NYSE$TRN

Trinity Industries Inc · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

Trinity reported a decrease in revenue and earnings compared to the prior year, impacted by lower external deliveries and higher costs.

Trinity Industries reported Q4 2024 revenue of $629.4 million, down from $797.9 million in Q4 2023, primarily due to lower external deliveries. Net income from continuing operations was $31.9 million, a decline from $68.1 million a year ago. GAAP EPS came in at $0.38, while adjusted EPS was $0.39. The company maintained a strong lease fleet utilization of 97.0%.

  • Q4 2024 revenue declined 21.1% year-over-year to $629.4 million.
  • GAAP EPS was $0.38, and adjusted EPS was $0.39.
  • Net income from continuing operations dropped to $31.9 million from $68.1 million last year.
  • Lease fleet utilization remained strong at 97.0%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$629M

Previous: $798M-21.1%
EPS (adj)

$0.39

Previous: $0.82-52.4%
Fleet Utilization

97.0%

Previous: 97.5%-0.5%
Railcar Deliveries

3.8K

Previous: 4.0K-6.0%
New Railcar Orders

1.5K

Previous: 840+78.6%
Capital Expenditures

-$223M

Previous: -$197M-13.1%
Net Income

$31.9M

Previous: $68.1M-53.2%
Operating Income

$112M

Previous: $149M-24.7%
Gross Profit

$160M

Previous: $161M-0.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Trinity · Revenue · Quarterly

$629M

Q4 2024-21.1%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 8 of 14 quarters(57%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Trinity · $905M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Rail Products
    $682M+14.2%
  • Railcar Leasing and Services
    $223M+14.3%

Forward guidance

Trinity expects industry-wide railcar deliveries to decrease in 2025 and projects full-year EPS between $1.50 and $1.80.

Tailwinds

  • Continued strong leasing revenue growth.
  • Consistent operating margins expected.
  • Higher proportion of deliveries to lease fleet.
  • Stable cash flow generation.
  • Strategic fleet investments to drive returns.

Headwinds

  • Lower expected railcar deliveries in 2025.
  • Potential impact of tariff-related uncertainties.
  • Slightly lower gains on lease portfolio sales.
  • Higher operational costs in some areas.
  • Market uncertainties affecting investment decisions.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

-0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.6%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.2%

Avg return

30 days after

46%

31 / 67 earnings

Positive

+19.1%

Q2 2012

Best reaction

-25.4%

Q4 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+6.0%+16.6%+5.2%
Q3 2025-2.7%-6.2%-4.7%
Q1 2025-2.9%-1.9%+2.5%
Q4 2024-8.3%-10.0%-14.1%
Q3 2024-8.8%-5.4%+5.5%
Q2 2024+2.8%+1.5%-0.2%
Q1 2024+15.5%+17.3%+20.9%
Q4 2023-7.3%-7.4%-0.5%
Q3 2023+15.9%+13.7%+23.8%
Q2 2023+2.5%-1.9%-4.4%
Q1 2023-8.7%-9.7%-9.9%
Q4 2022-9.6%-5.5%-19.4%
Q3 2022+7.4%+20.1%+30.1%
Q2 2022+6.0%+7.7%+7.3%
Q1 2022-7.0%-11.1%-18.4%
Q4 2021-5.8%-5.5%+9.7%
Q3 2021+0.5%-2.1%-6.0%
Q2 2021-0.8%+0.0%+5.9%
Q1 2021-2.9%-1.8%-0.5%
Q4 2020-2.8%+2.2%-10.2%
Q3 2020-5.7%-7.3%+0.8%
Q2 2020-7.7%-8.5%-4.9%
Q1 2020+10.4%+4.1%+14.3%
Q4 2019+5.7%-1.0%-26.6%
Q3 2019+1.1%+6.2%+15.0%
Q2 2019-9.1%-5.9%-19.2%
Q1 2019-11.5%-9.5%-13.9%
Q4 2018-2.3%-6.6%-18.1%
Q3 2018-18.3%-23.3%-13.8%
Q2 2018+1.6%+2.1%-0.1%
Q1 2018-0.1%+0.4%+11.0%
Q4 2017-1.4%-6.1%-9.9%
Q3 2017-8.2%-7.8%-1.0%
Q2 2017-3.4%-1.8%+2.9%
Q1 2017+3.0%+0.5%-2.6%
Q4 2016+1.2%-3.8%-4.0%
Q3 2016-2.4%-4.8%+22.0%
Q2 2016+4.2%+1.0%+17.0%
Q1 2016+4.0%
Q4 2015-25.4%
Q3 2015+4.6%
Q2 2015+4.6%
Q1 2015-12.5%
Q4 2014+6.8%
Q3 2014-2.1%
Q2 2014+1.5%
Q1 2014+4.8%
Q4 2013+10.4%
Q3 2013+7.3%
Q2 2013+6.2%
Q1 2013-3.3%
Q4 2012-3.6%
Q3 2012-3.9%
Q2 2012+19.1%
Q1 2012+1.6%
Q4 2011+5.1%
Q4 2010+4.2%
Q3 2011+4.2%
Q2 2011-13.8%
Q1 2010-4.1%
Q1 2011+6.6%
Q4 2008+2.6%
Q3 2009-3.2%
Q3 2010-3.2%
Q2 2010-1.7%
Q4 2009-1.7%
Q2 2009-1.7%

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