NASDAQ$AKBA

Akebia Therapeutics Inc · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Akebia reported fourth quarter and full-year 2020 financial results and provided business updates.

Akebia Therapeutics reported a Q4 2020 total revenue of $56.7 million, a decrease compared to $69.6 million in Q4 2019. The net loss was $87.0 million, slightly better than the $94.5 million net loss in the same quarter of the previous year. The company's cash position remained strong with $268.7 million in cash, cash equivalents, and available-for-sale securities.

  • Total revenue for Q4 2020 was $56.7 million, compared to $69.6 million for Q4 2019.
  • Net product revenue increased to $34.6 million for Q4 2020, up from $28.9 million for Q4 2019.
  • Net loss for Q4 2020 was $87.0 million, compared to $94.5 million for Q4 2019.
  • Cash, cash equivalents and available-for-sale securities totaled $268.7 million as of December 31, 2020.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$56.7M

Previous: $69.6M-18.5%
EPS (adj)

-$0.60

Previous: -$0.79+24.1%
Capital Expenditures

$317K

Previous: $220K+44.1%
Free Cash Flow

-$31.1M

Previous: -$92.4M+66.3%
Net Income

-$87M

Previous: -$94.5M+7.9%
Operating Income

-$85.4M

Previous: -$94.9M+10.0%
Gross Profit

-$62.6M

Previous: $2.36M-2749.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$269M

Previous: $148M+81.9%
Total Assets

$644M

Previous: $771M-16.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$6.09M

Previous: $4.93M+23.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Akebia · Revenue · Quarterly

$56.7M

Q4 2020-18.5%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 8 of 16 quarters(50%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Akebia · $56.7M total across 2 segments · Q4 2020

  • Auryxia
    $34.6M+19.7%
  • License & other revenue
    $22.1M-45.6%

Forward guidance

Akebia anticipates that the COVID-19 pandemic will continue to negatively impact Auryxia revenue growth due to higher hospitalization and mortality rates among kidney patient populations. The company is focused on improving its cost structure and maintaining a strong balance sheet, as evidenced by the recent royalty transaction with HCR. Akebia expects its cash resources to fund its operating plan beyond the anticipated U.S. launch of vadadustat.

Tailwinds

  • Focus on improving cost structure.
  • Maintaining a strong balance sheet.
  • Recent $60 million non-dilutive royalty transaction with HCR.
  • Cash resources expected to fund the operating plan beyond vadadustat launch.
  • Advancing vadadustat toward commercialization.

Headwinds

  • COVID-19 continues to adversely impact the patient population.
  • Expectation of negative impact on future Auryxia revenue growth.
  • Higher hospitalization rates among kidney patient populations.
  • Higher mortality rates among kidney patient populations.
  • Unable to fully quantify the impact of COVID-19 on future revenues.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

-2.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.1%

Avg return

30 days after

41%

19 / 46 earnings

Positive

+34.4%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-22.4%

Q4 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-20.3%-20.3%-36.7%
Q4 2025+9.9%+0.8%+10.7%
Q3 2025-18.4%-18.1%-20.1%
Q1 2025+6.6%+0.8%+61.4%
Q4 2024-12.4%+32.1%-14.5%
Q3 2024-3.0%-2.5%+2.5%
Q2 2024+0.0%+20.7%+21.6%
Q1 2024-13.6%-12.1%-24.3%
Q4 2023+20.6%+29.8%+3.5%
Q3 2023-16.5%-15.3%+3.7%
Q2 2023+10.4%+12.0%-5.6%
Q1 2023-3.7%+3.7%+17.4%
Q4 2022-22.4%-33.7%-47.6%
Q3 2022+1.9%+2.6%+9.0%
Q2 2022+1.0%+3.6%-2.8%
Q1 2022+11.2%+16.6%+15.6%
Q4 2021+13.4%+12.0%-66.8%
Q3 2021-12.3%-14.4%-24.6%
Q2 2021+10.5%+6.5%+22.2%
Q1 2021+2.6%+10.6%+17.9%
Q4 2020-19.2%-17.5%-26.2%
Q3 2020-7.4%+0.8%+19.8%
Q2 2020-6.4%-4.1%-75.9%
Q1 2020+34.4%+38.3%+40.6%
Q4 2019-13.8%-27.0%-13.0%
Q3 2019-9.6%-8.2%+73.5%
Q2 2019+20.5%+22.4%+11.2%
Q1 2019+1.5%-0.7%-26.8%
Q4 2018-0.9%+2.7%-15.3%
Q3 2018+10.3%-4.2%+5.0%
Q2 2018-18.1%-22.1%-20.8%
Q1 2018+0.7%+11.0%+10.5%
Q4 2017-10.6%-12.6%-28.9%
Q3 2017-12.6%-12.8%-8.5%
Q2 2017+6.8%+9.4%+26.0%
Q1 2017-2.3%+2.2%+8.2%
Q4 2016-12.6%-9.3%-11.1%
Q3 2016+10.6%+14.1%+9.9%
Q2 2016-9.6%-7.4%-3.8%
Q1 2016-8.8%
Q4 2015-2.4%
Q3 2015-16.6%
Q2 2015-16.9%
Q1 2015+3.3%
Q3 2014-3.2%
Q1 2014+3.7%
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q4 2012

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