NASDAQ$ABNB

Airbnb Inc · Q4 2021 earnings

Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Airbnb's Q4 2021 was marked by strong recovery and profitability, driven by increased Nights and Experiences Booked and higher ADR, resulting in record revenue and Adjusted EBITDA.

Airbnb's Q4 2021 demonstrated a strong recovery with revenue reaching $1.5 billion, a 78% year-over-year increase. The company achieved a net income of $55 million, marking a record for the fourth quarter, and an Adjusted EBITDA of $333 million, the highest ever for a fourth quarter. Nights and Experiences Booked totaled 73.4 million, and Gross Booking Value reached $11.3 billion.

  • Q4 revenue of $1.5 billion was 38% higher than Q4 2019.
  • Q4 net income of $55 million was a record for the fourth quarter.
  • Q4 Adjusted EBITDA of $333 million was the most profitable fourth quarter ever.
  • Gross Booking Value was $11.3 billion in Q4, representing 32% growth compared to Q4 2019.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.53B

Previous: $859M+78.3%
EPS (adj)

$0.08

Previous: -$2.43+103.3%
Free Cash Flow

$376M

No prior period
Net Income

$55M

Previous: -$3.9B+101.4%
Operating Income

$75.6M

Previous: -$3.1B+102.4%
Gross Profit

$1.24B

No prior period
Cash & Equivalents

$6.07B

No prior period
Total Assets

$13.7B

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Airbnb · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.53B

Q4 2021+78.3%vs Q4 2020
Beat estimate in 9 of 11 quarters(82%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Airbnb anticipates a strong Q1 2022, expecting Nights and Experiences Booked to significantly exceed Q1 2019 levels and Q1 2022 ADR to be up approximately 4% from Q1 2021.

Tailwinds

  • Impact of Omicron has quickly dissipated.
  • Guests are confidently booking for the summer travel season early in the year.
  • Lead-time for bookings made in Q1 2022 return to pre-pandemic levels in the U.S. and Europe.
  • Strong demand coming out of Latin America.
  • Expects revenue in Q1 2022 to decrease modestly on an absolute basis relative to Q4 2021.

Headwinds

  • Forecasting several quarters out remains challenging given continued Covid-related uncertainties.
  • Growth in APAC has not yet recovered to 2019 levels.
  • Full year revenue and Adjusted EBITDA will be highly sensitive to movements in ADR.
  • Expect Adjusted EBITDA margin to be directionally in-line with 2021 as sales and marketing expense as a percent of revenue is expected to remain relatively flat.
  • Seasonally long lead times for Q1 Nights and Experiences Booked

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021

Historical avgQ4 2021

+0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.5%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.1%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

11 / 22 earnings

Positive

+17.7%

Q4 2022

Best reaction

-11.7%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.2%-5.7%-4.9%
Q4 2025+4.6%+7.2%+8.9%
Q3 2025-3.9%+1.0%+3.1%
Q2 2025-8.0%-6.8%-5.1%
Q1 2025+1.0%-0.7%+4.0%
Q4 2024+14.4%+12.0%-12.9%
Q3 2024-4.5%-5.5%-2.8%
Q2 2024-9.8%-8.2%-7.3%
Q1 2024-8.0%-6.7%-8.2%
Q4 2023-3.6%-0.8%+8.2%
Q3 2023-2.4%-0.1%+14.1%
Q2 2023-3.0%-3.5%-8.2%
Q1 2023-9.9%-16.2%-8.1%
Q4 2022+17.7%+13.0%+3.1%
Q3 2022-11.7%-10.1%-5.3%
Q2 2022+3.4%+5.3%+2.0%
Q1 2022+2.2%-11.1%-20.6%
Q4 2021+10.0%+3.1%-7.1%
Q3 2021+16.6%+12.6%-3.5%
Q2 2021+3.1%-2.9%+11.5%
Q1 2021+0.7%-3.7%+5.8%
Q4 2020+3.1%-5.1%-12.9%
Q3 2020
Q2 2020
Q1 2020
Q4 2019
Q3 2019

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