NASDAQ$ABNB

Airbnb Inc · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Airbnb's business proved highly resilient, with revenue up 5% year-over-year and improved Adjusted EBITDA.

Airbnb's Q1 2021 results showed resilience with a 5% increase in revenue year-over-year, driven by strength in North America and higher Average Daily Rates. The company's net loss was impacted by significant items, but Adjusted EBITDA materially improved due to cost efficiencies.

  • Q1 2021 revenue increased by 5% year-over-year and exceeded Q1 2019 levels.
  • Several significant items impacted Q1 2021 net loss, totaling $782 million.
  • Q1 2021 Adjusted EBITDA materially improved due to a reduction in operating expenses.
  • People are ready to travel, with increased bookings following easing of restrictions.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$887M

Previous: $842M+5.4%
EPS (adj)

-$1.14

Previous: -$0.64-77.7%
Capital Expenditures

-$7.71M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

-$1.18B

No prior period
Net Income

-$1.17B

Previous: -$341M-244.2%
Operating Income

-$447M

Previous: -$325M-37.3%
Gross Profit

$632M

Previous: $564M+12.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$4.48B

No prior period
Total Assets

$12.3B

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Airbnb · Revenue · Quarterly

$887M

Q1 2021+5.4%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 9 of 11 quarters(82%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Airbnb anticipates that year-over-year comparisons for Nights and Experiences Booked and GBV will continue to be volatile and unreliable. They expect revenue in Q2 2021 to be significantly higher than that of Q2 2020 and to be at a similar level to that of Q2 2019.

Tailwinds

  • Expect Q2 2021 Nights and Experiences Booked to be significantly higher than Q2 2020.
  • Expect GBV in Q2 2021 to be higher than that of Q2 2019.
  • Expect revenue in Q2 2021 to be significantly higher than that of Q2 2020 and similar to Q2 2019.
  • Expect Adjusted EBITDA margin will be at breakeven, to slightly positive in Q2 2021.
  • Plan to continue to improve variable costs, materially increase marketing efficiency and tightly manage fixed expenses during the rest of 2021.

Headwinds

  • Year-over-year comparisons for Nights and Experiences Booked and GBV will continue to be volatile and unreliable.
  • Q2 2021 Nights and Experiences Booked are expected to be below that of Q2 2019.
  • Positive momentum of recovery experienced in Q1 2021 to be partially offset by the continued uncertainty of travel restrictions and lockdowns in EMEA.
  • It remains too early to predict if the recovery will continue at the same pace in the second half of 2021.
  • There is difficulty in predicting factors such as future COVID-19 outbreaks or travel restrictions globally, which impact the actual rate at which guests complete their stays.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

+0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.5%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.1%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

11 / 22 earnings

Positive

+17.7%

Q4 2022

Best reaction

-11.7%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.2%-5.7%-4.9%
Q4 2025+4.6%+7.2%+8.9%
Q3 2025-3.9%+1.0%+3.1%
Q2 2025-8.0%-6.8%-5.1%
Q1 2025+1.0%-0.7%+4.0%
Q4 2024+14.4%+12.0%-12.9%
Q3 2024-4.5%-5.5%-2.8%
Q2 2024-9.8%-8.2%-7.3%
Q1 2024-8.0%-6.7%-8.2%
Q4 2023-3.6%-0.8%+8.2%
Q3 2023-2.4%-0.1%+14.1%
Q2 2023-3.0%-3.5%-8.2%
Q1 2023-9.9%-16.2%-8.1%
Q4 2022+17.7%+13.0%+3.1%
Q3 2022-11.7%-10.1%-5.3%
Q2 2022+3.4%+5.3%+2.0%
Q1 2022+2.2%-11.1%-20.6%
Q4 2021+10.0%+3.1%-7.1%
Q3 2021+16.6%+12.6%-3.5%
Q2 2021+3.1%-2.9%+11.5%
Q1 2021+0.7%-3.7%+5.8%
Q4 2020+3.1%-5.1%-12.9%
Q3 2020
Q2 2020
Q1 2020
Q4 2019
Q3 2019

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