NYSE$SHAK

Shake Shack Inc · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Shake Shack's financial performance saw revenue increase and same-shack sales improve, but operating loss persisted.

Shake Shack reported an 8.5% increase in total revenue to $155.3 million for the first quarter of 2021. Same-Shack sales improved by 5.7%. The company opened 10 domestic company-operated shacks and 2 licensed shacks during the quarter. However, the operating loss was $10.0 million, compared to a $0.8 million loss in the same period last year.

  • Total revenue increased by 8.5% to $155.3 million compared to Q1 2020.
  • Same-Shack sales increased by 5.7% compared to the same period last year.
  • Shack system-wide sales increased by 3.0% to $228.3 million.
  • The company opened 10 new domestic company-operated Shacks and two new licensed Shacks.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$155M

Previous: $143M+8.5%
EPS (adj)

$0.04

Previous: $0.02+100.0%
Same-Shack Sales Growth

5.7%

Previous: -12.8%+144.5%
System-Wide Sales

$228M

Previous: $222M+3.0%
New Licensed Shacks

2

Previous: 8-75.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$23.2M

Previous: -$19.2M-20.9%
Free Cash Flow

-$21.8M

Previous: -$20.1M-8.6%
Net Income

$1.31M

Previous: -$960K+236.4%
Operating Income

-$10M

Previous: -$787K-1173.3%
Gross Profit

$31K

Previous: -$93K+133.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$375M

Previous: $87.8M+327.1%
Total Assets

$1.41B

Previous: $1.04B+35.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.68M

Previous: $1.3M+29.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Shake Shack · Revenue · Quarterly

$155M

Q1 2021+8.5%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Shake Shack · $151M total across 1 segment · Q1 2021

  • Shack sales
    $151M+9.2%

Forward guidance

The Company is providing revenue and sales guidance for the second quarter 2021.

Tailwinds

  • Total Revenue $174 million to $183 million
  • Shack Sales $170 million to $178 million
  • Licensed Revenue $4 million to $5 million
  • Same-Shack Sales versus 2020 + mid 40s% to 50% increase
  • Shack-Level Operating Profit 15% to 17%

Headwinds

  • Given the substantial uncertainty and resulting material economic impact caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, the Company is not providing full guidance for the fiscal year ending December 29, 2021
  • Impacted by the ongoing uncertainty due to COVID
  • Rate of recovery continues to be impacted by COVID
  • Development plans continue to be impacted by COVID
  • Many major urban markets, such as Manhattan, remain materially below pre-COVID levels, while office, events and tourism traffic return.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

-0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.8%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

22 / 49 earnings

Positive

+25.9%

Q4 2023

Best reaction

-28.6%

Q1 2026

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-28.6%-31.8%-45.8%
Q4 2025+6.4%+4.3%-11.7%
Q3 2025+1.6%+5.2%-2.6%
Q1 2025+1.1%+12.5%+47.9%
Q4 2024+11.1%-0.5%-18.5%
Q3 2024+7.1%+8.7%+17.7%
Q2 2024+10.1%+13.3%+13.5%
Q1 2024+4.0%+1.8%-8.2%
Q4 2023+25.9%+25.0%+32.8%
Q3 2023+3.9%+1.0%+7.7%
Q2 2023+5.2%+5.3%-6.6%
Q1 2023+24.1%+24.9%+29.9%
Q4 2022-6.3%-5.6%-6.4%
Q3 2022-9.5%-12.1%+0.0%
Q2 2022-5.3%-9.8%-14.6%
Q1 2022-8.7%-19.9%-20.8%
Q4 2021-8.5%-15.9%-13.0%
Q3 2021+19.9%+10.5%-8.0%
Q2 2021-2.0%-0.5%-7.4%
Q1 2021-15.8%-15.3%-16.0%
Q4 2020-5.5%-3.1%-8.2%
Q3 2020+2.0%+1.8%+24.9%
Q2 2020-11.5%-7.8%+23.0%
Q1 2020-4.8%+6.4%+7.6%
Q4 2019-15.7%-20.5%-41.9%
Q3 2019-19.3%-25.0%-27.4%
Q2 2019+15.2%+17.8%+38.9%
Q1 2019-1.3%-6.2%+0.6%
Q4 2018-0.8%-0.8%+6.0%
Q3 2018-10.8%-5.3%+5.0%
Q2 2018-9.4%-9.2%-2.8%
Q1 2018+18.3%+25.5%+27.2%
Q4 2017-4.1%-5.9%+3.5%
Q3 2017-5.4%-4.0%+7.5%
Q2 2017-6.3%-2.6%-7.5%
Q1 2017+6.3%+7.9%+11.0%
Q4 2016-1.8%-10.2%-6.8%
Q3 2016+13.1%+17.3%+17.0%
Q2 2016-7.8%-9.5%-17.4%
Q1 2016+9.6%
Q4 2013+7.0%
Q4 2015-11.3%
Q3 2014-5.0%
Q3 2015+2.2%
Q2 2014-4.3%
Q2 2015-4.3%
Q1 2014+10.7%
Q1 2015-0.2%
Q4 2014+4.4%
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013

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