NYSE$SJM

JM Smucker Co · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Smucker's Q4 2023 results reflected a strong performance driven by consumer demand and strategic execution, with notable increases in net sales and adjusted earnings per share, partially offset by a net loss due to the divestiture of certain pet food brands.

The J.M. Smucker Co. reported a 10% increase in net sales to $2.2 billion for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2023. Adjusted earnings per share increased by 18% to $2.64. However, the company reported a net loss per diluted share of $5.69 due to a loss related to the divestiture of certain pet food brands. The company provided fiscal year 2024 guidance, expecting comparable net sales to increase 8.5 to 9.5 percent and adjusted earnings per share to range from $9.20 to $9.60.

  • Net sales increased by 10% to $2.2 billion, with an 11% increase excluding divestitures and foreign currency exchange impacts.
  • Adjusted earnings per share rose by 18% to $2.64, while net loss per diluted share was $5.69 due to pet food brand divestiture.
  • Free cash flow was $298.7 million for the quarter.
  • Fiscal year 2024 guidance projects comparable net sales increase of 8.5% to 9.5% and adjusted earnings per share of $9.20 to $9.60.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.24B

Previous: $2.03B+9.9%
EPS (adj)

$2.64

Previous: $2.23+18.4%
U.S. Retail Pet Foods Margin

18.5%

Previous: 16.8%+10.1%
Sweet Baked Snacks Margin

22.8%

Previous: 23.9%-4.6%
Gross Margin

35.5%

Previous: 32.8%+8.2%
U.S. Retail Coffee Margin

28.9%

Previous: 25.4%+13.8%
Capital Expenditures

$145M

Previous: $173M-16.1%
Free Cash Flow

$299M

Previous: $221M+35.3%
Net Income

-$601M

Previous: $202M-397.2%
Operating Income

-$634M

Previous: $302M-309.8%
Gross Profit

$792M

Previous: $667M+18.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$656M

Previous: $170M+286.0%
Total Assets

$15B

Previous: $16.1B-6.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$14.3M

Previous: $7.1M+101.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Smucker · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.24B

Q4 2023+9.9%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 8 of 16 quarters(50%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Smucker · $1.78B total across 3 segments · Q4 2023

  • U.S. Retail Pet Foods
    $785M+9.4%
  • U.S. Retail Coffee
    $693M+7.0%
  • Away From Home
    $304M+11.9%

Forward guidance

The Company provided its full-year fiscal year 2024 guidance as summarized below: Comparable net sales are expected to increase 8.5 to 9.5 percent compared to the prior year. Adjusted earnings per share is expected to range from $9.20 to $9.60. Free cash flow is expected to be approximately $650 million with capital expenditures of $550 million.

Tailwinds

  • Comparable net sales increase vs prior year: 8.5% to 9.5%
  • Adjusted earnings per share: $9.20 - $9.60
  • Free cash flow: $650 million
  • Favorable volume/mix from underlying business momentum
  • Higher net pricing actions

Headwinds

  • Net sales are expected to decrease 10.0% to 11.0% compared to the prior year, which reflects $1.5 billion of net sales in the prior year related to the divested pet food brands.
  • Increased SD&A expenses
  • Adjusted gross profit margin range of 36.5 to 37.0 percent
  • Adjusted effective income tax rate of 24.2 percent
  • Net impact of approximately $0.60 related to stranded overhead from the divestiture of certain pet food brands

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.1%

Avg return

30 days after

49%

34 / 69 earnings

Positive

+10.6%

Q4 2026

Best reaction

-11.5%

Q1 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2026+10.6%+14.8%
Q3 2026+9.8%+5.4%-10.7%
Q2 2026-4.7%-0.1%-4.8%
Q1 2026-4.2%-0.1%-1.2%
Q4 2025+0.0%+0.3%+9.4%
Q3 2025-0.0%+0.6%+6.6%
Q2 2025+3.9%+3.7%-2.4%
Q1 2025-5.7%-5.0%+0.4%
Q4 2024+4.2%+2.4%-0.4%
Q3 2024-2.7%-2.2%+0.5%
Q2 2024+4.7%+6.1%+14.4%
Q1 2024+0.7%-0.3%-12.8%
Q4 2023-0.4%+3.1%-0.3%
Q3 2023-1.9%+1.9%+6.4%
Q2 2023+2.1%+3.5%+8.1%
Q1 2023+4.6%+2.8%+3.1%
Q4 2022+3.4%+4.2%+7.8%
Q3 2022-3.0%-0.7%+0.5%
Q2 2022+4.6%+3.6%+5.2%
Q1 2022-2.9%-2.8%-6.4%
Q4 2021+2.9%+0.7%-4.6%
Q3 2021-1.1%-0.2%+13.5%
Q2 2021+1.7%+0.4%+0.0%
Q1 2021+7.7%+5.9%-1.9%
Q4 2020-6.2%-5.4%-8.4%
Q3 2020-1.5%-0.9%-4.4%
Q2 2020+1.6%+1.9%-0.4%
Q1 2020-7.6%-6.9%-3.3%
Q4 2019-0.6%-1.7%-4.6%
Q3 2019+6.4%+4.3%+14.8%
Q2 2019-5.3%-5.4%-14.0%
Q1 2019-9.0%-9.3%-5.4%
Q4 2018-3.8%-0.6%+4.9%
Q3 2018+1.0%-1.5%+2.6%
Q2 2018+7.2%+6.6%+12.1%
Q1 2018-11.5%-11.9%-12.0%
Q4 2017-2.8%-2.0%-11.8%
Q3 2017+3.0%+2.1%+0.5%
Q2 2017-3.9%-2.3%-0.6%
Q1 2017-8.9%-11.0%-11.8%
Q4 2016+8.7%+8.6%+16.1%
Q3 2016+0.7%
Q2 2016+7.9%
Q1 2016+7.7%
Q4 2015-5.8%
Q3 2015+0.7%
Q2 2015-0.8%
Q1 2015-1.7%
Q4 2014+2.8%
Q3 2014+0.2%
Q2 2014-5.1%
Q1 2014-1.5%
Q4 2013-1.0%
Q3 2013-0.4%
Q2 2013-1.0%
Q1 2013+6.7%
Q4 2012-0.4%
Q3 2012-6.5%
Q2 2012+1.5%
Q1 2012-10.2%
Q4 2009+1.1%
Q4 2011+1.1%
Q3 2011-0.0%
Q3 2010-0.0%
Q2 2011+0.4%
Q2 2010+1.1%
Q1 2010+1.1%
Q4 2010+1.1%
Q1 2011+1.1%

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