NYSE$TRN

Trinity Industries Inc · Q2 2020 earnings

Q2 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Trinity Industries reported mixed results for Q2 2020, with a GAAP loss but positive adjusted EPS, amidst challenging market conditions and strategic realignments.

Trinity Industries reported a GAAP loss of $(1.76) per share but an adjusted EPS of $0.02. The company faced headwinds from the COVID-19 pandemic and economic downturn, but maintained a lease fleet utilization of around 95%. Cost optimization initiatives are underway, expected to yield $70 million in annualized savings.

  • Reported quarterly GAAP and Adjusted earnings (loss) from continuing operations of $(1.76) and $0.02 per diluted share, respectively.
  • Generated year-to-date operating and free cash flow before leasing investment of $328 million and $372 million, respectively.
  • Total committed liquidity of $709 million at the end of the second quarter.
  • Pre-tax non-cash asset impairment charges of $369 million related to small cube covered hopper railcars.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$509M

Previous: $736M-30.8%
EPS (adj)

$0.02

Previous: $0.29-93.1%
Fleet Utilization

94.7%

Previous: 97.8%-3.2%
Railcar Deliveries

3.0K

Previous: 5.3K-43.2%
New Railcar Orders

840

Previous: 2.1K-60.1%
Capital Expenditures

-$41.5M

Previous: -$34M-22.1%
Free Cash Flow

-$248M

Previous: $2.4M-10450.0%
Net Income

-$207M

Previous: $36.4M-668.4%
Operating Income

-$307M

Previous: $107M-387.2%
Gross Profit

$113M

Previous: $158M-28.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$157M

Previous: $103M+52.7%
Total Assets

$8.67B

Previous: $8.58B+1.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$7.6M

Previous: $7.5M+1.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Trinity · Revenue · Quarterly

$509M

Q2 2020-30.8%vs Q2 2019
Beat estimate in 6 of 16 quarters(38%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Trinity · $598M total across 2 segments · Q2 2020

  • Rail Products
    $406M-43.9%
  • Railcar Leasing and Services
    $193M-30.4%

Forward guidance

Trinity anticipates that the structural and cyclical administrative cost reductions completed and identified as of the date of this release will generate approximately $70 million in future annualized cost savings. The Company expects to recognize a pre-tax pension settlement charge in the fourth quarter of 2020 totaling between $155 million to $185 million.

Tailwinds

  • Annualized cost savings of $70 million underway, encompassing both structural and cyclical savings
  • Expects $303 million in federal income tax refunds in 2020, and an additional $150 million in 2021, as a result of utilizing loss carryback provisions included in the CARES Act
  • Expanded lease fleet borrowings by $225 million subsequent to quarter-end
  • Trinity delivered second quarter cash flow from operations of $154 million
  • Liquidity stayed strong at $709 million at quarter end, and has been further enhanced by the recent completion of the $225 million rail financing and amendments to our corporate revolver in the month of July.

Headwinds

  • Businesses are facing challenging market dynamics resulting from the historic decline in railcar loadings and the resulting underutilized railcars in North America.
  • Pricing pressure on lease rates
  • The timeline for a recovery in the rail sector remains unclear as increasing COVID-19 cases in the U.S. potentially threaten the recent improvement in economic and rail market activity.
  • Recorded a pre-tax non-cash impairment charge of $369.4 million during the second quarter ended June 30, 2020.
  • Company expects to recognize a pre-tax pension settlement charge in the fourth quarter of 2020 totaling between $155 million to $185 million

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2020

Historical avgQ2 2020

-0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.6%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.2%

Avg return

30 days after

46%

31 / 67 earnings

Positive

+19.1%

Q2 2012

Best reaction

-25.4%

Q4 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+6.0%+16.6%+5.2%
Q3 2025-2.7%-6.2%-4.7%
Q1 2025-2.9%-1.9%+2.5%
Q4 2024-8.3%-10.0%-14.1%
Q3 2024-8.8%-5.4%+5.5%
Q2 2024+2.8%+1.5%-0.2%
Q1 2024+15.5%+17.3%+20.9%
Q4 2023-7.3%-7.4%-0.5%
Q3 2023+15.9%+13.7%+23.8%
Q2 2023+2.5%-1.9%-4.4%
Q1 2023-8.7%-9.7%-9.9%
Q4 2022-9.6%-5.5%-19.4%
Q3 2022+7.4%+20.1%+30.1%
Q2 2022+6.0%+7.7%+7.3%
Q1 2022-7.0%-11.1%-18.4%
Q4 2021-5.8%-5.5%+9.7%
Q3 2021+0.5%-2.1%-6.0%
Q2 2021-0.8%+0.0%+5.9%
Q1 2021-2.9%-1.8%-0.5%
Q4 2020-2.8%+2.2%-10.2%
Q3 2020-5.7%-7.3%+0.8%
Q2 2020-7.7%-8.5%-4.9%
Q1 2020+10.4%+4.1%+14.3%
Q4 2019+5.7%-1.0%-26.6%
Q3 2019+1.1%+6.2%+15.0%
Q2 2019-9.1%-5.9%-19.2%
Q1 2019-11.5%-9.5%-13.9%
Q4 2018-2.3%-6.6%-18.1%
Q3 2018-18.3%-23.3%-13.8%
Q2 2018+1.6%+2.1%-0.1%
Q1 2018-0.1%+0.4%+11.0%
Q4 2017-1.4%-6.1%-9.9%
Q3 2017-8.2%-7.8%-1.0%
Q2 2017-3.4%-1.8%+2.9%
Q1 2017+3.0%+0.5%-2.6%
Q4 2016+1.2%-3.8%-4.0%
Q3 2016-2.4%-4.8%+22.0%
Q2 2016+4.2%+1.0%+17.0%
Q1 2016+4.0%
Q4 2015-25.4%
Q3 2015+4.6%
Q2 2015+4.6%
Q1 2015-12.5%
Q4 2014+6.8%
Q3 2014-2.1%
Q2 2014+1.5%
Q1 2014+4.8%
Q4 2013+10.4%
Q3 2013+7.3%
Q2 2013+6.2%
Q1 2013-3.3%
Q4 2012-3.6%
Q3 2012-3.9%
Q2 2012+19.1%
Q1 2012+1.6%
Q4 2011+5.1%
Q4 2010+4.2%
Q3 2011+4.2%
Q2 2011-13.8%
Q1 2010-4.1%
Q1 2011+6.6%
Q4 2008+2.6%
Q3 2009-3.2%
Q3 2010-3.2%
Q2 2010-1.7%
Q4 2009-1.7%
Q2 2009-1.7%

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