NASDAQ$ALCO

Alico Inc · Q2 2021 earnings

Q2 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Alico's financial performance increased due to higher revenue from the Alico Citrus segment, driven by increased price per pound solids, but was partially offset by reduced production and average pound solids per box.

Alico, Inc. reported a rise in net income attributable to common stockholders for the second quarter of fiscal year 2021, primarily driven by increased revenue from its Alico Citrus segment due to higher prices per pound solids. This was partially offset by a reduction in both production and average pound solids per box. The company also updated its guidance for net income, EBITDA, adjusted net income, and adjusted EBITDA for fiscal year 2021.

  • Market prices per pound solids have increased in fiscal year 2021 due to higher not-from-concentrate orange juice consumption and tighter citrus supply.
  • Production of fruit and average pound solids per box are down from the previous year.
  • The Company modified fixed-rate term debt with Metlife and expects to reduce debt service between $5 million and $6 million per year until maturity in November 2029.
  • The Company closed a sales transaction with the State of Florida for approximately 5,734 acres and is under contract to sell, or in final negotiations to sell, approximately 15,000 additional acres of the Alico Ranch.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$55.9M

Previous: $50.5M+10.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.66

Previous: $0.29+127.6%
EBITDA

$11.4M

Previous: $10.1M+12.7%
Adjusted EBITDA

$11.5M

Previous: $8.07M+43.1%
Capital Expenditures

-$10.3M

Previous: -$9.96M-3.8%
Free Cash Flow

-$5.47M

Previous: -$6.39M+14.4%
Net Income

$4.87M

Previous: $3.57M+36.3%
Operating Income

$7.57M

Previous: $3.66M+106.7%
Gross Profit

$10.2M

Previous: $6.62M+54.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$10.4M

Previous: $80.4M-87.1%
Total Assets

$429M

Previous: $472M-9.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$323K

Previous: $489K-33.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Alico · Revenue · Quarterly

$55.9M

Q2 2021+10.7%vs Q2 2020
Beat estimate in 3 of 5 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Alico · $6.71M total across 1 segment · Q3 2023

  • Alico Citrus
    $6.71M-73.7%

Forward guidance

Alico is updating its fiscal year 2021 guidance to reflect significantly lower anticipated box production this season. The Company has updated its EBITDA and Net Income guidance to include the gain on a completed sales transaction and the anticipated gain on pending sales transactions.

Tailwinds

  • The Company is now projecting net income to increase from its initial projection of between $7.5 million and $10 million to between $33 million and $38.5 million.
  • The Company is now projecting EBITDA to increase from its initial projection of $29 million and $33 million to between $64 million and $72 million.

Headwinds

  • Fiscal year 2021 adjusted net income is expected to decrease from the initial projection of $4.5 million and $6.9 million to between $1.3 million and $3.8 million.
  • Fiscal year 2021 adjusted EBITDA is expected to decrease from the initial projection of $25 million and $28.8 million to between $21.7 million and $25.7 million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2021

Historical avgQ2 2021

-0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.0%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.7%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

29 / 65 earnings

Positive

+16.5%

Q4 2014

Best reaction

-9.5%

Q4 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026+1.0%-0.6%+1.3%
Q1 2026-0.5%-0.3%-2.0%
Q4 2025+4.6%+9.7%+13.5%
Q2 2025+4.0%+4.4%+6.1%
Q1 2025+0.8%-1.4%-3.8%
Q4 2024+0.0%+3.7%-3.2%
Q3 2024+0.2%-4.8%+0.5%
Q2 2024+2.8%+2.9%-4.1%
Q1 2024+0.5%+5.4%-5.6%
Q4 2023+3.0%+3.3%+0.6%
Q3 2023-4.3%-4.0%-9.2%
Q2 2023-0.0%-0.8%+4.7%
Q1 2023-2.3%-3.1%-6.5%
Q4 2022-9.5%-14.0%-10.1%
Q3 2022-8.8%-9.4%-5.7%
Q2 2022+1.2%+4.0%+7.4%
Q1 2022-5.8%-6.6%-4.9%
Q4 2021-1.7%-0.1%+4.1%
Q3 2021+0.4%+0.2%-0.6%
Q2 2021+0.7%+3.0%+6.6%
Q1 2021+0.8%-0.6%-1.8%
Q4 2020+1.1%+0.3%-0.0%
Q3 2020-0.6%-1.8%-7.2%
Q2 2020-1.9%-4.8%+7.9%
Q1 2020+1.2%-1.0%-11.1%
Q4 2019+0.6%+8.9%+9.4%
Q3 2019+0.4%+2.7%+2.7%
Q2 2019-0.8%-0.8%+1.8%
Q1 2019+0.8%+1.3%-0.5%
Q4 2018-0.2%+0.5%-5.3%
Q3 2018+2.9%+3.5%+3.7%
Q2 2018-2.0%-1.4%-5.6%
Q1 2018+3.5%-0.6%+4.6%
Q4 2017-0.3%-2.0%-13.9%
Q3 2017+0.3%+1.6%+8.0%
Q2 2017+0.7%+7.1%+0.7%
Q1 2017-1.3%-5.9%-8.6%
Q4 2016-3.8%+1.3%-0.5%
Q3 2016-0.1%-0.1%-2.1%
Q2 2016-5.1%
Q1 2016-5.0%
Q4 2015-0.3%
Q3 2015-0.2%
Q2 2015-1.7%
Q1 2015-1.7%
Q4 2014+16.5%
Q3 2014+3.0%
Q2 2014+1.2%
Q1 2014+0.3%
Q4 2013-0.8%
Q3 2013-6.3%
Q2 2013+2.8%
Q1 2013-4.5%
Q4 2012+4.2%
Q3 2012-1.6%
Q2 2012+3.3%
Q1 2011-3.0%
Q1 2012-3.0%
Q2 2011-0.6%
Q4 2011-0.6%
Q4 2009-0.6%
Q3 2010-0.4%
Q4 2010-0.4%
Q3 2011-0.4%
Q2 2010+8.1%

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