NYSE$TLYS

Tillys Inc · Q2 2023 earnings

Q2 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Tilly's Q2 2023 earnings beat expectations, with improved comp sales trend in August.

Tilly's reported a decrease in net sales by 5.0% to $160.0 million, with a comparable sales decrease of 8.5%. Despite the sales decline, prudent expense management led to better than expected results. The company reported a net loss $(1.1) million, or $(0.04) per share.

  • Total net sales decreased by 5.0% to $160.0 million compared to last year.
  • Comparable net sales, including physical stores and e-commerce, decreased by 8.5%.
  • Net loss was $(1.1) million, or $(0.04) per share, compared to net income of $3.8 million, or $0.13 per diluted share, last year.
  • Gross profit was $44.3 million, or 27.7% of net sales, compared to $52.0 million, or 30.9% of net sales, last year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$160M

Previous: $168M-5.0%
EPS (adj)

-$0.04

Previous: $0.13-130.8%
Gross margin

27.7%

Previous: 30.9%-10.4%
Capital Expenditures

-$6.31M

Previous: -$6.89M+8.5%
Free Cash Flow

-$7.44M

Previous: -$3.08M-141.8%
Net Income

-$1.13M

Previous: $3.82M-129.5%
Operating Income

-$2.69M

Previous: $5.15M-152.1%
Gross Profit

$44.3M

Previous: $52M-14.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$54.6M

Previous: $85.5M-36.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Tillys · Revenue · Quarterly

$160M

Q2 2023-5%vs Q2 2022
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Tillys · $130M total across 1 segment · Q2 2023

  • Physical stores
    $130M-5.3%

Forward guidance

The Company currently estimates that its fiscal 2023 third quarter net sales will be in the range of approximately $166 million to $171 million, translating to an estimated comparable net sales decrease in the range of approximately 5% to 8% for the third quarter of fiscal 2023 compared to last year.

Headwinds

  • Estimated comparable net sales decrease in the range of approximately 5% to 8% for the third quarter of fiscal 2023 compared to last year.
  • The Company anticipates that its comparable net sales results may decelerate following the need-based purchasing period during the month of August amid the peak of the back-to-school season.
  • The Company currently estimates its SG&A expenses for the third quarter of fiscal 2023 to be approximately $50 million
  • Pre-tax loss to be in the range of approximately $(1.8) million to $(4.3) million
  • The Company currently expects its loss per share for the third quarter of fiscal 2023 to be in the range of $(0.05) to $(0.11) based on estimated weighted average shares of approximately 29.8 million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2023

Historical avgQ2 2023

+2.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+4.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+5.4%

Avg return

30 days after

53%

31 / 58 earnings

Positive

+50.3%

Q4 2025

Best reaction

-24.3%

Q1 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+16.9%+19.4%
Q4 2025+50.3%+77.3%+209.8%
Q3 2025-4.6%+8.9%+12.2%
Q2 2025+3.5%-0.5%-2.0%
Q1 2025+11.3%-1.5%+33.1%
Q4 2024-20.0%-26.7%-39.7%
Q3 2024-6.4%-17.5%+0.9%
Q2 2024-8.1%+0.6%-5.9%
Q1 2024-1.7%-10.8%-2.6%
Q4 2023-5.3%-8.1%-20.2%
Q3 2023-5.7%-8.2%-12.8%
Q2 2023-0.3%-5.1%-7.1%
Q1 2023-17.3%-19.4%-10.1%
Q4 2022-9.9%-11.8%-10.3%
Q3 2022+4.0%+0.5%-4.7%
Q2 2022-9.1%-7.7%-7.7%
Q1 2022-1.3%-6.7%-13.7%
Q4 2021-23.5%-20.2%-24.8%
Q3 2021+14.7%+12.5%+13.1%
Q2 2021-6.5%-3.7%-8.7%
Q1 2021+7.1%+13.0%+12.4%
Q4 2020+11.9%+7.1%+5.1%
Q3 2020-5.5%-2.8%-7.1%
Q2 2020+10.4%+12.2%-6.3%
Q1 2020+1.5%+14.2%-10.7%
Q4 2019+9.2%-12.8%+10.1%
Q3 2019+20.2%+28.0%+24.3%
Q2 2019+28.9%+26.7%+12.2%
Q1 2019-19.0%-23.0%-25.7%
Q4 2018-2.7%-2.8%-6.1%
Q3 2018-19.5%-22.6%-28.3%
Q2 2018+16.0%+32.2%+6.5%
Q1 2018+15.8%+23.1%+27.5%
Q4 2017-13.0%-12.9%-11.4%
Q3 2017+24.3%+16.7%+11.2%
Q2 2017+8.3%+21.8%+31.3%
Q1 2017+10.8%+16.7%+10.9%
Q4 2016-12.6%-11.8%-14.2%
Q3 2016+35.9%+33.6%+28.1%
Q2 2016+13.2%+29.3%+44.5%
Q1 2016+6.6%+8.1%+1.6%
Q4 2015-13.4%
Q3 2015+1.0%
Q2 2015+7.1%
Q1 2015-24.3%
Q4 2014+18.3%
Q3 2014+21.8%
Q2 2014-3.0%
Q1 2014-17.4%
Q4 2013+2.1%
Q3 2013-21.2%
Q2 2013+12.4%
Q1 2013+3.2%
Q4 2011+1.8%
Q1 2012+1.8%
Q4 2012-5.3%
Q3 2012-13.4%
Q2 2012+14.5%
Q2 2011
Q2 2010
Q1 2011

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