NASDAQ$AKBA

Akebia Therapeutics Inc · Q2 2020 earnings

Q2 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2020.

Akebia Therapeutics reported a total revenue of $90.1 million for the second quarter of 2020, compared to $100.8 million for the second quarter of 2019. Net loss was $175.8 million for the second quarter of 2020, compared to $58.2 million for the second quarter of 2019. Cash, cash equivalents and available-for-sale securities as of June 30, 2020 were $295.3 million.

  • Top-line data readout of global Phase 3 PRO2TECT program of vadadustat for treatment of anemia due to CKD in adult patients not on dialysis on track for early September.
  • Cash runway extends beyond expected U.S. launch of vadadustat.
  • Vadadustat obtained first regulatory approval in Japan.
  • Company completed a public offering of its common stock raising net proceeds of $142.4 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$90.1M

Previous: $101M-10.6%
EPS (adj)

-$0.44

Previous: -$0.25-76.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$45K

Previous: -$3.91M+98.8%
Free Cash Flow

-$176M

Previous: -$62.1M-183.2%
Net Income

-$176M

Previous: -$58.2M-202.1%
Operating Income

-$174M

Previous: -$59.5M-192.0%
Gross Profit

-$84.5M

Previous: $63.1M-233.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$245M

Previous: $87.2M+181.4%
Total Assets

$745M

Previous: $824M-9.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$6.86M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Akebia · Revenue · Quarterly

$90.1M

Q2 2020-10.6%vs Q2 2019
Beat estimate in 8 of 16 quarters(50%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Akebia · $90.1M total across 2 segments · Q2 2020

  • License & other revenue
    $59.4M-17.1%
  • Auryxia
    $30.7M+5.5%

Forward guidance

Akebia is focused on advancing its vadadustat clinical development program and preparing for the potential U.S. launch of vadadustat.

Tailwinds

  • Top-line data readout of global Phase 3 PRO2TECT program of vadadustat for treatment of anemia due to CKD in adult patients not on dialysis on track for early September
  • Cash runway extends beyond expected U.S. launch of vadadustat
  • Positive top-line data from INNO2VATE program highlighting vadadustat’s potential
  • Vadadustat obtained first regulatory approval in Japan
  • Collaboration partner, Japan Tobacco, Inc., filed a supplemental New Drug Application with the Pharmaceuticals and Medical Devices Agency (PMDA)

Headwinds

  • Potential direct or indirect impact of the COVID-19 pandemic
  • Risk that existing preclinical and clinical data may not be predictive of the results of ongoing or later clinical trials, including PRO2TECT
  • Risk that clinical trials may not be successful
  • Manufacturing risks
  • Risks associated with potential generic entrants for our commercial product and vadadustat

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2020

Historical avgQ2 2020

-2.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.1%

Avg return

30 days after

41%

19 / 46 earnings

Positive

+34.4%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-22.4%

Q4 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-20.3%-20.3%-36.7%
Q4 2025+9.9%+0.8%+10.7%
Q3 2025-18.4%-18.1%-20.1%
Q1 2025+6.6%+0.8%+61.4%
Q4 2024-12.4%+32.1%-14.5%
Q3 2024-3.0%-2.5%+2.5%
Q2 2024+0.0%+20.7%+21.6%
Q1 2024-13.6%-12.1%-24.3%
Q4 2023+20.6%+29.8%+3.5%
Q3 2023-16.5%-15.3%+3.7%
Q2 2023+10.4%+12.0%-5.6%
Q1 2023-3.7%+3.7%+17.4%
Q4 2022-22.4%-33.7%-47.6%
Q3 2022+1.9%+2.6%+9.0%
Q2 2022+1.0%+3.6%-2.8%
Q1 2022+11.2%+16.6%+15.6%
Q4 2021+13.4%+12.0%-66.8%
Q3 2021-12.3%-14.4%-24.6%
Q2 2021+10.5%+6.5%+22.2%
Q1 2021+2.6%+10.6%+17.9%
Q4 2020-19.2%-17.5%-26.2%
Q3 2020-7.4%+0.8%+19.8%
Q2 2020-6.4%-4.1%-75.9%
Q1 2020+34.4%+38.3%+40.6%
Q4 2019-13.8%-27.0%-13.0%
Q3 2019-9.6%-8.2%+73.5%
Q2 2019+20.5%+22.4%+11.2%
Q1 2019+1.5%-0.7%-26.8%
Q4 2018-0.9%+2.7%-15.3%
Q3 2018+10.3%-4.2%+5.0%
Q2 2018-18.1%-22.1%-20.8%
Q1 2018+0.7%+11.0%+10.5%
Q4 2017-10.6%-12.6%-28.9%
Q3 2017-12.6%-12.8%-8.5%
Q2 2017+6.8%+9.4%+26.0%
Q1 2017-2.3%+2.2%+8.2%
Q4 2016-12.6%-9.3%-11.1%
Q3 2016+10.6%+14.1%+9.9%
Q2 2016-9.6%-7.4%-3.8%
Q1 2016-8.8%
Q4 2015-2.4%
Q3 2015-16.6%
Q2 2015-16.9%
Q1 2015+3.3%
Q3 2014-3.2%
Q1 2014+3.7%
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q4 2012

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