NYSE$SHAK

Shake Shack Inc · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Shake Shack's revenue increased, driven by new shack openings and licensing growth, but same-shack sales declined due to decreased guest traffic and less menu innovation.

Shake Shack's fourth quarter 2019 total revenue increased by 21.9% to $151.4 million. Shack sales increased by 20.8% to $145.8 million, while licensed revenue increased by 58.6% to $5.6 million. However, same-shack sales decreased by 3.6%. The company opened 12 domestic company-operated Shacks and 8 international licensed Shacks during the quarter.

  • Total revenue increased by 21.9% to $151.4 million.
  • Shack sales increased by 20.8% to $145.8 million.
  • Licensed revenue increased by 58.6% to $5.6 million.
  • Same-Shack sales decreased 3.6%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$151M

Previous: $124M+21.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.06

Previous: $0.06+0.0%
Same-Shack Sales Growth

-3.6%

Previous: 2.3%-256.5%
Capital Expenditures

$25.6M

Previous: $27.4M-6.5%
Free Cash Flow

-$8.79M

Previous: -$4.77M-84.2%
Net Income

-$2.1M

Previous: -$958K-119.2%
Operating Income

$500K

Previous: $2.84M-82.4%
Gross Profit

$66.4M

Previous: $55.1M+20.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$37.1M

Previous: $24.8M+49.9%
Total Assets

$968M

Previous: $611M+58.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.75M

Previous: $1.67M+4.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Shake Shack · Revenue · Quarterly

$151M

Q4 2019+21.9%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Shake Shack · $146M total across 1 segment · Q4 2019

  • Shack sales
    $146M

Forward guidance

The company expects 2020 will be another year of strong unit growth, domestically and internationally, with 40 to 42 new company-operated Shacks and 20 to 25 net new licensed Shacks.

Tailwinds

  • Strong unit growth domestically.
  • Strong unit growth internationally.
  • 40 to 42 new company-operated Shacks.
  • 20 to 25 net new licensed Shacks.
  • Focused investments across our digital products.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

-0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.8%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

22 / 49 earnings

Positive

+25.9%

Q4 2023

Best reaction

-28.6%

Q1 2026

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-28.6%-31.8%-45.8%
Q4 2025+6.4%+4.3%-11.7%
Q3 2025+1.6%+5.2%-2.6%
Q1 2025+1.1%+12.5%+47.9%
Q4 2024+11.1%-0.5%-18.5%
Q3 2024+7.1%+8.7%+17.7%
Q2 2024+10.1%+13.3%+13.5%
Q1 2024+4.0%+1.8%-8.2%
Q4 2023+25.9%+25.0%+32.8%
Q3 2023+3.9%+1.0%+7.7%
Q2 2023+5.2%+5.3%-6.6%
Q1 2023+24.1%+24.9%+29.9%
Q4 2022-6.3%-5.6%-6.4%
Q3 2022-9.5%-12.1%+0.0%
Q2 2022-5.3%-9.8%-14.6%
Q1 2022-8.7%-19.9%-20.8%
Q4 2021-8.5%-15.9%-13.0%
Q3 2021+19.9%+10.5%-8.0%
Q2 2021-2.0%-0.5%-7.4%
Q1 2021-15.8%-15.3%-16.0%
Q4 2020-5.5%-3.1%-8.2%
Q3 2020+2.0%+1.8%+24.9%
Q2 2020-11.5%-7.8%+23.0%
Q1 2020-4.8%+6.4%+7.6%
Q4 2019-15.7%-20.5%-41.9%
Q3 2019-19.3%-25.0%-27.4%
Q2 2019+15.2%+17.8%+38.9%
Q1 2019-1.3%-6.2%+0.6%
Q4 2018-0.8%-0.8%+6.0%
Q3 2018-10.8%-5.3%+5.0%
Q2 2018-9.4%-9.2%-2.8%
Q1 2018+18.3%+25.5%+27.2%
Q4 2017-4.1%-5.9%+3.5%
Q3 2017-5.4%-4.0%+7.5%
Q2 2017-6.3%-2.6%-7.5%
Q1 2017+6.3%+7.9%+11.0%
Q4 2016-1.8%-10.2%-6.8%
Q3 2016+13.1%+17.3%+17.0%
Q2 2016-7.8%-9.5%-17.4%
Q1 2016+9.6%
Q4 2013+7.0%
Q4 2015-11.3%
Q3 2014-5.0%
Q3 2015+2.2%
Q2 2014-4.3%
Q2 2015-4.3%
Q1 2014+10.7%
Q1 2015-0.2%
Q4 2014+4.4%
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013

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