LSE$CUK

Carnival · Q2 2023 earnings

Q2 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reached a meaningful inflection point for revenue, surpassing 2019’s strong levels, and achieved positive operating income, cash from operations and adjusted free cash flow.

Carnival Corporation & plc reports a record second quarter revenue of $4.9 billion and an operating income of $120 million, turning positive for the first time since the resumption of guest cruise operations. The company saw continued acceleration of demand, with total bookings made during the quarter reaching a new all-time high for all future sailings. Total customer deposits reached an all-time high of $7.2 billion.

  • U.S. GAAP net loss of $407 million, or $(0.32) diluted EPS, and adjusted net loss of $395 million, or $(0.31) adjusted EPS.
  • Adjusted EBITDA for the second quarter of 2023 was $681 million.
  • Record second quarter revenue of $4.9 billion.
  • Total customer deposits reached an all-time high of $7.2 billion.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

£4.91B

Previous: £2.4B+104.5%
EPS (adj)

-£0.31

Previous: -£1.64+81.1%
Customer Deposits

£7.2B

Previous: £5.1B+41.2%
Adjusted EBITDA

£681M

No prior period
Net Income

-£407M

Previous: -£1.83B+77.8%
Operating Income

£120M

Previous: -£1.47B+108.1%
Cash & Equivalents

£4.47B

Previous: £7.21B-38.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Carnival · Revenue · Quarterly

£4.91B

Q2 2023+104.5%vs Q2 2022
Beat estimate in 1 of 1 quarters(100%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Carnival · £4.31B total across 2 segments · Q3 2022

  • Passenger Ticket
    £2.6B
  • Onboard and Other
    £1.71B

Forward guidance

For the full year 2023, the company expects Adjusted EBITDA of $4.10 billion to $4.25 billion, Occupancy of 100% or higher and Net per diems of 5.5% to 6.5%. For the third quarter of 2023, the company expects Adjusted EBITDA of $2.05 billion to $2.15 billion and Occupancy of 107% or higher

Tailwinds

  • Adjusted EBITDA of $4.10 billion to $4.25 billion for full year 2023
  • Occupancy of 100% or higher for full year 2023
  • Net per diems of 5.5% to 6.5% for full year 2023
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $2.05 billion to $2.15 billion for third quarter 2023
  • Occupancy of 107% or higher for third quarter 2023

Headwinds

  • Approximately $0.5 billion unfavorable impact from fuel price and currency compared to 2019 for full year 2023
  • Slower expected ramp down in inflationary pressures than previously estimated for full year 2023
  • Headwinds from the loss of St. Petersburg as a marquee destination due to the suspension of cruises to Russia
  • Adjusted cruise costs excluding fuel per ALBD (in constant currency) one and a half points higher than March guidance
  • Incentive compensation increases reflecting expected improvements in the company’s current and long-term performance and continued increases in advertising investments

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 18 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2023

Historical avgQ2 2023

+1.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.8%

Avg return

30 days after

64%

21 / 33 earnings

Positive

+19.5%

Q4 2025

Best reaction

-25.4%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026
Q1 2026+1.5%
Q4 2025+19.5%+18.2%+9.0%
Q3 2025-4.8%-4.8%-8.6%
Q2 2025+11.1%+14.8%+25.8%
Q1 2025-2.0%-1.0%-14.8%
Q4 2024+2.2%+1.8%+2.5%
Q3 2024-3.4%-3.0%+19.1%
Q1 2024-4.3%-5.0%-11.6%
Q4 2023+4.5%+2.6%-4.7%
Q3 2023-5.7%-9.1%-21.9%
Q2 2023+0.1%+18.9%+12.8%
Q1 2023+0.6%+10.8%-4.4%
Q4 2022-2.8%-3.2%+31.2%
Q3 2022-25.4%-18.5%-1.1%
Q2 2022+9.7%-7.3%-6.1%
Q1 2022-3.6%-3.7%+2.2%
Q4 2021+12.4%+16.9%+17.3%
Q3 2021+6.8%+3.4%-9.5%
Q2 2021-1.8%-6.4%-18.5%
Q4 2017+1.7%-0.0%+5.0%
Q3 2017+0.5%+1.1%+4.8%
Q2 2017-0.3%-1.7%+0.9%
Q1 2017+0.1%+0.3%+5.2%
Q4 2016+2.9%+2.7%+3.1%
Q3 2016+3.1%+3.6%-1.0%
Q2 2016+2.7%+4.3%+9.3%
Q1 2016+5.8%
Q4 2015+7.0%
Q3 2015-2.4%
Q2 2015+0.3%
Q1 2015+8.5%
Q1 2014-5.1%
Q4 2013+8.0%

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