NYSE$TLYS

Tillys Inc · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported better-than-expected Q3 2022 performance with reduced inventory per square foot, but November comparable net sales were weaker than expected.

Tilly's Inc. announced its Q3 2022 financial results, revealing total net sales of $177.8 million, a 13.7% decrease compared to the previous year. Despite a challenging environment, the company's performance exceeded expectations, and they are implementing strategies for improved fiscal 2023 performance.

  • Total net sales decreased by 13.7% to $177.8 million compared to last year.
  • Comparable net sales, including physical stores and e-commerce, decreased by 14.9%.
  • Gross profit was $54.6 million, or 30.7% of net sales, compared to $76.7 million, or 37.2% of net sales, last year.
  • Net income was $5.1 million, or $0.17 per diluted share, compared to $20.8 million, or $0.66 per diluted share, last year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$178M

Previous: $206M-13.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.17

Previous: $0.66-74.2%
Capital Expenditures

-$11.9M

Previous: -$10.9M-9.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$6.75M

Previous: $9.92M-168.0%
Net Income

$5.15M

Previous: $20.8M-75.3%
Operating Income

$6.32M

Previous: $29M-78.2%
Gross Profit

$54.6M

Previous: $76.7M-28.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$75.8M

Previous: $99.3M-23.7%
Total Assets

$500M

Previous: $509M-1.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Tillys · Revenue · Quarterly

$178M

Q3 2022-13.7%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Tillys · $178M total across 2 segments · Q3 2022

  • Physical stores
    $142M-14.4%
  • E-commerce
    $36.3M-11.0%

Forward guidance

The Company estimates Q4 2022 net sales to be in the range of approximately $183 million to $188 million and earnings per diluted share to be in the range of $0.02 to $0.06.

Tailwinds

  • Fourth quarter sales performance will revert to a more traditional holiday cadence, including being the largest sales quarter of the year

Headwinds

  • Total comparable net sales through November 29, 2022, including both physical stores and e-com, decreased by 18.5% relative to the comparable period last year.
  • For Thanksgiving weekend, Thursday through Cyber Monday, total comparable net sales decreased by 13.4% compared to last year.
  • The current business environment remains subject to many unpredictable risks and uncertainties including with respect to, among others, the current inflationary environment, continuing supply chain difficulties, labor challenges, the COVID-19 pandemic, geopolitical concerns, and how consumer behavior may change relative to any of these factors as well as last year's historical anomalies of pent-up demand coming out of pandemic-related restrictions and federal stimulus payments.
  • The Company's estimates concerning its projected business performance may change at any time and there can be no guarantee that the Company's current estimates will be accurate.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

+2.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+4.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+5.4%

Avg return

30 days after

53%

31 / 58 earnings

Positive

+50.3%

Q4 2025

Best reaction

-24.3%

Q1 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+16.9%+19.4%
Q4 2025+50.3%+77.3%+209.8%
Q3 2025-4.6%+8.9%+12.2%
Q2 2025+3.5%-0.5%-2.0%
Q1 2025+11.3%-1.5%+33.1%
Q4 2024-20.0%-26.7%-39.7%
Q3 2024-6.4%-17.5%+0.9%
Q2 2024-8.1%+0.6%-5.9%
Q1 2024-1.7%-10.8%-2.6%
Q4 2023-5.3%-8.1%-20.2%
Q3 2023-5.7%-8.2%-12.8%
Q2 2023-0.3%-5.1%-7.1%
Q1 2023-17.3%-19.4%-10.1%
Q4 2022-9.9%-11.8%-10.3%
Q3 2022+4.0%+0.5%-4.7%
Q2 2022-9.1%-7.7%-7.7%
Q1 2022-1.3%-6.7%-13.7%
Q4 2021-23.5%-20.2%-24.8%
Q3 2021+14.7%+12.5%+13.1%
Q2 2021-6.5%-3.7%-8.7%
Q1 2021+7.1%+13.0%+12.4%
Q4 2020+11.9%+7.1%+5.1%
Q3 2020-5.5%-2.8%-7.1%
Q2 2020+10.4%+12.2%-6.3%
Q1 2020+1.5%+14.2%-10.7%
Q4 2019+9.2%-12.8%+10.1%
Q3 2019+20.2%+28.0%+24.3%
Q2 2019+28.9%+26.7%+12.2%
Q1 2019-19.0%-23.0%-25.7%
Q4 2018-2.7%-2.8%-6.1%
Q3 2018-19.5%-22.6%-28.3%
Q2 2018+16.0%+32.2%+6.5%
Q1 2018+15.8%+23.1%+27.5%
Q4 2017-13.0%-12.9%-11.4%
Q3 2017+24.3%+16.7%+11.2%
Q2 2017+8.3%+21.8%+31.3%
Q1 2017+10.8%+16.7%+10.9%
Q4 2016-12.6%-11.8%-14.2%
Q3 2016+35.9%+33.6%+28.1%
Q2 2016+13.2%+29.3%+44.5%
Q1 2016+6.6%+8.1%+1.6%
Q4 2015-13.4%
Q3 2015+1.0%
Q2 2015+7.1%
Q1 2015-24.3%
Q4 2014+18.3%
Q3 2014+21.8%
Q2 2014-3.0%
Q1 2014-17.4%
Q4 2013+2.1%
Q3 2013-21.2%
Q2 2013+12.4%
Q1 2013+3.2%
Q4 2011+1.8%
Q1 2012+1.8%
Q4 2012-5.3%
Q3 2012-13.4%
Q2 2012+14.5%
Q2 2011
Q2 2010
Q1 2011

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro