NYSE$TWI

Titan International Inc · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Titan International reported record third quarter financial performance with adjusted EBITDA of $61 million, a YoY $26 million increase and EPS of $0.68/share, a YoY growth of $0.50/share.

Titan International, Inc. reported a strong third quarter with net sales of $530.7 million, an increase of 17.8% compared to the same quarter last year. The company's adjusted EBITDA was $61.2 million, compared to $35.1 million in the prior year period. Free cash flow was $40 million for the quarter, and the company reduced its debt by $35 million.

  • Net sales were $531 million, an 18% year-over-year increase, the strongest Q3 sales level in TWI history.
  • Gross margin was 16.5% versus 13.4% a year ago.
  • Free cash flow was $40 million in Q3.
  • Reported EPS of $0.68/share, a YoY growth of $0.50/share

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$531M

Previous: $450M+17.8%
EPS (adj)

$0.54

Previous: $0.17+217.6%
Adjusted EBITDA

$61.2M

Previous: $35.1M+74.4%
Gross Margin

16.5%

Previous: 13.4%+23.1%
Capital Expenditures

-$32.8M

Previous: -$24.3M-35.1%
Free Cash Flow

$10.4M

Previous: -$13.1M+179.7%
Net Income

$43.2M

Previous: $11.2M+285.9%
Operating Income

$50.5M

Previous: $22.9M+120.5%
Gross Profit

$87.6M

Previous: $60.3M+45.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$117M

Previous: $94.6M+23.2%
Total Assets

$1.25B

Previous: $1.14B+9.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.17M

Previous: $649K+80.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Titan · Revenue · Quarterly

$531M

Q3 2022+17.8%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 7 of 15 quarters(47%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Titan · $531M total across 3 segments · Q3 2022

  • Agricultural
    $289M+18.4%
  • Earthmoving/Construction
    $200M+18.7%
  • Consumer
    $41.5M+10.5%

Forward guidance

The company expects to finish the year at the top end of its previously communicated targets for sales, adjusted EBITDA, and free cash flow.

Tailwinds

  • Farmers are in a good financial position.
  • Corn and soybean supply-demand will support good pricing into 2024, at a minimum.
  • Pent-up demand from supply chain and labor disruptions at OEMs.
  • Continuing low levels of available used equipment.
  • Large Ag remains in a solid position, and we expect the sector to work through current supply chain challenges with a bright future ahead.

Headwinds

  • The business climate is swimming with noise these days.
  • Small Ag equipment inventory levels are starting to normalize to pre-Covid levels
  • Used small Ag prices remain well above those levels.
  • Inventory levels are still below historical norms.
  • There is need to keep current production levels in order to normalize business conditions.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

-1.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.7%

Avg return

30 days after

42%

27 / 65 earnings

Positive

+22.9%

Q2 2016

Best reaction

-34.2%

Q3 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.7%-7.4%
Q4 2025-5.8%-12.7%-35.3%
Q3 2025-4.1%-1.6%+1.6%
Q1 2025-13.6%-6.9%-1.5%
Q4 2024-9.3%-13.4%-1.7%
Q3 2024-11.4%-11.3%+0.7%
Q2 2024-0.5%-9.8%-2.1%
Q1 2024-5.2%-17.6%-25.0%
Q4 2023-10.9%-11.0%-11.9%
Q3 2023+3.1%+10.0%+18.8%
Q2 2023-11.2%-5.5%-0.2%
Q1 2023-1.1%+3.8%+7.6%
Q4 2022-17.5%-11.0%-30.6%
Q3 2022+1.2%+0.3%-5.5%
Q2 2022-15.5%-12.0%-16.3%
Q1 2022+16.5%+12.5%+29.8%
Q4 2021+6.8%+0.5%+32.5%
Q3 2021+10.3%+10.2%-6.8%
Q2 2021+11.1%+6.1%+8.6%
Q1 2021+1.6%-5.6%-13.9%
Q4 2020-2.1%-9.1%+4.6%
Q3 2020+15.3%+73.6%+105.6%
Q2 2020+9.4%+25.8%+69.8%
Q1 2020+6.3%+3.6%+67.6%
Q4 2019-12.4%-28.9%-33.0%
Q3 2019-4.2%+15.3%+1.7%
Q2 2019-20.6%-23.3%-31.2%
Q1 2019-16.1%-18.6%-38.1%
Q4 2018-28.3%-24.5%+6.3%
Q3 2018-3.5%-0.9%-15.7%
Q2 2018-30.5%-27.7%-26.1%
Q1 2018+16.1%+10.6%+9.9%
Q4 2017+17.2%+7.6%+5.5%
Q3 2017+14.5%+15.4%+22.7%
Q2 2017-10.3%-19.5%-31.8%
Q1 2017+10.8%+2.8%+7.9%
Q4 2016-11.3%-15.0%-26.9%
Q3 2016+5.2%+10.6%+19.3%
Q2 2016+22.9%+32.9%+34.5%
Q1 2016+0.6%
Q4 2015+21.0%
Q3 2015-34.2%
Q2 2015+5.2%
Q1 2015+15.7%
Q4 2014+6.2%
Q3 2014+3.8%
Q2 2014-8.5%
Q1 2014-7.5%
Q4 2013-0.8%
Q3 2013+2.0%
Q2 2013-5.6%
Q1 2013+7.6%
Q4 2012-18.0%
Q3 2012+13.0%
Q2 2012-5.2%
Q1 2011+13.4%
Q1 2012+2.7%
Q1 2010-5.8%
Q4 2009-5.8%
Q4 2011-5.8%
Q3 2010-4.0%
Q3 2011-4.0%
Q2 2011-6.0%
Q2 2010-6.0%
Q4 2010-6.0%

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