NYSE$TPR

Tapestry, Inc · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Tapestry's Q3 2022 results significantly exceeded expectations, driven by strong growth in North America and increased customer demand across brands.

Tapestry, Inc. reported strong fiscal third quarter results, with revenue growth of 13% compared to the prior year. The company's performance was led by continued strong growth in North America, which offset a decline in Mainland China due to Covid-related pressures. Tapestry is now on track to return approximately $1.9 billion to shareholders in Fiscal 2022 and announced a new $1.5 billion share buyback authorization.

  • Fueled 13% revenue growth, including double-digit increases at each brand.
  • Delivered global sales ahead of expectations despite a challenging external environment.
  • Drove revenue growth of 22% in North America, fully offsetting a mid-teens decline in Mainland China due to pressures from the resurgence of Covid.
  • Achieved another quarter of strong Digital revenue gains, which rose over 20% versus last year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.44B

Previous: $1.27B+12.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.51

Previous: $0.51+0.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$75.1M

Previous: -$68.9M-9.0%
Free Cash Flow

$47.6M

Previous: $22.8M+108.8%
Net Income

$123M

Previous: $91.7M+33.8%
Operating Income

$170M

Previous: $117M+45.2%
Gross Profit

$1.01B

Previous: $912M+10.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$806M

Previous: $1.65B-51.2%
Total Assets

$7.34B

Previous: $7.97B-7.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$19.6M

Previous: $17.8M+10.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Tapestry · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.44B

Q3 2022+12.9%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 13 of 16 quarters(81%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Tapestry · $1.44B total across 3 segments · Q3 2022

  • Total Coach
    $1.07B+11.3%
  • Total Kate Spade
    $302M+19.5%
  • Stuart Weitzman
    $63.6M+10.8%

Forward guidance

Tapestry is modifying its Fiscal 2022 outlook due to (i) an estimated headwind of $0.25 to $0.30 due to incremental Covid-related pressure in China and (ii) an anticipated negative impact of approximately $0.17 based on the current expectation that the Generalized System of Preferences (‘GSP’) with retroactive benefit will not be adopted in the Company’s current fiscal year.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue of approximately $6.7 billion, which represents a high-teens growth rate versus the prior year on a 52-week, comparable basis, and would mark a record level of sales for the Company.
  • Net interest expense of approximately $62 million.
  • Tax rate of approximately 18.0%, assuming a continuation of current tax laws.
  • Weighted average diluted share count of approximately 271 million shares, incorporating the anticipated $1.6 billion in share repurchase activity throughout Fiscal 2022.
  • Earnings per diluted share in the area of $3.45, representing nearly 20% growth versus the prior year on a 52-week, comparable basis.

Headwinds

  • An estimated headwind of $0.25 to $0.30 due to incremental Covid-related pressure in China.
  • An anticipated negative impact of approximately $0.17 based on the current expectation that the Generalized System of Preferences (‘GSP’) with retroactive benefit will not be adopted in the Company’s current fiscal year.
  • The ongoing dynamic nature of the Covid-19 pandemic could cause financial results to differ materially from the current outlook.
  • Potential for more widespread resurgences of the pandemic globally and resulting pressure on trends.
  • Further supply chain disruptions, including potential continued production and distribution delays as well as increased costs, not contemplated in the Company’s estimates.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

+0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.7%

Avg return

30 days after

56%

40 / 71 earnings

Positive

+18.8%

Q3 2022

Best reaction

-20.2%

Q4 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026+1.7%-12.0%-6.0%
Q2 2026+10.2%+17.9%+11.0%
Q1 2026-9.5%-6.7%+6.4%
Q3 2025+3.6%+11.8%+5.6%
Q2 2025+12.0%+10.9%+2.1%
Q1 2025+4.9%+2.8%+25.1%
Q4 2024+6.4%+6.4%+12.6%
Q3 2024+2.8%+8.0%+11.3%
Q2 2024+4.1%+5.8%+16.7%
Q1 2024+2.4%+11.1%+22.1%
Q4 2023+0.8%-14.2%-22.7%
Q3 2023+10.9%+12.8%+14.9%
Q2 2023+2.8%+4.4%-4.3%
Q1 2023+13.3%+12.0%+16.6%
Q4 2022-0.8%-1.6%+2.1%
Q3 2022+18.8%+24.5%+23.3%
Q2 2022-3.8%+0.0%-15.6%
Q1 2022+6.9%+7.0%+1.5%
Q4 2021-2.1%+4.5%-2.6%
Q3 2021+1.5%-3.9%-11.7%
Q2 2021+8.5%+10.8%+21.1%
Q1 2021+4.3%+12.9%+36.1%
Q4 2020+2.1%-1.7%+3.5%
Q3 2020-11.1%-13.4%-20.2%
Q2 2020-1.5%+0.7%-23.6%
Q1 2020-2.2%+2.7%-4.0%
Q4 2019-20.2%-15.8%+0.7%
Q3 2019+4.9%+0.1%-1.6%
Q2 2019-13.9%-10.1%-14.7%
Q1 2019+3.7%+4.9%-6.8%
Q4 2018+9.7%+8.3%+5.3%
Q3 2018-13.8%-14.2%-18.7%
Q2 2018+11.4%+9.1%+15.5%
Q1 2018-3.4%-1.6%+1.2%
Q4 2017-15.0%-15.7%-13.1%
Q3 2017+10.1%+10.1%+19.2%
Q2 2017+5.1%+2.2%+6.8%
Q1 2017-1.2%-1.5%+1.1%
Q4 2016-4.5%-5.1%-9.7%
Q3 2016+4.5%
Q2 2016+12.7%
Q1 2016+2.2%
Q4 2015+4.3%
Q3 2015-9.0%
Q2 2015+2.0%
Q1 2015-6.5%
Q4 2014+2.3%
Q3 2014-11.4%
Q2 2014-6.1%
Q1 2014-10.4%
Q4 2013-8.2%
Q3 2013+11.2%
Q2 2013-16.1%
Q1 2013+6.0%
Q4 2012-17.7%
Q3 2012-4.0%
Q2 2012+7.9%
Q1 2012-0.4%
Q4 2011+1.2%
Q3 2011+0.9%
Q2 2011+0.7%
Q1 2011-0.5%
Q4 2008-1.7%
Q4 2010-1.7%
Q3 2010-6.5%
Q3 2009-6.5%
Q2 2010-3.5%
Q2 2009-3.5%
Q1 2009+3.5%
Q4 2009+3.5%
Q1 2010+3.5%

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