NYSE$RDN
Radian Group Inc · Q2 2020 earnings
Q2 2020 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Reported a net loss due to elevated loss provision in response to increased new defaults.
Radian Group Inc. reported a net loss of $30.0 million, or $0.15 per diluted share, for the quarter ended June 30, 2020, driven by an elevated loss provision due to an increase in new defaults which include defaults of loans subject to forbearance programs implemented in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. The company wrote a record volume of new primary mortgage insurance business of $25.5 billion dollars.
- GAAP net loss of $30.0 million, or $0.15 per diluted share, driven by $304.4 million provision expense to increase reserves
- New Insurance Written of $25.5 billion, setting company record for quarterly flow mortgage insurance
- PMIERs Available Assets of $4.2 billion, or $1.0 billion (or 31% ) in excess of Minimum Required Assets
- Total Holding Company Liquidity increases to $1.4 billion
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Radian · Revenue · Quarterly
$364M
Revenue by segment
Radian · $287M total across 1 segment · Q2 2020
- Mortgage Insurance$287M—100.0%
Forward guidance
This is a forward looking statement
Tailwinds
- impact the size of the insurable market
- the credit performance of our insured portfolio
- our business prospects
- changes in the way customers, investors, ratings agencies, regulators or legislators perceive our performance, financial strength and future prospects
- Radian Guaranty Inc.’s (“Radian Guaranty”) ability to remain eligible under the Private Mortgage Insurer Eligibility Requirements (the “PMIERs”), including potential future changes to the PMIERs, and other applicable requirements imposed by the Federal Housing Finance Agency (the "FHFA") and by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (collectively, the “GSEs”) to insure loans purchased by the GSEs
Headwinds
- the COVID-19 pandemic, which has significantly impacted the global economy, disrupted global supply chains, lowered equity market valuations, created significant volatility and disruption in financial markets, disrupted the housing finance system and real estate markets and increased unemployment levels
- the pandemic has resulted in travel restriction, stay-at-home, quarantine and similar orders, which have resulted in the closures of many businesses and, for those permitted to open, numerous operating limitations such as social distancing and other extensive health and safety measures
- the demand for certain of our products and services has been impacted, and this impact may continue for an unknown period and could expand in scope
- We expect that the COVID-19 pandemic and measures taken to reduce its spread will pervasively impact our business and subject us to certain risks
- difficult to estimate accurately, especially in the event of an extended economic downturn or a period of extreme market volatility and uncertainty such as we are currently experiencing due to the COVID-19 pandemic
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2020
+0.0%
Avg return
Earnings day
+0.4%
Avg return
5 days after
+0.8%
Avg return
30 days after
48%
31 / 65 earnings
Positive
+19.2%
Q2 2011
Best reaction
-18.8%
Q3 2010
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | -4.0% | -2.6% | -10.2% | |
| Q4 2025 | +1.6% | +6.3% | +0.5% | |
| Q3 2025 | -0.7% | +3.0% | +1.2% | |
| Q1 2025 | +1.9% | +5.1% | +6.9% | |
| Q4 2024 | -1.8% | -4.8% | -6.3% | |
| Q3 2024 | +4.6% | +5.8% | +7.0% | |
| Q2 2024 | -4.2% | -8.7% | -2.7% | |
| Q1 2024 | +2.9% | +4.8% | +4.6% | |
| Q4 2023 | -4.5% | -2.1% | +3.2% | |
| Q3 2023 | +4.6% | +6.6% | +1.9% | |
| Q2 2023 | +2.0% | +4.0% | +1.1% | |
| Q1 2023 | +2.1% | +5.9% | +11.3% | |
| Q4 2022 | -1.7% | -1.1% | -5.4% | |
| Q3 2022 | -1.7% | -0.8% | -8.8% | |
| Q2 2022 | +0.8% | +0.0% | -5.6% | |
| Q1 2022 | +3.9% | +0.1% | -1.2% | |
| Q4 2021 | +2.1% | +2.4% | -2.4% | |
| Q3 2021 | -7.6% | -6.8% | -14.0% | |
| Q2 2021 | -2.1% | +2.5% | +4.3% | |
| Q1 2021 | -4.8% | -4.5% | -7.3% | |
| Q4 2020 | -1.2% | -1.0% | +6.9% | |
| Q3 2020 | -5.1% | -2.6% | +5.7% | |
| Q2 2020 | +3.8% | +4.7% | +5.1% | |
| Q1 2020 | +8.8% | +6.0% | +31.4% | |
| Q4 2019 | -1.1% | -3.0% | -11.7% | |
| Q3 2019 | +1.0% | +1.0% | +4.0% | |
| Q2 2019 | -3.4% | -7.0% | -3.8% | |
| Q1 2019 | +1.6% | +2.4% | -3.7% | |
| Q4 2018 | -1.2% | +1.3% | +2.9% | |
| Q3 2018 | +5.3% | +3.8% | +0.3% | |
| Q2 2018 | +4.8% | +8.2% | +15.0% | |
| Q1 2018 | -0.6% | +3.5% | +7.6% | |
| Q4 2017 | +1.7% | -2.0% | -6.3% | |
| Q3 2017 | +4.4% | +3.3% | +3.0% | |
| Q2 2017 | +1.5% | +0.9% | +0.5% | |
| Q1 2017 | -12.7% | -14.3% | -14.4% | |
| Q4 2016 | -1.7% | -0.3% | +1.0% | |
| Q3 2016 | -4.5% | -7.8% | +1.3% | |
| Q2 2016 | +4.6% | +1.5% | +10.3% | |
| Q1 2016 | +3.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | +3.1% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | -11.5% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | -1.0% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | -2.7% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | -3.6% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | +8.8% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | +5.3% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | +3.7% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | +6.1% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | -10.5% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | +1.7% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | -0.5% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | +2.7% | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | +14.7% | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | +4.7% | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | +0.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2011 | -1.9% | — | — | |
| Q4 2009 | -1.9% | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | -18.8% | — | — | |
| Q3 2010 | -18.8% | — | — | |
| Q2 2011 | +19.2% | — | — | |
| Q2 2010 | -0.2% | — | — | |
| Q1 2010 | -0.2% | — | — | |
| Q4 2010 | -0.2% | — | — | |
| Q1 2011 | -0.2% | — | — |
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