LSE$CUK

Carnival · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Achieved record-setting operating results, outperformed third quarter guidance, and raised full year 2024 guidance for the third time.

Carnival Corporation & plc reported a strong third quarter with record-high revenues and operating income. Net income increased by over 60% compared to the previous year, and the company raised its full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance.

  • Net income was $1.7 billion, an increase of over 60 percent compared to 2023 and adjusted net income outperformed June guidance by $170 million.
  • Revenues hit an all-time high of $7.9 billion, up $1.0 billion compared to the prior year.
  • Operating income of $2.2 billion exceeded 2023 levels by $554 million.
  • Raised its full year 2024 adjusted EBITDA guidance to approximately $6.0 billion, up over 40 percent compared to 2023 and better than June guidance by nearly $200 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$7.9B

Previous: $6.85B+15.2%
EPS (adj)

$1.27

Previous: $0.86+47.7%
Occupancy Percentage

112.0%

No prior period
Fuel per ALBD (MT)

29.5

No prior period
Customer Deposits

$6.43B

Previous: $6.3B+2.0%
Net Income

$1.7B

Previous: $1.07B+58.9%
Operating Income

$2.2B

Previous: $1.62B+35.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Carnival · Revenue · Quarterly

$7.9B

Q3 2024+15.2%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 1 of 1 quarters(100%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Carnival · $4.31B total across 2 segments · Q3 2022

  • Passenger Ticket
    $2.6B
  • Onboard and Other
    $1.71B

Forward guidance

For the full year 2024, the company expects net yields to be up approximately 10.4 percent compared to 2023, adjusted cruise costs excluding fuel per ALBD to be up approximately 3.5 percent compared to 2023, and adjusted EBITDA of approximately $6.0 billion.

Tailwinds

  • Net yields (in constant currency) up approximately 10.4 percent compared to 2023, better than June guidance, based on continued strength in demand.
  • Adjusted cruise costs excluding fuel per ALBD (in constant currency) up approximately 3.5 percent compared to 2023, approximately 1 percentage point better than June guidance driven by cost saving opportunities, accelerated easing of inflationary pressures and benefits from one-time items.
  • Adjusted EBITDA of approximately $6.0 billion, up over 40 percent compared to 2023 and better than June guidance by nearly $200 million.
  • Adjusted return on invested capital of approximately 10.5 percent, an improvement of approximately 5.0 percentage points compared to 2023 and half a point better than June guidance.
  • Net yields (in constant currency) up approximately 5.0 percent compared to particularly strong 2023 levels for Q4.

Headwinds

  • Adjusted cruise costs excluding fuel per ALBD (in constant currency) up approximately 8.0 percent compared to the fourth quarter of 2023 due primarily to higher dry-dock days and higher investment in advertising.
  • Fuel cost per metric ton consumed (excluding European Union Allowance (“EUA”)) $590 for Q4.
  • Fuel expense (including EUA expense) $0.43 billion for Q4.
  • Depreciation and amortization (in billions) $0.67 for Q4.
  • Interest expense, net of capitalized interest and interest income (in billions) $0.41 for Q4.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 18 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

+1.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.8%

Avg return

30 days after

64%

21 / 33 earnings

Positive

+19.5%

Q4 2025

Best reaction

-25.4%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026
Q1 2026+1.5%
Q4 2025+19.5%+18.2%+9.0%
Q3 2025-4.8%-4.8%-8.6%
Q2 2025+11.1%+14.8%+25.8%
Q1 2025-2.0%-1.0%-14.8%
Q4 2024+2.2%+1.8%+2.5%
Q3 2024-3.4%-3.0%+19.1%
Q1 2024-4.3%-5.0%-11.6%
Q4 2023+4.5%+2.6%-4.7%
Q3 2023-5.7%-9.1%-21.9%
Q2 2023+0.1%+18.9%+12.8%
Q1 2023+0.6%+10.8%-4.4%
Q4 2022-2.8%-3.2%+31.2%
Q3 2022-25.4%-18.5%-1.1%
Q2 2022+9.7%-7.3%-6.1%
Q1 2022-3.6%-3.7%+2.2%
Q4 2021+12.4%+16.9%+17.3%
Q3 2021+6.8%+3.4%-9.5%
Q2 2021-1.8%-6.4%-18.5%
Q4 2017+1.7%-0.0%+5.0%
Q3 2017+0.5%+1.1%+4.8%
Q2 2017-0.3%-1.7%+0.9%
Q1 2017+0.1%+0.3%+5.2%
Q4 2016+2.9%+2.7%+3.1%
Q3 2016+3.1%+3.6%-1.0%
Q2 2016+2.7%+4.3%+9.3%
Q1 2016+5.8%
Q4 2015+7.0%
Q3 2015-2.4%
Q2 2015+0.3%
Q1 2015+8.5%
Q1 2014-5.1%
Q4 2013+8.0%

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