NASDAQ$AKBA

Akebia Therapeutics Inc · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Akebia's financial performance remained relatively stable with a slight increase in total revenue and a reduction in net loss compared to the same quarter last year. The company focused on managing operating expenses and advancing its regulatory and pipeline initiatives.

Akebia Therapeutics reported a slight increase in total revenue to $49.0 million, driven by a 14.9% increase in Auryxia net product revenue, offset by a decrease in license and collaboration revenue. The company's net loss was reduced to $51.9 million. Akebia is focused on managing operating expenses and pursuing regulatory approval for vadadustat.

  • Total revenue increased slightly to $49.0 million compared to $48.8 million in Q3 2021.
  • Auryxia net product revenue increased by 14.9% to $42.2 million compared to Q3 2021.
  • Net loss decreased to $51.9 million compared to $59.5 million in Q3 2021.
  • Cash and cash equivalents totaled $144.8 million as of September 30, 2022.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$49M

Previous: $48.8M+0.4%
EPS (adj)

-$0.28

Previous: -$0.34+17.6%
Capital Expenditures

-$114K

Previous: -$59K-93.2%
Free Cash Flow

-$52M

Previous: -$59.6M+12.8%
Net Income

-$51.9M

Previous: -$59.5M+12.9%
Operating Income

-$48.2M

Previous: -$54.9M+12.2%
Gross Profit

$11M

Previous: $32.8M-66.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$145M

Previous: $207M-30.1%
Total Assets

$436M

Previous: $602M-27.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.36M

Previous: $5.59M-40.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Akebia · Revenue · Quarterly

$49M

Q3 2022+0.4%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Akebia · $48.9M total across 2 segments · Q3 2022

  • Auryxia
    $42.2M+14.7%
  • License & other revenue
    $6.7M-44.2%

Forward guidance

Akebia affirmed its 2022 Auryxia net product revenue guidance of $170 - $175 million.

Tailwinds

  • Affirmed 2022 Auryxia net product revenue guidance of $170 - $175M
  • Based on the current review timeline, Akebia expects a decision on the MAA from EMA in the first quarter of 2023.
  • Akebia continued to strengthen its balance sheet position by retiring $33 million of its $100 million debt facility with Pharmakon, inclusive of the first quarterly principal repayment.
  • Akebia has since further collaborated with UTHealth to begin outlining potential next steps associated with an ARDS development program.
  • By focusing on operating expenses and winding down certain projects, we’re pleased to report a reduction in spend quarter over quarter in 2022.

Headwinds

  • The phosphate binder market has contracted 15%.
  • A decrease from the second quarter of 2022 partially due to the drawdown of inventory at certain customers during the third quarter of 2022.
  • The decrease was primarily related to a reduction in revenue from the termination of the U.S. and international collaboration agreements between Akebia and Otsuka in the second quarter of 2022.
  • Increases in serum ferritin and transferrin saturation (TSAT) were observed in clinical trials with AURYXIA in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) on dialysis treated for hyperphosphatemia, which may lead to excessive elevations in iron stores.
  • Accidental ingestion and resulting overdose of iron-containing products is a leading cause of fatal poisoning in children under 6 years of age.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

-2.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.1%

Avg return

30 days after

41%

19 / 46 earnings

Positive

+34.4%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-22.4%

Q4 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-20.3%-20.3%-36.7%
Q4 2025+9.9%+0.8%+10.7%
Q3 2025-18.4%-18.1%-20.1%
Q1 2025+6.6%+0.8%+61.4%
Q4 2024-12.4%+32.1%-14.5%
Q3 2024-3.0%-2.5%+2.5%
Q2 2024+0.0%+20.7%+21.6%
Q1 2024-13.6%-12.1%-24.3%
Q4 2023+20.6%+29.8%+3.5%
Q3 2023-16.5%-15.3%+3.7%
Q2 2023+10.4%+12.0%-5.6%
Q1 2023-3.7%+3.7%+17.4%
Q4 2022-22.4%-33.7%-47.6%
Q3 2022+1.9%+2.6%+9.0%
Q2 2022+1.0%+3.6%-2.8%
Q1 2022+11.2%+16.6%+15.6%
Q4 2021+13.4%+12.0%-66.8%
Q3 2021-12.3%-14.4%-24.6%
Q2 2021+10.5%+6.5%+22.2%
Q1 2021+2.6%+10.6%+17.9%
Q4 2020-19.2%-17.5%-26.2%
Q3 2020-7.4%+0.8%+19.8%
Q2 2020-6.4%-4.1%-75.9%
Q1 2020+34.4%+38.3%+40.6%
Q4 2019-13.8%-27.0%-13.0%
Q3 2019-9.6%-8.2%+73.5%
Q2 2019+20.5%+22.4%+11.2%
Q1 2019+1.5%-0.7%-26.8%
Q4 2018-0.9%+2.7%-15.3%
Q3 2018+10.3%-4.2%+5.0%
Q2 2018-18.1%-22.1%-20.8%
Q1 2018+0.7%+11.0%+10.5%
Q4 2017-10.6%-12.6%-28.9%
Q3 2017-12.6%-12.8%-8.5%
Q2 2017+6.8%+9.4%+26.0%
Q1 2017-2.3%+2.2%+8.2%
Q4 2016-12.6%-9.3%-11.1%
Q3 2016+10.6%+14.1%+9.9%
Q2 2016-9.6%-7.4%-3.8%
Q1 2016-8.8%
Q4 2015-2.4%
Q3 2015-16.6%
Q2 2015-16.9%
Q1 2015+3.3%
Q3 2014-3.2%
Q1 2014+3.7%
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q4 2012

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