NASDAQ$AKBA

Akebia Therapeutics Inc · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Akebia reported financial results for Q1 2021 and highlighted recent corporate milestones.

Akebia Therapeutics reported a total revenue of $52.3 million for the first quarter of 2021, compared to $88.5 million for the first quarter of 2020. The net loss was $69.6 million, an increase from $60.7 million in the previous year. As of March 31, 2021, the company's cash, cash equivalents, and available-for-sale securities totaled $272.8 million.

  • Submitted the vadadustat NDA to the FDA.
  • Results of global Phase 3 programs for vadadustat published in New England Journal of Medicine.
  • Total revenue was $52.3 million for the first quarter of 2021.
  • Cash, cash equivalents and available-for-sale securities as of March 31, 2021 were $272.8 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$52.3M

Previous: $88.5M-40.9%
EPS (adj)

-$0.45

Previous: -$0.47+4.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$59K

Previous: -$1.93M+96.9%
Free Cash Flow

-$69.6M

Previous: -$62.7M-11.1%
Net Income

-$69.6M

Previous: -$60.7M-14.5%
Operating Income

-$64.9M

Previous: -$59.1M-9.8%
Gross Profit

$17.7M

Previous: $60.8M-70.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$253M

Previous: $115M+119.1%
Total Assets

$629M

Previous: $788M-20.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.99M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Akebia · Revenue · Quarterly

$52.3M

Q1 2021-40.9%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 8 of 16 quarters(50%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Akebia · $52.3M total across 2 segments · Q1 2021

  • Auryxia
    $30.4M+4.1%
  • License & other revenue
    $21.9M-63.1%

Forward guidance

Akebia expects its cash resources to fund its current operating plan beyond the expected U.S. launch of vadadustat, assuming timely regulatory approval and the receipt of associated regulatory milestones.

Tailwinds

  • Company expects its cash resources to fund its current operating plan beyond the expected U.S. launch of vadadustat.
  • Vadadustat NDA was submitted to the FDA.
  • The company is working with Otsuka on the preparation of a Marketing Authorization Application (MAA) for vadadustat for submission to the European Medicines Agency (EMA), expected this year.
  • Auryxia’s positioning will drive product revenue growth for the year.
  • The company believe that Auryxia’s performance highlights Auryxia’s favorable product profile and the critical nature of this therapy, as well as the company’s team’s ability to execute at a high level

Headwinds

  • The ongoing impact of COVID-19 on dialysis patients.
  • The company remain cautious due to COVID-19.
  • Lower collaboration revenue.
  • Higher cost of goods sold.
  • Vadadustat is not approved by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) or any other regulatory authority with the exception of Japan’s Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare (MHLW).

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

-2.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.1%

Avg return

30 days after

41%

19 / 46 earnings

Positive

+34.4%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-22.4%

Q4 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-20.3%-20.3%-36.7%
Q4 2025+9.9%+0.8%+10.7%
Q3 2025-18.4%-18.1%-20.1%
Q1 2025+6.6%+0.8%+61.4%
Q4 2024-12.4%+32.1%-14.5%
Q3 2024-3.0%-2.5%+2.5%
Q2 2024+0.0%+20.7%+21.6%
Q1 2024-13.6%-12.1%-24.3%
Q4 2023+20.6%+29.8%+3.5%
Q3 2023-16.5%-15.3%+3.7%
Q2 2023+10.4%+12.0%-5.6%
Q1 2023-3.7%+3.7%+17.4%
Q4 2022-22.4%-33.7%-47.6%
Q3 2022+1.9%+2.6%+9.0%
Q2 2022+1.0%+3.6%-2.8%
Q1 2022+11.2%+16.6%+15.6%
Q4 2021+13.4%+12.0%-66.8%
Q3 2021-12.3%-14.4%-24.6%
Q2 2021+10.5%+6.5%+22.2%
Q1 2021+2.6%+10.6%+17.9%
Q4 2020-19.2%-17.5%-26.2%
Q3 2020-7.4%+0.8%+19.8%
Q2 2020-6.4%-4.1%-75.9%
Q1 2020+34.4%+38.3%+40.6%
Q4 2019-13.8%-27.0%-13.0%
Q3 2019-9.6%-8.2%+73.5%
Q2 2019+20.5%+22.4%+11.2%
Q1 2019+1.5%-0.7%-26.8%
Q4 2018-0.9%+2.7%-15.3%
Q3 2018+10.3%-4.2%+5.0%
Q2 2018-18.1%-22.1%-20.8%
Q1 2018+0.7%+11.0%+10.5%
Q4 2017-10.6%-12.6%-28.9%
Q3 2017-12.6%-12.8%-8.5%
Q2 2017+6.8%+9.4%+26.0%
Q1 2017-2.3%+2.2%+8.2%
Q4 2016-12.6%-9.3%-11.1%
Q3 2016+10.6%+14.1%+9.9%
Q2 2016-9.6%-7.4%-3.8%
Q1 2016-8.8%
Q4 2015-2.4%
Q3 2015-16.6%
Q2 2015-16.9%
Q1 2015+3.3%
Q3 2014-3.2%
Q1 2014+3.7%
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q4 2012

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