NYSE$RJF

Raymond James Financial Inc · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Raymond James reported a decrease in net revenues and net income compared to the prior year's fiscal third quarter, but an increase in net income compared to the preceding quarter. Record revenues were achieved in the Capital Markets segment.

Raymond James Financial, Inc. reported net revenues of $1.83 billion and net income of $172 million, or $1.23 per diluted share, for the fiscal third quarter ended June 30, 2020. While net revenues decreased compared to the prior year, net income increased sequentially due to non-taxable gains in the corporate-owned life insurance portfolio.

  • Net revenues decreased by 5% compared to the prior year's fiscal third quarter, driven by lower short-term interest rates.
  • Net income decreased by 34% compared to the prior year's fiscal third quarter, largely due to the bank loan loss provision.
  • Capital Markets segment achieved record net revenues and pre-tax income, driven by record fixed income results.
  • Private Client Group assets in fee-based accounts increased by 11% over the prior year's fiscal third quarter.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.88B

Previous: $2B-6.2%
EPS (adj)

$0.82

Previous: $1.20-31.7%
Client AUA

$833B

Previous: $787B+5.8%
PCG Fee-Based AUA

$443B

Previous: $398B+11.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$97M

Previous: -$102M+4.9%
Free Cash Flow

$75M

Previous: $157M-52.2%
Net Income

$172M

Previous: $259M-33.6%
Operating Income

$1.47B

Previous: $1.69B-13.4%
Gross Profit

$1.67B

Previous: $1.96B-14.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$5.63B

Previous: $3.6B+56.6%
Total Assets

$44.7B

Previous: $38.7B+15.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$23M

Previous: $23M+0.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Raymond James · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.88B

Q3 2020-6.2%vs Q3 2019
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Raymond James · $1.91B total across 4 segments · Q3 2020

  • Private Client Group
    $1.25B-7.5%
  • Capital Markets
    $323M+28.7%
  • Raymond James Bank
    $178M-17.2%
  • Asset Management
    $163M-7.9%

Forward guidance

Near-zero interest rates continue to be a headwind for results in the Private Client Group segment, but the 16% sequential increase of assets in fee-based accounts should boost asset management fees in the fiscal fourth quarter. The fixed income business generated record revenues and pre-tax income during the quarter, driven by a high level of client activity, which has continued thus far in July. Given the high degree of uncertainty associated with the COVID-19 pandemic, we plan to continue selectively selling corporate loans in the secondary market to further reduce exposure to certain sectors.

Tailwinds

  • Advisor recruiting activity has continued to recover and the pipeline remains solid across all affiliation options
  • The 16% sequential increase of assets in fee-based accounts should boost asset management fees in the fiscal fourth quarter
  • Fixed income business generated record revenues and pre-tax income during the quarter
  • High level of client activity has continued thus far in July
  • Total capital ratio was 26.0% and the tier 1 leverage ratio was 14.5%, well above the regulatory requirements

Headwinds

  • Lower interest rates have negatively affected our financial performance
  • Financial advisor transitions were initially disrupted by the crisis, particularly for our employee affiliation as offices were closed
  • M&A revenues were negatively impacted by economic uncertainty and decreased activity across the industry
  • Near-zero interest rates continue to be a headwind for results in the Private Client Group segment
  • High degree of uncertainty associated with the COVID-19 pandemic

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020

Historical avgQ3 2020

+0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.1%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

36 / 69 earnings

Positive

+10.2%

Q2 2016

Best reaction

-8.9%

Q4 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026-1.5%+0.8%-2.0%
Q1 2026+1.5%-1.3%-9.0%
Q4 2025-0.6%-3.8%-7.9%
Q3 2025-0.8%-1.3%+3.4%
Q2 2025+0.2%+2.7%+2.6%
Q1 2025-0.8%-4.3%-10.1%
Q4 2024+8.2%+8.8%+21.3%
Q3 2024+5.5%+3.3%+4.5%
Q2 2024-4.1%-3.1%-1.0%
Q1 2024+0.4%-1.0%+4.5%
Q4 2023+1.8%+0.9%+11.4%
Q3 2023-1.5%-0.0%-7.1%
Q2 2023-2.2%-1.8%+2.0%
Q1 2023-3.1%-4.5%-7.9%
Q4 2022+8.8%+12.8%+14.1%
Q3 2022+1.2%+4.7%+13.3%
Q2 2022+4.0%-1.6%-0.8%
Q1 2022+4.2%+9.4%+16.0%
Q4 2021-2.7%-2.7%-3.7%
Q3 2021+1.5%+1.1%+10.8%
Q2 2021+1.1%+1.0%+1.5%
Q1 2021+1.0%+3.8%+18.3%
Q4 2020-3.4%+0.3%+18.5%
Q3 2020-1.3%+2.0%+9.6%
Q2 2020-3.3%-8.3%+1.7%
Q1 2020-5.6%-7.3%+1.0%
Q4 2019+1.0%+2.0%+6.4%
Q3 2019-3.3%-4.7%-11.3%
Q2 2019+0.8%+2.3%-3.0%
Q1 2019+0.9%+2.0%+4.8%
Q4 2018-8.9%-12.1%-7.6%
Q3 2018-3.4%-5.7%-5.4%
Q2 2018+3.4%+3.3%+14.5%
Q1 2018-0.7%+0.4%-5.3%
Q4 2017-2.0%-1.6%-1.6%
Q3 2017-2.7%-2.1%-7.3%
Q2 2017-0.4%-0.3%-2.0%
Q1 2017+3.9%+1.8%+5.7%
Q4 2016+5.8%+2.7%+23.8%
Q3 2016+1.5%+2.2%+6.2%
Q2 2016+10.2%
Q1 2016-7.7%
Q4 2015+1.0%
Q3 2015-0.8%
Q2 2015+1.4%
Q1 2015+4.2%
Q4 2014+1.9%
Q3 2014+2.4%
Q2 2014-2.0%
Q1 2014-2.0%
Q4 2013+2.2%
Q3 2013-0.8%
Q2 2013-8.6%
Q1 2013+3.4%
Q4 2012+2.9%
Q3 2012-2.5%
Q2 2012+5.0%
Q1 2012+0.4%
Q4 2011-3.3%
Q3 2011-2.6%
Q2 2011-1.0%
Q1 2010+1.1%
Q1 2011+0.2%
Q2 2010+1.1%
Q4 2008+1.1%
Q4 2010+1.1%
Q4 2009-0.8%
Q3 2010-0.8%
Q3 2009-0.8%

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro