NYSE$TWO
Two Harbors Investment Corp · Q1 2024 earnings
Q1 2024 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Reported financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2024, positioned for higher-for-longer rates with growing MSR portfolio and operational platform.
Two Harbors Investment Corp. reported a strong first quarter in 2024, characterized by a comprehensive income of $89.4 million and a book value of $15.64 per common share. The company's strategic positioning in MSR is expected to benefit from the current higher-for-longer interest rate environment. They also repurchased 485,609 shares of preferred stock.
- Reported book value of $15.64 per common share, with a first quarter common stock dividend of $0.45 per share, representing a 5.8% quarterly economic return on book value.
- Generated Comprehensive Income of $89.4 million, or $0.85 per weighted average basic common share.
- Repurchased 485,609 shares of preferred stock, lowering the ratio of preferred stock to total equity.
- Settled $3.1 billion unpaid principal balance (UPB) of MSR through a bulk purchase and flow-sale acquisitions.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Two Harbors · Revenue · Quarterly
-$42.2M
Revenue by segment
Two Harbors · $3.07B total across 1 segment · Q1 2023
- MSR Servicing Income$3.07B—100.0%
Forward guidance
Two Harbors is positioned to benefit in an environment where rates are higher for longer.
Tailwinds
- MSR portfolio represents more than 60% of capital allocation.
- Portfolio is positioned to benefit in an environment where rates are higher for longer.
- Portfolio's prepayment sensitivity remains low, with less than 1% of loans having an economic incentive to refinance.
- Over 85% of loans are at least 250 basis points below current mortgage rates.
- Expect the low duration and low convexity characteristics of MSR to continue to generate attractive cashflows with low spread volatility.
Headwinds
- Market remains subject to periods of high realized rate volatility.
- Likelihood of significant tightening of RMBS spreads seems remote absent a substantial dovish pivot by the Federal Reserve.
- Company's performance is subject to risks described in their Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2023, and any subsequent Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q, under the caption “Risk Factors.”
- Changes in interest rates and the market value of assets could negatively impact performance.
- The ongoing litigation related to the termination of their management agreement with PRCM Advisers LLC.
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2024
-0.3%
Avg return
Earnings day
+0.7%
Avg return
5 days after
+2.0%
Avg return
30 days after
45%
29 / 64 earnings
Positive
+16.7%
Q3 2023
Best reaction
-11.5%
Q1 2021
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | +0.0% | +10.7% | +12.0% | |
| Q4 2025 | +0.4% | -6.8% | -19.0% | |
| Q3 2025 | +0.2% | -1.0% | +4.0% | |
| Q1 2025 | +3.5% | -1.1% | -7.3% | |
| Q4 2024 | +6.7% | +8.4% | +20.5% | |
| Q3 2024 | -7.1% | -11.5% | -8.8% | |
| Q2 2024 | -1.5% | -3.4% | +2.8% | |
| Q1 2024 | +0.8% | +4.5% | -0.4% | |
| Q4 2023 | -5.8% | -7.3% | -7.7% | |
| Q3 2023 | +16.7% | +32.8% | +39.4% | |
| Q2 2023 | +0.7% | -0.2% | +0.5% | |
| Q1 2023 | -10.3% | -14.9% | -10.7% | |
| Q4 2022 | -1.9% | +1.1% | -14.0% | |
| Q3 2022 | +5.0% | +14.9% | +10.8% | |
| Q2 2022 | -2.1% | -3.4% | -9.5% | |
| Q1 2022 | +3.0% | +3.4% | +5.1% | |
| Q4 2021 | +0.2% | -3.0% | -2.2% | |
| Q3 2021 | -1.9% | -2.6% | -3.4% | |
| Q2 2021 | -0.3% | +0.2% | +2.4% | |
| Q1 2021 | -11.5% | -9.0% | -4.9% | |
| Q4 2020 | +3.7% | -5.9% | +9.3% | |
| Q3 2020 | -1.3% | +4.9% | +21.8% | |
| Q2 2020 | -4.5% | +8.2% | -1.7% | |
| Q1 2020 | -1.3% | -5.1% | +21.4% | |
| Q4 2019 | +0.8% | -1.3% | -11.4% | |
| Q3 2019 | +2.2% | +4.1% | +5.6% | |
| Q2 2019 | +2.1% | +4.0% | +0.5% | |
| Q1 2019 | -1.0% | -1.2% | -8.7% | |
| Q4 2018 | -3.6% | -4.6% | -5.3% | |
| Q3 2018 | -3.0% | -2.0% | -2.2% | |
| Q2 2018 | +1.5% | +2.9% | +6.4% | |
| Q1 2018 | -1.2% | -0.3% | +1.3% | |
| Q4 2017 | +1.8% | +3.9% | +7.6% | |
| Q3 2017 | +1.8% | +0.7% | +6.9% | |
| Q2 2017 | +1.3% | +1.9% | +2.6% | |
| Q1 2017 | -0.3% | -0.3% | +3.8% | |
| Q4 2016 | +0.2% | +1.9% | +4.8% | |
| Q3 2016 | +0.6% | +2.5% | +3.2% | |
| Q2 2016 | +2.1% | +2.9% | +4.5% | |
| Q1 2016 | +5.5% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | +0.0% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | -4.9% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | -3.2% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | +0.2% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | -1.1% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | +0.5% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | +2.3% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | -0.5% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | +0.8% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | +1.7% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | -2.4% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | +7.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | -2.2% | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | -6.4% | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | -0.4% | — | — | |
| Q1 2011 | -1.2% | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | +1.4% | — | — | |
| Q4 2011 | -1.5% | — | — | |
| Q1 2010 | -1.5% | — | — | |
| Q4 2010 | -1.5% | — | — | |
| Q3 2010 | -0.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | -0.4% | — | — | |
| Q2 2011 | -5.3% | — | — | |
| Q2 2010 | -5.3% | — | — |
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