NYSE$SHAK

Shake Shack Inc · Q3 2021 earnings

Q3 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Highest revenue quarter ever, driven by positive sales performance and recovery in urban and suburban Shacks.

Shake Shack reported a strong third quarter with total revenue increasing by 48.7% year-over-year to $193.9 million and system-wide sales growing by 53.1% to $298.6 million. Same-Shack Sales were up 24.8% versus 2020. The company saw benefits from urban Shacks as guests returned to offices, events, commuting and tourism-based locations, while suburban Shacks continued to recover above 2019 levels.

  • Total Revenue grew 48.7% year-over-year to $193.9 million, and system-wide sales grew 53.1% to nearly $299 million.
  • Third quarter Same-Shack Sales were up 24.8% versus 2020.
  • Momentum versus 2019 continued into fiscal October with overall Same-Shack Sales down 1% and suburban Same-Shack Sales up 7%.
  • Retained nearly 80% of digital sales in fiscal September from high in fiscal January 2021. Acquired 14% more first time purchasers through Company-owned digital channels versus the prior quarter.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$194M

Previous: $130M+48.7%
EPS (adj)

-$0.05

Previous: -$0.11+54.5%
Same-Shack Sales Growth

24.8%

Previous: -31.7%+178.2%
System-Wide Sales

$299M

Previous: $195M+53.0%
New Licensed Shacks

6

Previous: 2+200.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$68.9M

Previous: -$47M-46.5%
Free Cash Flow

-$71M

Previous: -$52.6M-35.1%
Net Income

-$2.18M

Previous: -$5.56M+60.8%
Operating Income

-$2.65M

Previous: -$6.8M+61.1%
Gross Profit

$18K

Previous: $34K-47.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$321M

Previous: $175M+83.8%
Total Assets

$1.44B

Previous: $1.14B+26.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.32M

Previous: $1.34M+73.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Shake Shack · Revenue · Quarterly

$194M

Q3 2021+48.7%vs Q3 2020
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Shake Shack · $187M total across 1 segment · Q3 2021

  • Shack sales
    $187M+48.1%

Forward guidance

The Company is providing revenue and sales guidance for the fourth quarter of 2021.

Tailwinds

  • Total revenue $193.5 million to $200 million
  • Shack sales $187 million to $193 million
  • Licensing revenue $6.5 million to $7 million
  • Same-Shack sales versus 2020 + mid to high teens
  • Shack-level operating profit margin 14% to 16%

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2021

Historical avgQ3 2021

-0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.8%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

22 / 49 earnings

Positive

+25.9%

Q4 2023

Best reaction

-28.6%

Q1 2026

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-28.6%-31.8%-45.8%
Q4 2025+6.4%+4.3%-11.7%
Q3 2025+1.6%+5.2%-2.6%
Q1 2025+1.1%+12.5%+47.9%
Q4 2024+11.1%-0.5%-18.5%
Q3 2024+7.1%+8.7%+17.7%
Q2 2024+10.1%+13.3%+13.5%
Q1 2024+4.0%+1.8%-8.2%
Q4 2023+25.9%+25.0%+32.8%
Q3 2023+3.9%+1.0%+7.7%
Q2 2023+5.2%+5.3%-6.6%
Q1 2023+24.1%+24.9%+29.9%
Q4 2022-6.3%-5.6%-6.4%
Q3 2022-9.5%-12.1%+0.0%
Q2 2022-5.3%-9.8%-14.6%
Q1 2022-8.7%-19.9%-20.8%
Q4 2021-8.5%-15.9%-13.0%
Q3 2021+19.9%+10.5%-8.0%
Q2 2021-2.0%-0.5%-7.4%
Q1 2021-15.8%-15.3%-16.0%
Q4 2020-5.5%-3.1%-8.2%
Q3 2020+2.0%+1.8%+24.9%
Q2 2020-11.5%-7.8%+23.0%
Q1 2020-4.8%+6.4%+7.6%
Q4 2019-15.7%-20.5%-41.9%
Q3 2019-19.3%-25.0%-27.4%
Q2 2019+15.2%+17.8%+38.9%
Q1 2019-1.3%-6.2%+0.6%
Q4 2018-0.8%-0.8%+6.0%
Q3 2018-10.8%-5.3%+5.0%
Q2 2018-9.4%-9.2%-2.8%
Q1 2018+18.3%+25.5%+27.2%
Q4 2017-4.1%-5.9%+3.5%
Q3 2017-5.4%-4.0%+7.5%
Q2 2017-6.3%-2.6%-7.5%
Q1 2017+6.3%+7.9%+11.0%
Q4 2016-1.8%-10.2%-6.8%
Q3 2016+13.1%+17.3%+17.0%
Q2 2016-7.8%-9.5%-17.4%
Q1 2016+9.6%
Q4 2013+7.0%
Q4 2015-11.3%
Q3 2014-5.0%
Q3 2015+2.2%
Q2 2014-4.3%
Q2 2015-4.3%
Q1 2014+10.7%
Q1 2015-0.2%
Q4 2014+4.4%
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013

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