NYSE$TWI

Titan International Inc · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Closed 2022 strong with record fourth quarter results, supported by annual records for sales, profitability and cash flow.

Titan International, Inc. reported a robust fourth quarter and fiscal year 2022, with net sales reaching $509.8 million, a 4.5% increase compared to the previous year. The company achieved a gross profit of $76.7 million and an income from operations of $40.9 million, driven by sales increases in the Agriculture and Earthmoving / Construction segments.

  • Net sales increased by 4.5% to $509.8 million, driven by sales increases across the Agriculture and Earthmoving / Construction (EMC) segments.
  • Gross profit increased to $76.7 million, with a gross margin of 15.0%, a 220 basis point improvement year-over-year.
  • Income from operations rose to $40.9 million, or 8.0% of net sales, compared to $24.3 million in the fourth quarter of 2021.
  • Free cash flow was $44 million for the quarter and $114 million for the full year, with cash and cash equivalents at $160 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$510M

Previous: $488M+4.5%
EPS (adj)

$0.44

Previous: $0.39+12.8%
Adjusted EBITDA

$52.8M

Previous: $36.1M+46.3%
Capital Expenditures

$14.2M

Previous: $14.6M-2.3%
Free Cash Flow

$44.2M

Previous: -$1.54M+2978.8%
Net Income

$43M

Previous: $28.3M+51.9%
Operating Income

$40.9M

Previous: $24.3M+68.1%
Gross Profit

$76.7M

Previous: $62.5M+22.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$160M

Previous: $98.1M+62.7%
Total Assets

$1.28B

Previous: $1.18B+8.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.17M

Previous: $1.41M-17.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Titan · Revenue · Quarterly

$510M

Q4 2022+4.5%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 7 of 15 quarters(47%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Titan · $402M total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Agricultural
    $213M-26.4%
  • Earthmoving/Construction
    $155M-22.4%
  • Consumer
    $33.8M-18.7%

Forward guidance

The company expects 2023 to be an upbeat year with financial performance remaining at a high level, supported by healthy farmer income and infrastructure support.

Tailwinds

  • Farmer income remains healthy globally.
  • Grain markets are well supported by strong supply and demand economics.
  • Large Ag retail demand continues at strong levels, driven by precision farming and replacement equipment.
  • Weather conditions are unpredictable, and LSW’s continue to be the perfect solution for farmers battling tough conditions.
  • Construction and earthmoving markets are in a good position to start 2023 with infrastructure support and solid commodity prices driving activity.

Headwinds

  • There continues to be a lot of noise around supply chains and inflation.
  • Small ag equipment inventory levels have returned to pre-Covid levels.
  • Inflation slowing demand in the low horsepower range.
  • Some OEM’s drawing down internal inventory.
  • Expect a tapering of demand in the small ag equipment segment.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

-1.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.7%

Avg return

30 days after

42%

27 / 65 earnings

Positive

+22.9%

Q2 2016

Best reaction

-34.2%

Q3 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.7%-7.4%
Q4 2025-5.8%-12.7%-35.3%
Q3 2025-4.1%-1.6%+1.6%
Q1 2025-13.6%-6.9%-1.5%
Q4 2024-9.3%-13.4%-1.7%
Q3 2024-11.4%-11.3%+0.7%
Q2 2024-0.5%-9.8%-2.1%
Q1 2024-5.2%-17.6%-25.0%
Q4 2023-10.9%-11.0%-11.9%
Q3 2023+3.1%+10.0%+18.8%
Q2 2023-11.2%-5.5%-0.2%
Q1 2023-1.1%+3.8%+7.6%
Q4 2022-17.5%-11.0%-30.6%
Q3 2022+1.2%+0.3%-5.5%
Q2 2022-15.5%-12.0%-16.3%
Q1 2022+16.5%+12.5%+29.8%
Q4 2021+6.8%+0.5%+32.5%
Q3 2021+10.3%+10.2%-6.8%
Q2 2021+11.1%+6.1%+8.6%
Q1 2021+1.6%-5.6%-13.9%
Q4 2020-2.1%-9.1%+4.6%
Q3 2020+15.3%+73.6%+105.6%
Q2 2020+9.4%+25.8%+69.8%
Q1 2020+6.3%+3.6%+67.6%
Q4 2019-12.4%-28.9%-33.0%
Q3 2019-4.2%+15.3%+1.7%
Q2 2019-20.6%-23.3%-31.2%
Q1 2019-16.1%-18.6%-38.1%
Q4 2018-28.3%-24.5%+6.3%
Q3 2018-3.5%-0.9%-15.7%
Q2 2018-30.5%-27.7%-26.1%
Q1 2018+16.1%+10.6%+9.9%
Q4 2017+17.2%+7.6%+5.5%
Q3 2017+14.5%+15.4%+22.7%
Q2 2017-10.3%-19.5%-31.8%
Q1 2017+10.8%+2.8%+7.9%
Q4 2016-11.3%-15.0%-26.9%
Q3 2016+5.2%+10.6%+19.3%
Q2 2016+22.9%+32.9%+34.5%
Q1 2016+0.6%
Q4 2015+21.0%
Q3 2015-34.2%
Q2 2015+5.2%
Q1 2015+15.7%
Q4 2014+6.2%
Q3 2014+3.8%
Q2 2014-8.5%
Q1 2014-7.5%
Q4 2013-0.8%
Q3 2013+2.0%
Q2 2013-5.6%
Q1 2013+7.6%
Q4 2012-18.0%
Q3 2012+13.0%
Q2 2012-5.2%
Q1 2011+13.4%
Q1 2012+2.7%
Q1 2010-5.8%
Q4 2009-5.8%
Q4 2011-5.8%
Q3 2010-4.0%
Q3 2011-4.0%
Q2 2011-6.0%
Q2 2010-6.0%
Q4 2010-6.0%

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