NASDAQ$ALCO

Alico Inc · Q3 2021 earnings

Q3 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported increased net income attributable to Alico common stockholders primarily due to higher gain on sales and increased market price per pound solids for citrus fruit.

Alico, Inc. announced financial results for the third quarter of fiscal year 2021. The company closed Alico Ranch sales for approximately 18,500 acres during the third quarter and the Board of Directors approved a substantial increase in the quarterly dividend. The company reiterates updated guidance for net income, EBITDA, adjusted net income and adjusted EBITDA for fiscal year 2021.

  • Final market prices per pound solids significantly increase in fiscal year 2021, with the Company’s overall average realized/blended price up 31.7% to $2.45 per pound solid.
  • Company closed Alico Ranch sales for approximately 18,500 acres during the third quarter ended June 30, 2021.
  • Alico Board of Directors approved a substantial increase in the quarterly dividend from $0.18 per common share to $0.50 per common share, effective the third quarter of fiscal year 2021.
  • Company reiterates updated guidance for net income, EBITDA, adjusted net income and adjusted EBITDA for fiscal year 2021.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$34.9M

Previous: $26.1M+33.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.51

Previous: $0.25+104.0%
EBITDA

$40.7M

Previous: $7.52M+440.8%
Adjusted EBITDA

$9.81M

Previous: $7.44M+31.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$15.8M

Previous: -$17M+7.3%
Free Cash Flow

$11.4M

Previous: -$14.9M+176.2%
Net Income

$27.1M

Previous: $2.1M+1193.8%
Operating Income

$6.6M

Previous: $3.66M+80.1%
Gross Profit

$8.51M

Previous: $6.22M+36.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$31.4M

Previous: $80.4M-60.9%
Total Assets

$447M

Previous: $470M-4.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$322K

Previous: $252K+27.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Alico · Revenue · Quarterly

$34.9M

Q3 2021+33.6%vs Q3 2020
Beat estimate in 3 of 6 quarters(50%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Alico · $34.9M total across 2 segments · Q3 2021

  • Alico Citrus
    $34.3M+35.1%
  • Land Management and Other Operations
    $626K-17.8%

Forward guidance

The Company is reiterating its previously updated guidance for the fiscal year ended September 30, 2021 as follows:

Tailwinds

  • The Company is projecting fiscal year 2021 net income to be between $33 million and $38.5 million.
  • Fiscal year 2021 adjusted net income (after adjusting out for certain of the expected non-recurring items, such as the real estate sales) is expected to be between $1.3 million and $3.8 million.
  • The Company is projecting fiscal year 2021 EBITDA to be between $64 million and $72 million.
  • Fiscal year 2021 adjusted EBITDA (after adjusting out for certain of the expected non-recurring items, such as the real estate sales) is expected to be between $21.7 million and $25.7 million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2021

Historical avgQ3 2021

-0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.0%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.7%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

29 / 65 earnings

Positive

+16.5%

Q4 2014

Best reaction

-9.5%

Q4 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026+1.0%-0.6%+1.3%
Q1 2026-0.5%-0.3%-2.0%
Q4 2025+4.6%+9.7%+13.5%
Q2 2025+4.0%+4.4%+6.1%
Q1 2025+0.8%-1.4%-3.8%
Q4 2024+0.0%+3.7%-3.2%
Q3 2024+0.2%-4.8%+0.5%
Q2 2024+2.8%+2.9%-4.1%
Q1 2024+0.5%+5.4%-5.6%
Q4 2023+3.0%+3.3%+0.6%
Q3 2023-4.3%-4.0%-9.2%
Q2 2023-0.0%-0.8%+4.7%
Q1 2023-2.3%-3.1%-6.5%
Q4 2022-9.5%-14.0%-10.1%
Q3 2022-8.8%-9.4%-5.7%
Q2 2022+1.2%+4.0%+7.4%
Q1 2022-5.8%-6.6%-4.9%
Q4 2021-1.7%-0.1%+4.1%
Q3 2021+0.4%+0.2%-0.6%
Q2 2021+0.7%+3.0%+6.6%
Q1 2021+0.8%-0.6%-1.8%
Q4 2020+1.1%+0.3%-0.0%
Q3 2020-0.6%-1.8%-7.2%
Q2 2020-1.9%-4.8%+7.9%
Q1 2020+1.2%-1.0%-11.1%
Q4 2019+0.6%+8.9%+9.4%
Q3 2019+0.4%+2.7%+2.7%
Q2 2019-0.8%-0.8%+1.8%
Q1 2019+0.8%+1.3%-0.5%
Q4 2018-0.2%+0.5%-5.3%
Q3 2018+2.9%+3.5%+3.7%
Q2 2018-2.0%-1.4%-5.6%
Q1 2018+3.5%-0.6%+4.6%
Q4 2017-0.3%-2.0%-13.9%
Q3 2017+0.3%+1.6%+8.0%
Q2 2017+0.7%+7.1%+0.7%
Q1 2017-1.3%-5.9%-8.6%
Q4 2016-3.8%+1.3%-0.5%
Q3 2016-0.1%-0.1%-2.1%
Q2 2016-5.1%
Q1 2016-5.0%
Q4 2015-0.3%
Q3 2015-0.2%
Q2 2015-1.7%
Q1 2015-1.7%
Q4 2014+16.5%
Q3 2014+3.0%
Q2 2014+1.2%
Q1 2014+0.3%
Q4 2013-0.8%
Q3 2013-6.3%
Q2 2013+2.8%
Q1 2013-4.5%
Q4 2012+4.2%
Q3 2012-1.6%
Q2 2012+3.3%
Q1 2011-3.0%
Q1 2012-3.0%
Q2 2011-0.6%
Q4 2011-0.6%
Q4 2009-0.6%
Q3 2010-0.4%
Q4 2010-0.4%
Q3 2011-0.4%
Q2 2010+8.1%

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