+0.8%+1.3%-0.5%
Q4 2018-0.2%+0.5%-5.3%
Q3 2018+2.9%+3.5%+3.7%
Q2 2018-2.0%-1.4%-5.6%
Q1 2018+3.5%-0.6%+4.6%
Q4 2017-0.3%-2.0%-13.9%
Q3 2017+0.3%+1.6%+8.0%
Q2 2017+0.7%+7.1%+0.7%
Q1 2017-1.3%-5.9%-8.6%
Q4 2016-3.8%+1.3%-0.5%
Q3 2016-0.1%-0.1%-2.1%
Q2 2016-5.1%
Q1 2016-5.0%
Q4 2015-0.3%
Q3 2015-0.2%
Q2 2015-1.7%
Q1 2015-1.7%
Q4 2014+16.5%
Q3 2014+3.0%
Q2 2014+1.2%
Q1 2014+0.3%
Q4 2013-0.8%
Q3 2013-6.3%
Q2 2013+2.8%
Q1 2013-4.5%
Q4 2012+4.2%
Q3 2012-1.6%
Q2 2012+3.3%
Q1 2011-3.0%
Q1 2012-3.0%
Q2 2011-0.6%
Q4 2011-0.6%
Q4 2009-0.6%
Q3 2010-0.4%
Q4 2010-0.4%
Q3 2011-0.4%
Q2 2010+8.1%

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