NYSE$SJM

JM Smucker Co · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Smucker's Q4 2024 financial results reflected a mix of divestitures, acquisitions, and organic growth, with net sales showing a slight decrease but adjusted EPS increasing by 1%.

The J.M. Smucker Co. reported Q4 net sales of $2.2 billion, a 1% decrease year-over-year, but a 3% increase excluding acquisitions, divestitures, and foreign currency exchange. Net income per diluted share was $2.30, while adjusted EPS was $2.66, a 1% increase. The company provided FY25 outlook, expecting net sales to increase 9.5-10.5% and adjusted EPS to range from $9.80 to $10.20.

  • Net sales for the quarter were $2.2 billion, a decrease of 1 percent, but increased 3 percent excluding the acquisition, divestitures, and foreign currency exchange.
  • Net income per diluted share for the quarter was $2.30, with adjusted earnings per share at $2.66, a 1 percent increase.
  • Cash provided by operations for the quarter was $428.1 million, and free cash flow was $297.5 million.
  • The company's fiscal year 2025 outlook includes net sales expected to increase 9.5 to 10.5 percent and adjusted earnings per share to range from $9.80 to $10.20.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.21B

Previous: $2.24B-1.3%
EPS (adj)

$2.66

Previous: $2.64+0.8%
U.S. Retail Pet Foods Margin

25.2%

Previous: 18.5%+36.2%
Sweet Baked Snacks Margin

20.8%

Previous: 22.8%-8.8%
Gross Margin

41.4%

Previous: 35.5%+16.6%
U.S. Retail Coffee Margin

31.6%

Previous: 28.9%+9.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$131M

Previous: $145M-190.0%
Net Income

$245M

Previous: -$601M+140.8%
Operating Income

$406M

Previous: -$634M+164.1%
Gross Profit

$913M

Previous: $792M+15.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$8M

Previous: $14.3M-44.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Smucker · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.21B

Q4 2024-1.3%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 8 of 16 quarters(50%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Smucker · $2.15B total across 5 segments · Q4 2026

  • U.S. Retail Coffee
    $831M
  • U.S. Retail Frozen Handheld and Spreads
    $454M
  • U.S. Retail Pet Foods
    $402M
  • Sweet Baked Snacks
    $237M
  • Away From Home
    $228M

Forward guidance

The Company provided its full-year fiscal year 2025 guidance with net sales expected to increase 9.5 to 10.5 percent, adjusted earnings per share to range from $9.80 to $10.20, and free cash flow of $900.0 million.

Tailwinds

  • Net sales are expected to increase 9.5 to 10.5 percent, reflecting a full-year of net sales from the Hostess Brands acquisition, as well as favorable volume/mix and higher net price realization.
  • Comparable net sales are expected to increase approximately 1.5 to 2.5 percent, which excludes noncomparable sales in the current year from the acquisition of Hostess Brands and noncomparable sales in the prior year related to the divestitures of the Sahale Snacks® business and the Canada condiment business.
  • Adjusted earnings per share is expected to range from $9.80 to $10.20.
  • This guidance reflects the increase in net sales, adjusted gross profit margin of approximately 38.0 percent, an increase of SD&A expenses of approximately 13.0 percent, interest expense of $400.0 million, an adjusted effective income tax rate of 24.4 percent, and 106.4 million weighted-average common shares outstanding.
  • Free cash flow is expected to be approximately $900.0 million with capital expenditures of $450.0 million.

Headwinds

  • This guidance also reflects a decline of approximately $85.0 million of contract manufacturing sales related to the divested pet food brands.
  • Increase of SD&A expenses of approximately 13.0 percent.
  • Interest expense of $400.0 million.
  • Adjusted effective income tax rate of 24.4 percent.
  • Capital expenditures of $450.0 million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

+0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.1%

Avg return

30 days after

49%

34 / 69 earnings

Positive

+10.6%

Q4 2026

Best reaction

-11.5%

Q1 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2026+10.6%+14.8%
Q3 2026+9.8%+5.4%-10.7%
Q2 2026-4.7%-0.1%-4.8%
Q1 2026-4.2%-0.1%-1.2%
Q4 2025+0.0%+0.3%+9.4%
Q3 2025-0.0%+0.6%+6.6%
Q2 2025+3.9%+3.7%-2.4%
Q1 2025-5.7%-5.0%+0.4%
Q4 2024+4.2%+2.4%-0.4%
Q3 2024-2.7%-2.2%+0.5%
Q2 2024+4.7%+6.1%+14.4%
Q1 2024+0.7%-0.3%-12.8%
Q4 2023-0.4%+3.1%-0.3%
Q3 2023-1.9%+1.9%+6.4%
Q2 2023+2.1%+3.5%+8.1%
Q1 2023+4.6%+2.8%+3.1%
Q4 2022+3.4%+4.2%+7.8%
Q3 2022-3.0%-0.7%+0.5%
Q2 2022+4.6%+3.6%+5.2%
Q1 2022-2.9%-2.8%-6.4%
Q4 2021+2.9%+0.7%-4.6%
Q3 2021-1.1%-0.2%+13.5%
Q2 2021+1.7%+0.4%+0.0%
Q1 2021+7.7%+5.9%-1.9%
Q4 2020-6.2%-5.4%-8.4%
Q3 2020-1.5%-0.9%-4.4%
Q2 2020+1.6%+1.9%-0.4%
Q1 2020-7.6%-6.9%-3.3%
Q4 2019-0.6%-1.7%-4.6%
Q3 2019+6.4%+4.3%+14.8%
Q2 2019-5.3%-5.4%-14.0%
Q1 2019-9.0%-9.3%-5.4%
Q4 2018-3.8%-0.6%+4.9%
Q3 2018+1.0%-1.5%+2.6%
Q2 2018+7.2%+6.6%+12.1%
Q1 2018-11.5%-11.9%-12.0%
Q4 2017-2.8%-2.0%-11.8%
Q3 2017+3.0%+2.1%+0.5%
Q2 2017-3.9%-2.3%-0.6%
Q1 2017-8.9%-11.0%-11.8%
Q4 2016+8.7%+8.6%+16.1%
Q3 2016+0.7%
Q2 2016+7.9%
Q1 2016+7.7%
Q4 2015-5.8%
Q3 2015+0.7%
Q2 2015-0.8%
Q1 2015-1.7%
Q4 2014+2.8%
Q3 2014+0.2%
Q2 2014-5.1%
Q1 2014-1.5%
Q4 2013-1.0%
Q3 2013-0.4%
Q2 2013-1.0%
Q1 2013+6.7%
Q4 2012-0.4%
Q3 2012-6.5%
Q2 2012+1.5%
Q1 2012-10.2%
Q4 2009+1.1%
Q4 2011+1.1%
Q3 2011-0.0%
Q3 2010-0.0%
Q2 2011+0.4%
Q2 2010+1.1%
Q1 2010+1.1%
Q4 2010+1.1%
Q1 2011+1.1%

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