LSE$CUK

Carnival · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Carnival Corporation & plc outperformed fourth quarter guidance and reported record full year operating results.

Carnival Corporation & plc announced strong Q4 2024 results, with revenues hitting a record $5.9 billion, a 10% increase compared to the previous year. Net income was $303 million, and adjusted EBITDA reached $1.2 billion, exceeding September guidance. The company anticipates continued growth in 2025, with net yields expected to increase by approximately 4.2% and adjusted net income projected to rise over 20%.

  • Record fourth quarter revenues of $5.9 billion, 10 percent higher than prior year.
  • Net income was $303 million, or $0.23 diluted EPS, versus a net loss of $48 million in 2023.
  • Record fourth quarter adjusted EBITDA of $1.2 billion was 29 percent higher than 2023.
  • Total customer deposits reached a fourth quarter record of $6.8 billion.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$5.94B

Previous: $5.4B+10.0%
EPS (adj)

$0.14

Previous: -$0.07+300.0%
Occupancy Percentage

103.0%

Previous: 101.0%+2.0%
Fuel per ALBD (MT)

30.4

No prior period
Customer Deposits

$6.43B

No prior period
Net Income

$303M

Previous: -$169M+279.2%
Operating Income

$561M

Previous: $217M+158.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Carnival · Revenue · Quarterly

$5.94B

Q4 2024+10%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 1 of 1 quarters(100%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Carnival · $4.31B total across 2 segments · Q3 2022

  • Passenger Ticket
    $2.6B
  • Onboard and Other
    $1.71B

Forward guidance

For the full year 2025, the company expects continued growth in demand, with net yields (in constant currency) approximately 4.2 percent higher than record 2024 levels. Adjusted net income of approximately $2.3 billion, over 20 percent higher than 2024.

Tailwinds

  • Net yields (in constant currency) approximately 4.2 percent higher than record 2024 levels based on continued strength in demand.
  • Adjusted net income of approximately $2.3 billion, over 20 percent higher than 2024.
  • Adjusted EBITDA of approximately $6.6 billion, up approximately $500 million compared to 2024.
  • Adjusted EBITDA per ALBD to reach its 2026 SEA Change target one year in advance.
  • Adjusted ROIC of approximately 11.7 percent.

Headwinds

  • Adjusted cruise costs excluding fuel per ALBD (in constant currency) up approximately 3.7 percent compared to 2024, in part due to higher dry-dock days, higher advertising expense and operating costs for the company’s new exclusive destination, Celebration Key.
  • Newbuild capital expenditures are $1.1 billion
  • Non-newbuild capital expenditures are $2.5 billion.
  • Interest expense is currently expected to be over $200 million lower than 2024 and over $500 million lower compared to 2023
  • Debt maturities for full year 2025 and 2026 are $1.5 billion and $2.7 billion.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 18 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

+1.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.8%

Avg return

30 days after

64%

21 / 33 earnings

Positive

+19.5%

Q4 2025

Best reaction

-25.4%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026
Q1 2026+1.5%
Q4 2025+19.5%+18.2%+9.0%
Q3 2025-4.8%-4.8%-8.6%
Q2 2025+11.1%+14.8%+25.8%
Q1 2025-2.0%-1.0%-14.8%
Q4 2024+2.2%+1.8%+2.5%
Q3 2024-3.4%-3.0%+19.1%
Q1 2024-4.3%-5.0%-11.6%
Q4 2023+4.5%+2.6%-4.7%
Q3 2023-5.7%-9.1%-21.9%
Q2 2023+0.1%+18.9%+12.8%
Q1 2023+0.6%+10.8%-4.4%
Q4 2022-2.8%-3.2%+31.2%
Q3 2022-25.4%-18.5%-1.1%
Q2 2022+9.7%-7.3%-6.1%
Q1 2022-3.6%-3.7%+2.2%
Q4 2021+12.4%+16.9%+17.3%
Q3 2021+6.8%+3.4%-9.5%
Q2 2021-1.8%-6.4%-18.5%
Q4 2017+1.7%-0.0%+5.0%
Q3 2017+0.5%+1.1%+4.8%
Q2 2017-0.3%-1.7%+0.9%
Q1 2017+0.1%+0.3%+5.2%
Q4 2016+2.9%+2.7%+3.1%
Q3 2016+3.1%+3.6%-1.0%
Q2 2016+2.7%+4.3%+9.3%
Q1 2016+5.8%
Q4 2015+7.0%
Q3 2015-2.4%
Q2 2015+0.3%
Q1 2015+8.5%
Q1 2014-5.1%
Q4 2013+8.0%

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