NYSE$SEAT

Vivid Seats Inc (Class A) · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Vivid Seats' Q4 2023 performance reflected growth in marketplace GOV and revenues, although net income decreased. The company strategically invested in acquisitions and share repurchases, setting the stage for future growth.

Vivid Seats reported a 20% increase in revenues to $198.3 million and a 31% increase in Marketplace GOV to $1,112.3 million. Net income decreased by 10% to $22.4 million, while adjusted EBITDA increased by 4% to $35.1 million. The company authorized a new $100 million share repurchase program.

  • Marketplace GOV increased by 31% to $1,112.3 million.
  • Revenues increased by 20% to $198.3 million.
  • Net income decreased by 10% to $22.4 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased by 4% to $35.1 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$198M

Previous: $165M+20.2%
EPS (adj)

-$0.17

Previous: $0.13-230.8%
Marketplace GOV

$1.11B

Previous: $846M+31.5%
Marketplace orders

3.0M

Previous: 2.2M+36.3%
Resale orders

107.0K

Previous: 88.0K+21.6%
Adjusted EBITDA

$35.1M

Previous: $33.7M+4.2%
Capital Expenditures

-$110K

No prior period
Net Income

$22.4M

Previous: $24.8M-9.6%
Operating Income

$10.1M

Previous: $24.8M-59.2%
Gross Profit

$138M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Vivid Seats · Revenue · Quarterly

$198M

Q4 2023+20.2%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 6 of 15 quarters(40%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Vivid Seats anticipates Marketplace GOV, Revenues and Adjusted EBITDA for the year ending December 31, 2024 to be:

Tailwinds

  • Marketplace GOV in the range of $4.2 billion to $4.5 billion
  • Revenues in the range of $810.0 million to $840.0 million
  • Adjusted EBITDA in the range of $160.0 million to $170.0 million*
  • Additional detail around the 2024 outlook will be available on the fourth quarter 2023 earnings call.
  • Reflects a revision from our initial Adjusted EBITDA outlook provided in November 2023.

Headwinds

  • We calculate forward-looking Adjusted EBITDA based on internal forecasts that omit certain information that would be included in forward-looking net income, the most directly comparable GAAP measure.
  • We do not provide a reconciliation of forward-looking Adjusted EBITDA to forward-looking net income because the timing and/or probable significance of certain excluded items that have not yet occurred and are outside of our control is inherently uncertain and unavailable without unreasonable efforts.
  • Such items could have a significant and unpredictable impact on our future GAAP financial results.
  • Chief Technology Officer Appointment
  • Today, Vivid Seats announced the appointment of Stefano Langenbacher as Chief Technology Officer.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 17 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

-5.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.2%

Avg return

5 days after

-5.7%

Avg return

30 days after

26%

5 / 19 earnings

Positive

+20.9%

Q1 2023

Best reaction

-37.5%

Q1 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+11.9%+40.8%+40.8%
Q4 2025-7.7%+4.9%-0.7%
Q3 2025-10.4%-18.7%-35.9%
Q1 2025-37.5%-35.8%-41.2%
Q4 2024-23.1%-28.9%-24.9%
Q3 2024-12.9%-4.4%-17.8%
Q2 2024-11.4%-12.9%+10.7%
Q1 2024-2.6%+0.2%-4.2%
Q4 2023-13.6%-6.4%-4.9%
Q3 2023+17.3%+17.9%+8.2%
Q2 2023-3.1%-2.5%-8.0%
Q1 2023+20.9%+21.9%-1.3%
Q4 2022+10.3%+7.3%+19.9%
Q3 2022-8.8%-0.5%-5.7%
Q2 2022-1.1%+10.6%-0.3%
Q1 2022-15.5%-3.0%-1.4%
Q4 2021-11.5%-5.1%-13.0%
Q3 2021-3.8%-6.9%-23.4%
Q1 2021+0.8%
Q3 2020
Q2 2020
Q1 2020

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