NYSE$TLYS

Tillys Inc · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported a net loss due to decreased net sales and reduced gross profit, impacted by a challenging economic environment.

Tilly's Inc. reported a decrease in net sales by 15.2% to $123.6 million for the first quarter of fiscal 2023, with a comparable net sales decrease of 17.5%. The company experienced a net loss of $(12.0) million, or $(0.40) per share, compared to a net income of $0.8 million, or $0.03 per diluted share, in the same quarter last year. The decline was attributed to the impact of inflation and potential recessionary concerns affecting their customer demographic.

  • Total net sales decreased by 15.2% to $123.6 million, with comparable net sales down by 17.5%.
  • Net sales from physical stores decreased by 16.7% to $97.8 million, while e-commerce sales decreased by 8.7% to $25.8 million.
  • Gross profit decreased to $25.9 million, or 21.0% of net sales, compared to $43.8 million, or 30.1% of net sales, in the previous year.
  • Operating loss was $(17.3) million, compared to an operating income of $1.1 million in the same quarter last year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$124M

Previous: $146M-15.2%
EPS (adj)

-$0.40

Previous: $0.03-1433.3%
Gross margin

21.0%

Previous: 30.1%-30.2%
Capital Expenditures

-$4.26M

Previous: -$2.6M-63.8%
Free Cash Flow

-$16.2M

Previous: -$1.79M-808.9%
Net Income

-$12M

Previous: $813K-1572.1%
Operating Income

-$17.3M

Previous: $1.11M-1657.9%
Gross Profit

$25.9M

Previous: $43.8M-40.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$43.7M

Previous: $60M-27.1%
Total Assets

$473M

Previous: $486M-2.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Tillys · Revenue · Quarterly

$124M

Q1 2023-15.2%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Tillys · $124M total across 2 segments · Q1 2023

  • Physical stores
    $97.8M-16.8%
  • E-commerce
    $25.8M-8.8%

Forward guidance

The Company estimates that its fiscal 2023 second quarter net sales will be in the range of approximately $148 million to $158 million, translating to an estimated comparable net sales decrease of approximately 10% to 15% for the second quarter of fiscal 2023 compared to last year.

Tailwinds

  • Net sales are expected to be between $148 million and $158 million.
  • The company expects to have 248 stores open at the end of the second quarter, a net increase of six stores from the end of last year's second quarter.
  • Estimated income tax rate to be approximately 26%.
  • The company is managing costs effectively.
  • Company is expanding store count.

Headwinds

  • Comparable net sales are expected to decrease by approximately 10% to 15%.
  • SG&A expenses for the second quarter of fiscal 2023 to be in the range of approximately $49 million to $50 million.
  • Pre-tax loss to be in the range of approximately $(5) million to $(11) million.
  • Loss per share for the second quarter of fiscal 2023 to be in the range of $(0.13) to $(0.27).
  • Economic uncertainty impacting customer spending.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

+2.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+4.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+5.4%

Avg return

30 days after

53%

31 / 58 earnings

Positive

+50.3%

Q4 2025

Best reaction

-24.3%

Q1 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+16.9%+19.4%
Q4 2025+50.3%+77.3%+209.8%
Q3 2025-4.6%+8.9%+12.2%
Q2 2025+3.5%-0.5%-2.0%
Q1 2025+11.3%-1.5%+33.1%
Q4 2024-20.0%-26.7%-39.7%
Q3 2024-6.4%-17.5%+0.9%
Q2 2024-8.1%+0.6%-5.9%
Q1 2024-1.7%-10.8%-2.6%
Q4 2023-5.3%-8.1%-20.2%
Q3 2023-5.7%-8.2%-12.8%
Q2 2023-0.3%-5.1%-7.1%
Q1 2023-17.3%-19.4%-10.1%
Q4 2022-9.9%-11.8%-10.3%
Q3 2022+4.0%+0.5%-4.7%
Q2 2022-9.1%-7.7%-7.7%
Q1 2022-1.3%-6.7%-13.7%
Q4 2021-23.5%-20.2%-24.8%
Q3 2021+14.7%+12.5%+13.1%
Q2 2021-6.5%-3.7%-8.7%
Q1 2021+7.1%+13.0%+12.4%
Q4 2020+11.9%+7.1%+5.1%
Q3 2020-5.5%-2.8%-7.1%
Q2 2020+10.4%+12.2%-6.3%
Q1 2020+1.5%+14.2%-10.7%
Q4 2019+9.2%-12.8%+10.1%
Q3 2019+20.2%+28.0%+24.3%
Q2 2019+28.9%+26.7%+12.2%
Q1 2019-19.0%-23.0%-25.7%
Q4 2018-2.7%-2.8%-6.1%
Q3 2018-19.5%-22.6%-28.3%
Q2 2018+16.0%+32.2%+6.5%
Q1 2018+15.8%+23.1%+27.5%
Q4 2017-13.0%-12.9%-11.4%
Q3 2017+24.3%+16.7%+11.2%
Q2 2017+8.3%+21.8%+31.3%
Q1 2017+10.8%+16.7%+10.9%
Q4 2016-12.6%-11.8%-14.2%
Q3 2016+35.9%+33.6%+28.1%
Q2 2016+13.2%+29.3%+44.5%
Q1 2016+6.6%+8.1%+1.6%
Q4 2015-13.4%
Q3 2015+1.0%
Q2 2015+7.1%
Q1 2015-24.3%
Q4 2014+18.3%
Q3 2014+21.8%
Q2 2014-3.0%
Q1 2014-17.4%
Q4 2013+2.1%
Q3 2013-21.2%
Q2 2013+12.4%
Q1 2013+3.2%
Q4 2011+1.8%
Q1 2012+1.8%
Q4 2012-5.3%
Q3 2012-13.4%
Q2 2012+14.5%
Q2 2011
Q2 2010
Q1 2011

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