NYSE$TPR

Tapestry, Inc · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Tapestry achieved record revenue and profit growth, reflecting brand vibrancy and successful execution of the Acceleration Program.

Tapestry, Inc. reported a strong fourth quarter and full-year fiscal 2022, with record annual sales of $6.7 billion and significant digital revenue growth. The company's focus on the consumer and successful execution of its Acceleration Program drove accelerated revenue and profit growth across its portfolio.

  • Fueled a fourth quarter record $1.6 billion in revenue, representing 7% growth over FY19 pre-pandemic levels.
  • Achieved non-GAAP EPS growth of 20% versus prior year on a comparable 13-week basis and 29% ahead of FY19 pre-pandemic levels.
  • Delivered $2.0 billion in Digital sales, more than tripling versus FY19 pre-pandemic and accounting for 30% of total revenue.
  • Recruited approximately 7.7 million new customers across channels in North America, representing a 10% increase versus prior year with growth in both stores and online.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.63B

Previous: $1.62B+0.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.78

Previous: $0.74+5.4%
Total Coach Stores

945

Previous: 939+0.6%
Total Kate Spade Stores

398

Previous: 407-2.2%
Capital Expenditures

$18.8M

Previous: $47.1M-60.1%
Free Cash Flow

$759M

Previous: $1.21B-37.3%
Net Income

$189M

Previous: $200M-5.5%
Operating Income

$249M

Previous: $260M-4.3%
Gross Profit

$1.12B

Previous: $1.17B-4.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$790M

Previous: $2.02B-60.8%
Total Assets

$7.27B

Previous: $8.38B-13.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$19.1M

Previous: $17.4M+9.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Tapestry · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.63B

Q4 2022+0.6%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Tapestry · $1.62B total across 3 segments · Q4 2022

  • Total Coach
    $1.21B+1.7%
  • Total Kate Spade
    $344M+0.7%
  • Stuart Weitzman
    $71.8M-15.4%

Forward guidance

Tapestry expects revenue in the area of $6.9 billion for Fiscal Year 2023. Earnings per diluted share of $3.80 to $3.90, representing double-digit growth compared to the prior year.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue growth is expected to be approximately 6% to 7% on a constant currency basis.
  • Net interest expense of approximately $35 million.
  • Tax rate of approximately 21.0%.
  • Weighted average diluted share count of approximately 242 million shares, incorporating approximately $700 million of expected share repurchases.
  • Earnings per diluted share of $3.80 to $3.90, representing double-digit growth compared to the prior year.

Headwinds

  • No further appreciation of the USD; information provided based on spot rates at the time of forecast.
  • Continued gradual recovery in Greater China from Covid-related disruption; no further significant lockdowns or incremental supply chain pressures from the Covid-19 pandemic.
  • No material worsening of inflationary pressures or consumer confidence.
  • No benefit from the potential reinstatement of the Generalized System of Preferences (GSP).
  • Revenue in the area of $6.9 billion. This represents an increase of 3% to 4% on a reported basis, which includes roughly 300 basis points of FX pressure.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

+0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.7%

Avg return

30 days after

56%

40 / 71 earnings

Positive

+18.8%

Q3 2022

Best reaction

-20.2%

Q4 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026+1.7%-12.0%-6.0%
Q2 2026+10.2%+17.9%+11.0%
Q1 2026-9.5%-6.7%+6.4%
Q3 2025+3.6%+11.8%+5.6%
Q2 2025+12.0%+10.9%+2.1%
Q1 2025+4.9%+2.8%+25.1%
Q4 2024+6.4%+6.4%+12.6%
Q3 2024+2.8%+8.0%+11.3%
Q2 2024+4.1%+5.8%+16.7%
Q1 2024+2.4%+11.1%+22.1%
Q4 2023+0.8%-14.2%-22.7%
Q3 2023+10.9%+12.8%+14.9%
Q2 2023+2.8%+4.4%-4.3%
Q1 2023+13.3%+12.0%+16.6%
Q4 2022-0.8%-1.6%+2.1%
Q3 2022+18.8%+24.5%+23.3%
Q2 2022-3.8%+0.0%-15.6%
Q1 2022+6.9%+7.0%+1.5%
Q4 2021-2.1%+4.5%-2.6%
Q3 2021+1.5%-3.9%-11.7%
Q2 2021+8.5%+10.8%+21.1%
Q1 2021+4.3%+12.9%+36.1%
Q4 2020+2.1%-1.7%+3.5%
Q3 2020-11.1%-13.4%-20.2%
Q2 2020-1.5%+0.7%-23.6%
Q1 2020-2.2%+2.7%-4.0%
Q4 2019-20.2%-15.8%+0.7%
Q3 2019+4.9%+0.1%-1.6%
Q2 2019-13.9%-10.1%-14.7%
Q1 2019+3.7%+4.9%-6.8%
Q4 2018+9.7%+8.3%+5.3%
Q3 2018-13.8%-14.2%-18.7%
Q2 2018+11.4%+9.1%+15.5%
Q1 2018-3.4%-1.6%+1.2%
Q4 2017-15.0%-15.7%-13.1%
Q3 2017+10.1%+10.1%+19.2%
Q2 2017+5.1%+2.2%+6.8%
Q1 2017-1.2%-1.5%+1.1%
Q4 2016-4.5%-5.1%-9.7%
Q3 2016+4.5%
Q2 2016+12.7%
Q1 2016+2.2%
Q4 2015+4.3%
Q3 2015-9.0%
Q2 2015+2.0%
Q1 2015-6.5%
Q4 2014+2.3%
Q3 2014-11.4%
Q2 2014-6.1%
Q1 2014-10.4%
Q4 2013-8.2%
Q3 2013+11.2%
Q2 2013-16.1%
Q1 2013+6.0%
Q4 2012-17.7%
Q3 2012-4.0%
Q2 2012+7.9%
Q1 2012-0.4%
Q4 2011+1.2%
Q3 2011+0.9%
Q2 2011+0.7%
Q1 2011-0.5%
Q4 2008-1.7%
Q4 2010-1.7%
Q3 2010-6.5%
Q3 2009-6.5%
Q2 2010-3.5%
Q2 2009-3.5%
Q1 2009+3.5%
Q4 2009+3.5%
Q1 2010+3.5%

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