NASDAQ$ABNB

Airbnb Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Airbnb ended 2023 with a strong fourth quarter, demonstrating growth in Nights and Experiences Booked and revenue.

Airbnb's Q4 2023 results showed strong growth with Nights and Experiences Booked totaling 98.8 million and revenue reaching $2.2 billion, up 17% year-over-year. The company reported a net loss of $349 million, which included non-recurring tax items, but Adjusted Net Income was $489 million. Adjusted EBITDA was $738 million, representing a 33% Adjusted EBITDA Margin.

  • Q4 revenue was $2.2 billion, up 17% year-over-year.
  • Q4 net loss was $349 million, including non-recurring tax items; Adjusted Net Income was $489 million.
  • Q4 Adjusted EBITDA was $738 million, up 46% year-over-year.
  • Q4 Free Cash Flow was $46 million, including non-recurring tax items.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.22B

Previous: $1.9B+16.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.76

Previous: $0.48+58.3%
Capital Expenditures

$30M

No prior period
Net Income

-$349M

Previous: $319M-209.4%
Operating Income

$1.52B

Previous: $235M+546.0%
Gross Profit

$8.21B

No prior period
R&D Expense

$432M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Airbnb · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.22B

Q4 2023+16.6%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

For Q1 2024, Airbnb expects revenue between $2.03 billion and $2.07 billion, representing year-over-year growth of 12% to 14%. The implied take rate is anticipated to be higher than Q1 2023 due to the timing of the Easter holiday. Adjusted EBITDA Margin is expected to expand relative to Q1 2023, with a full-year Adjusted EBITDA Margin of at least 35%.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue of $2.03B to $2.07B is expected for Q1 2024, representing 12-14% Y/Y growth.
  • Implied take rate in Q1 2024 will be notably higher than Q1 2023.
  • Adjusted EBITDA Margin in Q1 2024 is expected to expand relative to Q1 2023.
  • Expect to maintain an Adjusted EBITDA Margin of at least 35% for the full-year 2024.
  • Nominal Adjusted EBITDA growth is expected for both Q1 and full-year 2024.

Headwinds

  • Growth rate of nights booked in Q1 2024 is expected to moderate relative to Q4 2023.
  • Year-over-year revenue growth in Q1 2024 will benefit from the timing of Easter, at the expense of year-over-year growth in Q2 2024.
  • Marketing spend will continue to be weighted more towards the first half of the year than the second half of the year.
  • The growth rate of nights booked in Q1 2024 to moderate relative to Q4 2023 due to particularly strong growth in Q1 2023
  • Q1 2024 will benefit due to the timing of Easter at the expense of year-over-year growth in Q2 2024

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.5%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.1%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

11 / 22 earnings

Positive

+17.7%

Q4 2022

Best reaction

-11.7%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.2%-5.7%-4.9%
Q4 2025+4.6%+7.2%+8.9%
Q3 2025-3.9%+1.0%+3.1%
Q2 2025-8.0%-6.8%-5.1%
Q1 2025+1.0%-0.7%+4.0%
Q4 2024+14.4%+12.0%-12.9%
Q3 2024-4.5%-5.5%-2.8%
Q2 2024-9.8%-8.2%-7.3%
Q1 2024-8.0%-6.7%-8.2%
Q4 2023-3.6%-0.8%+8.2%
Q3 2023-2.4%-0.1%+14.1%
Q2 2023-3.0%-3.5%-8.2%
Q1 2023-9.9%-16.2%-8.1%
Q4 2022+17.7%+13.0%+3.1%
Q3 2022-11.7%-10.1%-5.3%
Q2 2022+3.4%+5.3%+2.0%
Q1 2022+2.2%-11.1%-20.6%
Q4 2021+10.0%+3.1%-7.1%
Q3 2021+16.6%+12.6%-3.5%
Q2 2021+3.1%-2.9%+11.5%
Q1 2021+0.7%-3.7%+5.8%
Q4 2020+3.1%-5.1%-12.9%
Q3 2020
Q2 2020
Q1 2020
Q4 2019
Q3 2019

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