NYSE$SEAT

Vivid Seats Inc (Class A) · Q4 2021 earnings

Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Vivid Seats reported record marketplace GOV and revenues, invested in brand awareness, and exceeded full year guidance.

Vivid Seats reported Q4 2021 financial results, achieving record Marketplace GOV of $876.5 million and revenues of $163.9 million. Net income was $0.3 million and Adjusted EBITDA was $27.5 million. The company exceeded the high end of its full year guidance across Marketplace GOV, Revenues and Adjusted EBITDA.

  • Marketplace GOV reached a record $876.5 million.
  • Revenues hit a record $163.9 million.
  • Net income was $0.3 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $27.5 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$164M

No prior period
EPS (adj)

$0.44

No prior period
Marketplace GOV

$876M

No prior period
Marketplace orders

2.3M

No prior period
Resale orders

78.0K

No prior period
Net Income

$300K

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Vivid Seats · Revenue · Quarterly

$164M

Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 8 of 12 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Vivid Seats anticipates Marketplace GOV, Revenues and Adjusted EBITDA for the year ending December 31, 2022 to be in the following ranges: Marketplace GOV in the range of $2.7 billion to $3.0 billion, Revenues in the range of $510.0 million to $550.0 million and Adjusted EBITDA in the range of $110.0 million to $115.0 million

Tailwinds

  • Marketplace GOV in the range of $2.7 billion to $3.0 billion
  • Revenues in the range of $510.0 million to $550.0 million
  • Adjusted EBITDA in the range of $110.0 million to $115.0 million
  • Additional detail around the 2022 outlook will be available on the fourth quarter 2021 earnings call.
  • We calculate forward-looking non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA based on internal forecasts that omit certain information that would be included in forward-looking GAAP net income (loss), the most directly comparable GAAP measure.

Headwinds

  • We do not attempt to provide a reconciliation of forward-looking non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA guidance to forward-looking GAAP net income (loss) because forecasting the timing or amount of items that have not yet occurred and are out of our control is inherently uncertain and unavailable without unreasonable efforts.
  • Certain statements made in this presentation are "forward looking statements" within the meaning of the "safe harbor" provisions of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.
  • All statements other than statements of historical fact contained in this presentation may be forward-looking statements.
  • Forward-looking statements in this presentation include, but are not limited to, statements regarding our future results of operations and financial position, including our expectations regarding Marketplace Gross Order Value, revenues and Adjusted EBITDA and the impact of our investments; our competitive positioning; our business strategy; and the plans and objectives of management for future operations.
  • These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance, conditions or results, and involve a number of known and unknown risks, uncertainties, assumptions and other important factors, many of which are outside of our control, that could cause actual results or outcomes to differ materially from those discussed in the forward-looking statements.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 17 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021

Historical avgQ4 2021

-5.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.2%

Avg return

5 days after

-5.7%

Avg return

30 days after

26%

5 / 19 earnings

Positive

+20.9%

Q1 2023

Best reaction

-37.5%

Q1 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+11.9%+40.8%+40.8%
Q4 2025-7.7%+4.9%-0.7%
Q3 2025-10.4%-18.7%-35.9%
Q1 2025-37.5%-35.8%-41.2%
Q4 2024-23.1%-28.9%-24.9%
Q3 2024-12.9%-4.4%-17.8%
Q2 2024-11.4%-12.9%+10.7%
Q1 2024-2.6%+0.2%-4.2%
Q4 2023-13.6%-6.4%-4.9%
Q3 2023+17.3%+17.9%+8.2%
Q2 2023-3.1%-2.5%-8.0%
Q1 2023+20.9%+21.9%-1.3%
Q4 2022+10.3%+7.3%+19.9%
Q3 2022-8.8%-0.5%-5.7%
Q2 2022-1.1%+10.6%-0.3%
Q1 2022-15.5%-3.0%-1.4%
Q4 2021-11.5%-5.1%-13.0%
Q3 2021-3.8%-6.9%-23.4%
Q1 2021+0.8%
Q3 2020
Q2 2020
Q1 2020

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